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  • #9,461
  • Sep 12, 2012 3:38am Sep 12, 2012 3:38am
Quoting Pair-me-up
I taking it that you are getting tha 1.055 from the H4.. the distance from that broken neck line goes pretty much exactly to 1.055. I hope you are right.
No guess is necessary .............

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346411376
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,462
  • Sep 12, 2012 3:39am Sep 12, 2012 3:39am
Quoting irfandbl
But here's what H4 is showing me

Attachment
H4 has reached it's 100% target

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h4bingo.gif Size: 15 KB


Quoting irfandbl
85% H4 5,3,3 stoch target has been breached,

1.0493 (100% H4 5,3,3 stoch target) is now clearly visible since H1 is pointing at similar target (1.0496)

Attachment
and so has H1

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h1bingo.gif Size: 15 KB


next up D1's targets
1.0516
1.0562
  • #9,463
  • Sep 12, 2012 3:51am Sep 12, 2012 3:51am
Quoting DaddyBear
No guess is necessary .............

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346411376
The Aussie run-up we see now was preset and predefined. Last two weeks, a lot of fundie guys were looking sub-parity. This proves my view that fundies do not move the market. The market moves by itself. Those people talking about how bad China is and how dark the Aussie is going to face failed to see a 360 degree picture. There are invisible elements in the charts. A lot of something are not controlled by human beings. IMHO
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,464
  • Sep 12, 2012 3:55am Sep 12, 2012 3:55am

Aussie @1.05 what the FUDGE!!
  • #9,465
  • Sep 12, 2012 3:58am Sep 12, 2012 3:58am
Quoting DaddyBear
The Aussie run-up we see now was preset and predefined. Last two weeks, a lot of fundie guys were looking sub-parity. This proves my view that fundies do not move the market. The market moves by itself. Those people talking about how bad China is and how dark the Aussie is going to face failed to see a 360 degree picture. There are invisible elements in the charts. A lot of something are not controlled by human beings. IMHO

IMHO, your long prediction was first several hundred pips in negative. It was the same as if I start screaming now: AUDUSD to 0.97. Give me a few months and it'll likely come true.

Oh, and what does move the price than if not people?

BR
  • #9,466
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:08am Sep 12, 2012 4:08am
M30

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: m30.gif Size: 16 KB


H1 has formed some new targets based on re-crosses of level 50 stoch

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: h1new.gif Size: 16 KB



P.S. Top of the page
  • #9,467
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:09am Sep 12, 2012 4:09am
Quoting tp0440
IMHO, your long prediction was first several hundred pips in negative. It was the same as if I start screaming now: AUDUSD to 0.97. Give me a few months and it'll likely come true.

Oh, and what does move the price than if not people?

BR
O.K. Let's start a new game regarding what is going to happen tonight/today. Fair enough? Did people create herd mentality by themselves?
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,468
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:11am Sep 12, 2012 4:11am
Quoting Pair-me-up
I taking it that you are getting tha 1.055 from the H4.. the distance from that broken neck line goes pretty much exactly to 1.055. I hope you are right.
The 1.055, was based on C leg duplicating A leg in the ABC correction, however I have now decided to start my attack at the 23.6 Fib, the 50 & 61.8 seem to have been respected on the way up. The 23.6 also coincides with my Fib Fan 88.6.

This may well be the first trade of many, because I will add more trades should PA continue its move up (it is most welcome based on my style of trading) and my TP is 1.04

As always I trade what I see, because I have no idea how to trade what I cannot see.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd 4h fib fan 12 09 12.jpg Size: 200 KB
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #9,469
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:13am Sep 12, 2012 4:13am
Quoting doblece
Re-posting an updated version of the Excel Fibstool sheet (only minor corrections).

(I had forgotten to correct the formulas on the 14,3,3 and 5,3,3 output columns which were all referring to the 20,3,3 -- copy-paste and sleep deprivation -- ... sorry for that guys.)

Also changed the condition to Value <= 0.5 to blank the opposite side 76.4 and 61.8 cells (as far as I have seen no currency pair under that value). Greater values though will still appear.

Please let me know if you find anything else that's wrong, so I can...
Thanks again for sharing
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #9,470
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:24am Sep 12, 2012 4:24am
Quoting tp0440
IMHO, your long prediction was first several hundred pips in negative. It was the same as if I start screaming now: AUDUSD to 0.97. Give me a few months and it'll likely come true.

Oh, and what does move the price than if not people?

BR
BTW, I was talking about the direction not day to day scalping. I had something to back up my talking. If you say 0.97 again and again without any rationales, you are comparing orange to apple.

When Noah built the Ark, there was no flood at all for a long time. Based on your saying, the flood finally came because Noah lived long enough. Is this what you meant?
daddybearforex. com
  • #9,471
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:26am Sep 12, 2012 4:26am
Quoting DaddyBear
O.K. Let's start a new game regarding what is going to happen tonight/today. Fair enough? Did people create herd mentality by themselves?
OK, so what will happen this week? Since trend is strong, the task is not hard. With the exception of QE3.

Herd mentality? It's a part of animal kingdon, genom, Darwin, God, whatever you wanna call it. But it's a part of all animals, including mankind. So in a way - yes, it was also created by man. The only difference is, mankind evolved enough to learn how to manipulate it.

BR
  • #9,472
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:33am Sep 12, 2012 4:33am
Quoting DaddyBear
BTW, I was talking about the direction not day to day scalping. I had something to back up my talking. If you say 0.97 again and again without any rationales, you are comparing orange to apple.

When Noah built the Ark, there was no flood at all for a long time. Based on your saying, the flood finally came because Noah lived long enough. Is this what you meant?
Let's just conclude (again), yelling "wolf" for several weeks and finally being right is not really much of an achievement.

Rational? Simple. Price returns to median. Always. Weekly SMA200 is currently 0,944. Weekly channel is dropping, so actaully current picture would show, next short target would be about 0,95-0,97. The winning questions is: WHEN will it turn. Perhaps it alreay did and this is merely a retracement?

BR
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audusd-w1.gif Size: 45 KB
  • #9,473
  • Sep 12, 2012 4:37am Sep 12, 2012 4:37am
Quoting DaddyBear
O.K. Let's start a new game regarding what is going to happen tonight/today. Fair enough? Did people create herd mentality by themselves?
Hi DB, I realise your prediction when AUDUSD was at 1.01xx to shoot back up was right and now the prices are back testing 1.05. May I see more images? You deserve another vouch if its right
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #9,474
  • Sep 12, 2012 5:14am Sep 12, 2012 5:14am
Looking to place a trade either on AUD/USD or on GOLD for 5 full lots...can someone help me in making the right decision whether I should go LONG or SHORT?
  • #9,475
  • Sep 12, 2012 5:36am Sep 12, 2012 5:36am
Quoting Daytrader74
Looking to place a trade either on AUD/USD or on GOLD for 5 full lots...can someone help me in making the right decision whether I should go LONG or SHORT?
You should really base that on your own decision.
A 1 pip gain is better than a 1 pip loss.
  • #9,476
  • Sep 12, 2012 5:39am Sep 12, 2012 5:39am
my dear friends, let's not fight eachother! This is a great thread and i hope it remain so

Daytrader my advice right now would be to wait, price is too high to be bought safely, and the momentum is too bullish to be sold safely.
Said that, i'm short eurusd, but i feel stupid right now
  • #9,477
  • Sep 12, 2012 5:50am Sep 12, 2012 5:50am
Quoting tunera
my dear friends, let's not fight eachother! This is a great thread and i hope it remain so


Quote
i'm short eurusd, but i feel stupid right now

IMO E/U is about to go to 1.30xx, hope it will retrace before it gets there so that your short would be green
  • #9,478
  • Sep 12, 2012 5:53am Sep 12, 2012 5:53am
Quoting irfandbl




IMO E/U is about to go to 1.30xx, hope it will retrace before it gets there so that your short would be green
Yes i think also it is heading to 1.34 or so, but after have taken out the 1.2740 resistance (june high), i'm expecting a kind of consolidation, basically some kind of re-visit of 1.2750 area. It is not exactly a trade that i would suggest to anyone, that's why i feel stupid. However let's give it some time and see if it may give some profit or not, oh well this is audusd thread, sorry for the out-of-thread talking

P.s.
The audusd bull-plane have successfully landed to the 1.05xx airport ahah
  • #9,479
  • Sep 12, 2012 6:12am Sep 12, 2012 6:12am
Quoting tunera
Yes i think also it is heading to 1.34 or so, but after have taken out the 1.2740 resistance (june high), i'm expecting a kind of consolidation, basically some kind of re-visit of 1.2750 area. It is not exactly a trade that i would suggest to anyone, that's why i feel stupid. However let's give it some time and see if it may give some profit or not, oh well this is audusd thread, sorry for the out-of-thread talking

P.s.
The audusd bull-plane have successfully landed to the 1.05xx airport ahah
Well done!! and I just missed the possible return trip by 2 pips, will keep the pending order, still not sure the up move is over
Some people say I'm lucky, but the more I practice the luckier I get
  • #9,480
  • Sep 12, 2012 6:19am Sep 12, 2012 6:19am
Quoting tunera
P.s.
The audusd bull-plane have successfully landed to the 1.05xx airport ahah
It sure have!

Where's the pilot? I want to hire him to get me to 1.0561
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