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  • #9,501
  • Sep 12, 2012 7:16pm Sep 12, 2012 7:16pm
Quoting AndrejSlovak
Do you think FOMC makes USD dive?
Welcome AndrejSlovak. That was my view not a predication. Fed has to do something to prop up the US economy.
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,502
  • Edited 7:28pm Sep 12, 2012 7:24pm | Edited 7:28pm
Quoting DaddyBear
BTW, I was talking about the direction not day to day scalping. I had something to back up my talking. If you say 0.97 again and again without any rationales, you are comparing orange to apple.

When Noah built the Ark, there was no flood at all for a long time. Based on your saying, the flood finally came because Noah lived long enough. Is this what you meant?

Interesting example of Scriptural reference Doodling Bear. So, in Noah's situation he had god as an indicator. Basically insider trading with the flood business. However, if you look at history and research.. There were many civilizations on the time line that existed before, during, and after the flood that Noah and his ark are so well known for. As far as DNA.. The human Genome project was completed a few years ago. We are cousin to primates through a common relative in the distant past. If you go further related to a well known plant life form that still exist today. Sure, I would like a surpreme being indicator.. for now I rely on FA and TA.
Anyways... good luck to all of us Doodling Bear. Keep up the Noah type Doodles. At least with Noah you gave your analysis of why the flood would come.. It was "god"...
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #9,503
  • Sep 12, 2012 8:07pm Sep 12, 2012 8:07pm
Quoting doblece
IMPORTANT NOTE: THE VALUES BELOW ARE TOTALLY RANDOM.
THOSE ARE NOT ACTUAL VALUES OF THE AUDUSD NOR FIBSTOOL TARGETS.

(just in case)

This is a new version, multi-timeframe and with both 2/3 and 4/5 decimal pairs alternative sheets.

I placed fake values so you can see how it could look with all the cells filled. (My connection has been intermittent since last night so I couldn't get the charts on enough time to calculate.)

Attachment

I have momentarily taken out the regular...
l was using 80 20
take the highest/lowest point on the 20,3,3 stochastic
take the highest/lowest candle part for 0% fib
take reading same way when is crosses 80,20
and the draw the 23 fib with the crosses
the 50 comes fairly close
nothing special but i think its great for scalping.

can i pm you
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #9,504
  • Sep 12, 2012 8:26pm Sep 12, 2012 8:26pm
buying 1.0446 tp open
reason we just moved bullish and will retrace my ma to hit my buy target

happy trading and i will sleep now
Wooooohooooo or Boooooohooooo
  • #9,505
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:05pm Sep 12, 2012 9:05pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Welcome Baba. IMO, it is not going to retrace to 1.0298. At certain point, it will be heading north again while the bears are sleeping. -DB-
Thank you so much DB, u r so kind. Looking at the AUDUSD my tecjnical analysis indeed shows that we are headed north, however the fundamentals are not so forseeable, i.e the impending FOMC etc, but hey if the US has another round of QE then we can expect an even north ward journey
Without God we are nothing
  • #9,506
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:19pm Sep 12, 2012 9:19pm
Quoting Pair-me-up
Interesting example of Scriptural reference Doodling Bear. So, in Noah's situation he had god as an indicator. Basically insider trading with the flood business. However, if you look at history and research.. There were many civilizations on the time line that existed before, during, and after the flood that Noah and his ark are so well known for. As far as DNA.. The human Genome project was completed a few years ago. We are cousin to primates through a common relative in the distant past. If you go further related to a well known plant...
I am sure you are a cousin to primates through a common relative in the distant past because you admitted it. However, I am not. I believe in God. Everything in this world including the markets we trade was preset by Him. IMHO
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,507
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:21pm Sep 12, 2012 9:21pm
Quoting gnomoneey
buying 1.0446 tp open
reason we just moved bullish and will retrace my ma to hit my buy target

happy trading and i will sleep now
Why 1.0446 and why tp open? Very interesting from my bear friend.
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,508
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:34pm Sep 12, 2012 9:34pm
Quoting DaddyBear
I am sure you are a cousin to primates through a common relative in the distant past because you admitted it. However, I am not. I believe in God. Everything in this world including the markets we trade was preset by Him. IMHO

Is Earth only 6,000 years old, too?
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #9,509
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:34pm Sep 12, 2012 9:34pm
Quoting Baba Gee
Thank you so much DB, u r so kind. Looking at the AUDUSD my tecjnical analysis indeed shows that we are headed north, however the fundamentals are not so forseeable, i.e the impending FOMC etc, but hey if the US has another round of QE then we can expect an even north ward journey
Baba, when looking at fundies, we cannot only focus on China. The US, EU and Japan must be also taken into considerations. Exchange rate is all about relative strengths of two nations. We are not trading AUDCNY. At this point, the Aussie's economy is much stronger than the US. This is the fundies I am looking at. We are trading the Aussie of current time not of the future. IMHO
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,510
  • Edited 10:06pm Sep 12, 2012 9:51pm | Edited 10:06pm
Quoting GnarlyPips
Is Earth only 6,000 years old, too?
Yes. But the question is that God's one day is different from our time scale.

"one day is like a thousand years" - 2 Peter 3:8

The Earth's rotation rate may not be the same as it is now and the orbit may not be the same way we are seeing now.

The earth's orbit around the sun is slightly elliptical. What if the orbit was an elongated form in the beginning. It might take 1,000 years to orbit the Sun once. Who knows? Before human beings can understand how their DNA was created, it's meaningless to pick up something we will never be able to understand at all.

Where did the space and the time come from in the beginning of the time and the universe? If you can answer this question, you wouldn't have to be here to debate with others.
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,511
  • Sep 12, 2012 9:55pm Sep 12, 2012 9:55pm
Folks, can we stick to the thread theme, and stay away from religion? DB, aren't you supposed to be moderator? If membership is based on agreeing with your religious views, you should say so in the thread rules.
  • #9,512
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:09pm Sep 12, 2012 10:09pm
Quoting pauladkinsau
Folks, can we stick to the thread theme, and stay away from religion? DB, aren't you supposed to be moderator? If membership is based on agreeing with your religious views, you should say so in the thread rules.
Nobody has to agree with me at all. There was nobody in the forum. I will stop talking about this. Thanks. -DB-
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,513
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:12pm Sep 12, 2012 10:12pm
Quoting tp0440
Price returns to median. Always. Weekly SMA200 is currently 0,944.

BR
Was interested in your mention of price always returning to median as a big part of how I trade is that price is very likely to return to where it is now (within relevant range & presently that is b/w 94c & 1.11 based on last 2 yrs). However I consider that the likelihood & frequency of it returning are greater when closer to the middle (1.025).

Looking at the weekly chart and SMA200 I note that price hasn't even been near the moving average since July 2010 so I don't think that a good argument for price reaching that low anytime soon (although I am hopeful it will, I can't base my trading decisions on hope).
Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
  • #9,514
  • Edited 10:35pm Sep 12, 2012 10:33pm | Edited 10:35pm
Quoting DaddyBear
I am sure you are a cousin to primates through a common relative in the distant past because you admitted it. However, I am not. I believe in God. Everything in this world including the markets we trade was preset by Him. IMHO
Yes I did admit that.

In my view God is the master scientist.

Science=the study of nature.

Anything that doesn't follow the laws of nature is like magic.. Harry Potty stuff. Fantasy. They are fun stories for entertainment. Also, we now understand how DNA is created. How do people get the number 6000 years. The English Bible has so many mistakes and wrong translations. Without being fluent in Aramaic or Hebrew who can follow the English version with accuracy..
Anyways.. it is cool that you are not related to me as I am from the earth. But hope we can all be humble and learn from each other.



Happy pips to all.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #9,515
  • Sep 12, 2012 10:43pm Sep 12, 2012 10:43pm
Quoting gnomoneey
l was using 80 20
take the highest/lowest point on the 20,3,3 stochastic
take the highest/lowest candle part for 0% fib
take reading same way when is crosses 80,20
and the draw the 23 fib with the crosses
the 50 comes fairly close
nothing special but i think its great for scalping.

can i pm you
Oh I see, so it is the FIRSTcross 80/20 down/up BEFORE the 50 then, I thought it was the opposite, lol. Thanks!

Sure, you can pm me
  • #9,516
  • Sep 12, 2012 11:16pm Sep 12, 2012 11:16pm
Quoting Pair-me-up
Yes I did admit that.

In my view God is the master scientist.

Science=the study of nature.

Anything that doesn't follow the laws of nature is like magic.. Harry Potty stuff. Fantasy. They are fun stories for entertainment. Also, we now understand how DNA is created. How do people get the number 6000 years. The English Bible has so many mistakes and wrong translations. Without being fluent in Aramaic or Hebrew who can follow the English version with accuracy..
Anyways.. it is cool that you are not related to me as I am from the earth. But hope...
Sure, let's hug.
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,517
  • Sep 12, 2012 11:25pm Sep 12, 2012 11:25pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Sure, let's hug.

Cyber hug for you Doodling Bear.
Luck has no place in trading. Leave that for the poker table.
  • #9,518
  • Sep 12, 2012 11:33pm Sep 12, 2012 11:33pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Sure, let's hug.
yup, that's a faith.. a seed for seeing His Creation is given by God mercy, without that we are as far as the eye can see
  • #9,519
  • Sep 12, 2012 11:38pm Sep 12, 2012 11:38pm
Quoting dab
Was interested in your mention of price always returning to median as a big part of how I trade is that price is very likely to return to where it is now (within relevant range & presently that is b/w 94c & 1.11 based on last 2 yrs). However I consider that the likelihood & frequency of it returning are greater when closer to the middle (1.025).
Hi Dab,

Reading your post I thought that this Bollinger Band (BB) trading rule might interest you, because it is based on PA returning to its average price.

I have attached a chart to help show what I am looking for (but it is not the best example) and within reason this works on 15M upwards.

I look for a break of the upper or lower BB, (in the chart example it is the lower) and then I want to see PA ride the BB lower band (the tighter the better) without ever meeting the 20 MA (the middle band) for a least 20 closed candles, when I see this I will start to attack and continue adding more on the close of each candle. My first TP is THE 20MA of the BBs (so it is dynamic) my second TP is the opposite BB (in the example it would be the top one)

A 20 candle ride does not happen very often, but I only trade them in conjunction with divergence, so on the close of the 20th candle I would want to see divergence.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: bollinger bands 20 candle ride.jpg Size: 139 KB
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #9,520
  • Sep 13, 2012 12:00am Sep 13, 2012 12:00am
Quoting gnomoneey
l was using 80 20
take the highest/lowest point on the 20,3,3 stochastic
take the highest/lowest candle part for 0% fib
take reading same way when is crosses 80,20
and the draw the 23 fib with the crosses
the 50 comes fairly close
nothing special but i think its great for scalping.
Hmm... I'd rather think that the 5,3,3 settings are more closely accurate on the 80/20 cross in regard to the 50 cross method?

Here are my findings on the actual values on the daily chart for AUDUSD:

for both, low is at 1.0166

50 cross ---> 50 fib
--------------high at 50 cross-----100% fib
5,3,3 -------> 1.04001 -------> 1.07306
14,3,3 ------> 1.04485 -------> 1.07310
20,3,3 ------> 1.04485 -------> 1.07310

80/20 cross (20) ---> 23.6 fib
--------------high at 23.6 cross-----100% fib
5,3,3 -------> 1.02993 -------> 1.07307
14,3,3 ------> 1.04001 -------> 1.11579
20,3,3 ------> 1.04001 -------> 1.11579

Here's a picture for both situations (14,3,3 and 20,3,3 give the same numbers on both).

5,3,3

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 23.6 cross and 50 cross for 533.PNG Size: 38 KB


14 and 20,3,3

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 23.6 cross and 50 cross for 14and2033.PNG Size: 31 KB


It's interesting to further investigate though, especially for "us the impatient people" ...
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