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  • #7,301
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:34am Aug 22, 2012 9:34am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
remember guys...
FOMC= strengthen US$...(90% possibility)
If the above is correct and all goes bear's way, what are peoples targets after FOMC?

My TP is 1.041 however would it be unreasonable to move it down to 1.04 or 1.039/8? How significant is FOMC? Im new so please 'bear' with me.
  • #7,302
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:34am Aug 22, 2012 9:34am
Quoting tunera
So, taking for grant for a moment the idea that the usd is poised for further losses (yeah, 10% focm probability), and taking in consideration the fact that eurusd and the usd index in the recent times looks to be highly correlated (i would say almost a mirror!), it's good idea to give a look to euraud, which recent strenght explain why yesterday audusd did fall back to the daily lows.

I see some kind of overbought condition / bearish divergence / loss of bullish momentum, this can lead to a correction in the near future (euraud).


Edit:
this...
Look at GB/AU too.
  • #7,303
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:37am Aug 22, 2012 9:37am
Hi DB.

Where're your cartoon, that's my map for AU.
  • #7,304
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:41am Aug 22, 2012 9:41am
Quoting bouble
Look at GB/AU too.
I see, but is also pretty scare, i mean the gbp/aud and eur/aud current short-term trend is surely up, infact call for a correction (ok overbought, divergences etc.) is very dangerous, i think that i'm pretty aud/usd bullish biased because of my opened long trades, therefore i tend to see this kind of speculative scenarios in other aud pairs, bad!

What can we say, better to stuck to audusd and keep an opened eye on the bearish scenario, and may the market bring profits to everybody
  • #7,305
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:48am Aug 22, 2012 9:48am
Quoting tunera
I see, but is also pretty scare, i mean the gbp/aud and eur/aud current short-term trend is surely up, infact call for a correction (ok overbought, divergences etc.) is very dangerous, i think that i'm pretty aud/usd bullish biased because of my opened long trades, therefore i tend to see this kind of speculative scenarios in other aud pairs, bad!

What can we say, better to stuck to audusd and keep an opened eye on the bearish scenario, and may the market bring profits to everybody
I think it will down more than that if it want to up.

or wait for after RBA.
  • #7,306
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:55am Aug 22, 2012 9:55am
Quoting Robot Trader
If no QE3 then USD should strengthen against the AUD, are you expecting QE3? if not please share why do you think it will go up more?
Well.. I'm not exactly sure myself if it will go up or not.. But yesterday the FOMC speak was what caused the bull rally for EUR and Gold.. Although it did not impact Aussie much (yesterday), in my simple and logical understanding, today's Meeting Minutes should have the summary of yesterday's FOMC speak (would it not?) and if the market was brought up yesterday, then would it be okay for me to think that it would have the same effect again today?
Please correct me if my speculations are wrong, because I personally hope for AUD to go down
  • #7,307
  • Aug 22, 2012 9:55am Aug 22, 2012 9:55am
Dipping down soon before going up ? Or BEARing down for good ? http://i1169.photobucket.com/albums/...o/2bd5ef1c.png
  • #7,308
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:18am Aug 22, 2012 10:18am
Double bottom ?
  • #7,309
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:19am Aug 22, 2012 10:19am
Break and retest of 1.0450/60 level.
Will H4 SMA200 hold?
  • #7,310
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:24am Aug 22, 2012 10:24am
Quoting dav7
Dipping down soon before going up ? Or BEARing down for good ?
Welcome dav7! How about BULLion up for a couple of days?
daddybearforex. com
  • #7,311
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:30am Aug 22, 2012 10:30am
Quoting DaddyBear
Welcome dav7! How about BULLion up for a couple of days?
Clear rejection in the 1.0412 area. Are we going up DB ?
  • #7,312
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:35am Aug 22, 2012 10:35am
Hmmm ...

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audh4db.gif Size: 17 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audm15pb.gif Size: 17 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audd1.gif Size: 20 KB
  • #7,313
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:35am Aug 22, 2012 10:35am
Quoting irfandbl
14,3,3 stochastic targets for H4 couldn't be obtained (yet), the 14,3,3 stochastic line failed to cross level 50. Will have to wait for another 4 hours for new H4 14,3,3 targets. So nothing has changed so far in my view

Attachment

Attachment
Good evening guys, here are the 14,3,3 stochastic targets for H4 as I couldn't obtain them earlier this afternoon

Attached Image
  • #7,314
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:43am Aug 22, 2012 10:43am
Another daily view:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: anotherdaily.gif Size: 39 KB
  • #7,315
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:44am Aug 22, 2012 10:44am
Got stopped out of my AudChf long.

It's weird how I had five weeks of profit, then three red weeks. I haven't changed my entry or exit strategies, but the complete opposite happens when I get in. It used to be that I wouldn't take a trade and that was a good idea, and the trades I took were a good idea. Now, my trades go immediately against me within one minute and the ones I don't take go up like crazy.

Is there such a thing as opposite month?

Edit: YES, NOW MY CHARTS REFUSE TO LOAD!
Play the players, not the cards.
  • #7,316
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:48am Aug 22, 2012 10:48am
Quoting doblece
Hmmm ...

Attachment

Attachment

Attachment

You can always put a SL below the low and give it a shot.
  • #7,317
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:51am Aug 22, 2012 10:51am
Quoting GnarlyPips
Got stopped out of my AudChf long.

It's weird how I had five weeks of profit, then three red weeks. I haven't changed my entry or exit strategies, but the complete opposite happens when I get in. It used to be that I wouldn't take a trade and that was a good idea, and the trades I took were a good idea. Now, my trades go immediately against me within one minute and the ones I don't take go up like crazy.

Is there such a thing as opposite month?

Edit: YES, NOW MY CHARTS REFUSE TO LOAD!
Out of all the stop loss trades I made this month, only 1 profit for about 20 pips.. the rest are Red (negative), it would be lucky enough to get to the break even equity
  • #7,318
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:51am Aug 22, 2012 10:51am
Quoting flipnfaith
Clear rejection in the 1.0412 area. Are we going up DB ?
Let me answer your question with tunera's chart and

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1345628853

my cartoon ......

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1345612550
daddybearforex. com
  • #7,319
  • Aug 22, 2012 10:57am Aug 22, 2012 10:57am
Quoting DaddyBear
Let me answer your question with tunera's chart and

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1345628853

my cartoon ......

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1345612550
what about FOMC meeting minute DB?
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #7,320
  • Aug 22, 2012 11:02am Aug 22, 2012 11:02am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
what about FOMC meeting minute DB?
?
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1345565773
daddybearforex. com
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