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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #31,061
  • Edited 9:09am Sep 1, 2012 8:53am | Edited 9:09am
Quoting smikester
I think you are right but there might be a bit of a backlash against communist totalitarianism there in your tone? I mean what is democracy if not an attempt to be fair to ourselves? That is the utopian dream where we look after the needy but we can have what we want without the government or big business interests stopping us. We don't want lazy passengers, I agree, but it has to be a social endeavour.
........sorry smikester i had fall sleep......wake up now but i think I'm going back to sleep, I'm all against comunism, but I'm also against what is form here in the states in the last 100 years with the banks leading the way and controling all, I'm against all dictators everywere in all sort of forms, they all want the same, total control, and that is wrong, man needs his freedom, all tho some confuse it a lot.......and go over it, there are limitations to freedom so they are not confuse with abuse and total disorder......that is not good eather, is complicated, is social endevour in deed, like you say....but anything is bether than the social mess we are in right now, me think........
The Chonchy
  • #31,062
  • Sep 1, 2012 8:55am Sep 1, 2012 8:55am
Quoting baz
So lets go to WEEKLY.. and as i explained to CHONCHY.. i will wait for CANDLE PA triggers at the LEVEL shown..
i will wait after NFP, and RATE ..news is out of the WAY..

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346507315
.......I see what you mean baz, good chart......
The Chonchy
  • #31,063
  • Sep 1, 2012 8:56am Sep 1, 2012 8:56am
Quoting baz
Hi Smikster..
on Eur/USD..
we see a HARAMI print ( a INSIDE BAR as per Western TECHNICAL )... and as such i am not a Big fan of Trading INSIDE BARs..BUT prefer Confirmation ..Have a Look at the GOLD chart i posted..
BUT looking at the Location ..than its printed at a DEMAND ZONE..However NOTICE its CLOSED BELOW 1.2675..Another M1 TRAPLINE

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346506931
.......we may range here for the elections, I hope not but we may......
The Chonchy
  • #31,064
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:03am Sep 1, 2012 9:03am
KIWI..is Clear.... SHORTS in PLAY.. as i SEE a HIKAKE..
BUT as always DO YOUR own HOMEWORK !!!!!


http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346508207
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD Spot.png K1.png Size: 7 KB
  • #31,065
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:06am Sep 1, 2012 9:06am
.......I see the monthly bar that has retraced to the yellow 5 ema to balance, magenta is there also as resistance, strong resistance that 200 ema, but as you say is an inside bar, I don't trade those eather, I just wait fort the bounce here or a continuance to the down move, for me this chart is up untill all ema's are cross by magenta 200 but like I said before when weekly and daily push it will come to that also, so my guess is that is going to range here untill the elections and then drop like a rock, I mean Ben want to print money and lend it like we all know, he is a banker, and his job is to lend money, but not to an economy that is not going to pay back, maybe a wait and see what happens plan is in order here by them, so maybe no more QE is in the drowboard or scrapboard, how ever is say.......

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1h.gif Size: 54 KB
The Chonchy
  • #31,066
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:10am Sep 1, 2012 9:10am
AUSSIE.. i was hoping for a BEEB..BUT i see a HARAMI printed..( can be seen as a KABUSE ).. also Capped at 74.6 FIBO..
So SHORTS FAVOURED here as well..
OK SMIKESTER.. hope this helps.. and look foreward to your View or any differences ..

TAKE care

baz..



http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346508598
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USD Spot.png a1.png Size: 8 KB
  • #31,067
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:12am Sep 1, 2012 9:12am
Quoting baz
AUSSIE.. i was hoping for a BEEB..BUT i see a HARAMI printed..( can be seen as a KABUSE ).. also Capped at 74.6 FIBO..
So SHORTS FAVOURED here as well..
OK SMIKESTER.. hope this helps.. and look foreward to your View or any differences ..

TAKE care

baz..



http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346508598

......I think smikester is gone baz and I can stay with my eyes open eather, I will be back later, great analisis baz, thanks a lot, lets see what happens sunday, bbl......
The Chonchy
  • #31,068
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:14am Sep 1, 2012 9:14am
Quoting chonchy
.......I see the monthly bar that has retraced to the yellow 5 ema to balance, magenta is there also as resistance, strong resistance that 200 ema, but as you say is an inside bar, I don't trade those eather, I just wait fort the bounce here or a continuance to the down move, for me this chart is up untill all ema's are cross by magenta 200 but like I said before when weekly and daily push it will come to that also, so my guess is that is going to range here untill the elections and then drop like a rock, I mean Ben want to print money and lend...

I know most of You guys are " SWINGERS and SCALPERS and DAY TRADERS "..BUT for me i will WAIT after NFP to look for TRIGGERS...
BUT it would have helped if ALL USD PAIRS were Suggesting same Bias ..SO we must keep an eye on the $$ INDEX.. as well

baz
  • #31,069
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:16am Sep 1, 2012 9:16am
Quoting chonchy
......I think smikester is gone baz and I can stay with my eyes open eather, I will be back later, great analisis baz, thanks a lot, lets see what happens sunday, bbl......
ok..enjoy the BIRTHDAY party.. BUT i will pop in as and when i can.. have ONE on me CHONCHY !!!!


baz
  • #31,070
  • Sep 1, 2012 9:25am Sep 1, 2012 9:25am
We see a HANGMAN,follwed By a Confirmation with a BEEB,and Now we retrace BACK Up to the HANGMAN HIGHS and at PRESENT fail to CLOSE above it.., AUGUST prints a DOJI..
BUT here is my QUESTION ..would you be prepared to WAIT another BAR ( MONTH ) before making a TRADING DECSION ???
Also SEASONALLY..DOW tends to GAIN after SEP/OCT..So Lets SEE after this WEEK ..



http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346509505
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DJ INDUSTRIAL AVG.png Size: 8 KB
  • #31,071
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:04pm Sep 1, 2012 2:04pm
hello there everybody.

miss all of you. been a month or so. since this.

i see that i have a lot of reading to catch up to. the fundies, the techies and the sweet, sweet art.)

(p.s is it chonchy birthday? happy birthday. man.)

speaking of art:

enjoy:
i love how she uses her underwear to tie back her hair.
http://i.imgur.com/vMni3.gif

probably agent 45 in action:
https://s3.amazonaws.com/data.tumblr...sefzo1_500.gif
a
nice view:

https://s3.amazonaws.com/data.tumblr...eoeo1_1280.jpg
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #31,072
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:23pm Sep 1, 2012 2:23pm
four five, roar roar 53 aka level 5, chonchy and ingmarforex,

ON CHINA....HERE is my current take on how to play it. It is long. and there is some reference to background info there. hope you find it useful.

-skynet.



Quoting 45Condor
I think much the same as previous, in that they are at loggerheads over power back home, and do take the occassional opportunity to undermine each other.

Jackson will be where it is a united front, I think, before returning to the same old crap.

What interests me, is what the reaction will be to this:

China announces £800bn stimulus to boost confidence

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/c...onfidence.html

Right, off to bed, and hope all have a good Sunday... not expecting...

Quoting roro53
i think the messages from policy makers and central banks are pretty mixed......so not certain what to make of it...maybe talking the talk buying more time...like the RBA last night.....no real concerns expressed over slowdown in China

it is also possible the central banks are exercising a form of verbal intervention by avoiding the negatives in public statements thereby giving the impression things are looking more positive than the reality.

i don't know, but willing to layer in some modest shorts and use junjuah's mark of 1450 for the...
Quoting ingmarforex
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4LUumD0MwL8

and then off course china
Quoting chonchy
..........they forgot to include the chinese empire, wish it was the first to fall......ja, ja, ja, ja, we are not there yet is we elect Ron Paul everything will be fine........
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #31,073
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:32pm Sep 1, 2012 2:32pm
Quoting Skynet
four five, roar roar 53 aka level 5, chonchy and ingmarforex,

ON CHINA....HERE is my current take on how to play it. It is long. and there is some reference to background info there. hope you find it useful.

-skynet.
........wellcome back mate, I was thinking of you the other day but keep it to myself and wish you came back soon, no, no is not my birthday but my doughter's birthday, so we are at party here, wellcomeback........
The Chonchy
  • #31,074
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:35pm Sep 1, 2012 2:35pm
Quoting Skynet
hello there everybody.

miss all of you. been a month or so. since this.

i see that i have a lot of reading to catch up to. the fundies, the techies and the sweet, sweet art.)

(p.s is it chonchy birthday? happy birthday. man.)

speaking of art:

enjoy:
i love how she uses her underwear to tie back her hair.
http://i.imgur.com/vMni3.gif

probably agent 45 in action:
https://s3.amazonaws.com/data.tumblr...sefzo1_500.gif
a
nice...
........nice view in deed my friend, wellcomeback.........
The Chonchy
  • #31,075
  • Edited 4:12pm Sep 1, 2012 2:37pm | Edited 4:12pm
Quoting baz
We see a HANGMAN,follwed By a Confirmation with a BEEB,and Now we retrace BACK Up to the HANGMAN HIGHS and at PRESENT fail to CLOSE above it.., AUGUST prints a DOJI..
BUT here is my QUESTION ..would you be prepared to WAIT another BAR ( MONTH ) before making a TRADING DECSION ???
Also SEASONALLY..DOW tends to GAIN after SEP/OCT..So Lets SEE after this WEEK ..



http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1346509505
........well to wait for another candle, is here already, today is the first of the month so the new candle is here already, so what do you mean by another candle.....I wait for the new daily candle.......
The Chonchy
  • #31,076
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:43pm Sep 1, 2012 2:43pm
Thx Chonchy, thx Smikester good fathers day here, lots of good stuff.
Love the art still and really starting to like Ron Paul.

He only has 1 year left before retiring though, with so much left to do.
I do fear that if the Fed goes or is exposed and has to become accountable, my mechanical GU swing system may go belly up

That means I'll have to rely on other peoples analysis, or worse, my own...

Anyway, I see multiple reasons for a tech reversal to 1.57 this week on GU and Fundi wise, the further postponement of QE after the QE (hope) spike out of the range.

I am hesitant to post a chart because it is just my own analysis and not a clear swing signal so it maybe very dirty, but is the latest entry in my journal below.

1.57 goes against weekly and monthly PA but we may get a retest of the broken weekly channel and market started reversing toward end of Friday.

If we get to 1.57, I'd be keen to look for signs to confirm longs.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #31,077
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:43pm Sep 1, 2012 2:43pm
Quoting chonchy
........wellcome back mate, I was thinking of you the other day but keep it to myself and wish you came back soon, no, no is not my birthday but my doughter's birthday, so we are at party here, wellcomeback........
Happy Birthday for your daughter sir......looks like am have the same birthday with your daughter,haha
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #31,078
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:46pm Sep 1, 2012 2:46pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Thx Chonchy, thx Smikester good fathers day here, lots of good stuff.
Love the art still and really starting to like Ron Paul.

He only has 1 year left before retiring though, with so much left to do.
I do fear that if the Fed goes or is exposed and has to become accountable, my mechanical GU swing system may go belly up

That means I'll have to rely on other peoples analysis, or worse, my own...

Anyway, I see multiple reasons for a tech reversal to 1.57 this week on GU and Fundi wise, the further postponement of QE after the QE...
Keep posting and sharing bro...together we learn for better future
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #31,079
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:50pm Sep 1, 2012 2:50pm
Quoting smikester
Good stuff. Sometimes the man needs to be pampered. Mine was in June. Isabel did well getting you all that stuff. She's only 1 year old isn't she? How is she and mummy?
She's 8 months and doing great thx Smikester. Both she and mummy doing well, and BOTH sleeping in my bed, hhfffff, it's just a phase I hope
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #31,080
  • Sep 1, 2012 2:56pm Sep 1, 2012 2:56pm
Quoting FXMindset
Keep posting and sharing bro...together we learn for better future
Your b'day??

Happy birthday to you and Chonchys little girl

I prefer to post my swing signals as these are far more accurate and helpful.
My "other" trade analysis is often not so good so rarely helpful.

Having said that, I still like to do it to pass the time but it rarely gets me or others many/any pips...
Come with me if you want to live....
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