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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #30,401
  • Aug 16, 2012 12:22am Aug 16, 2012 12:22am
I see a short on e/u as a fairly safe trade.
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FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #30,402
  • Aug 16, 2012 1:06am Aug 16, 2012 1:06am
Quoting bogus
I see a short on e/u as a fairly safe trade.
Yers, I was looking at that trend line as well. But you were right to draw that horizontal line because there has been some support there (1.2260).

That bullish weekly bar ain't fooling anyone - I'm thinking until Mario Draghi's speech comes true the markets are going to the dollar for safety rather than the Euro.

He now says the ECB 'may undertake outright open market operations of a size adequate to meet its objective' and that the Euro will be preserved. I think everyone in Europe wants to believe that but his phrase "shorter term challenges" tells us more.

When will everyone agree to "Bail Out Max" instead of "Bail Out Lite"? Just like when we buy software, we only upgrade when the "Lite" doesn't cut it anymore.

Of course, I could be wrong.
Gone to a better place
  • #30,403
  • Aug 16, 2012 1:18am Aug 16, 2012 1:18am
Quoting 45Condor
Indeed, as soon as the maid has done the dishes, I'll send her round to clean that floor.

Right, must be off.

Green pips to all.
Hey Condor, don't wear her out. And thanks for the charts. I don't agree with all your point of view, as usual. The bit I agree with is it's time we broke out of that weekly triangle and started making some money.
Gone to a better place
  • #30,404
  • Aug 16, 2012 5:12am Aug 16, 2012 5:12am
Quoting smikester
Hey, it's time we broke out of and started making some money.
she may be thinking like you, smikester

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m7...mc2eo1_500.jpg
  • #30,405
  • Aug 16, 2012 8:29am Aug 16, 2012 8:29am
Quoting roro53
she may be thinking like you, smikester

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m7...mc2eo1_500.jpg
That is a nice triangle Roro, he he
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #30,406
  • Aug 16, 2012 8:38am Aug 16, 2012 8:38am
http://whattheeff.com/wp-content/upl...er-hot-31.jpeg
  • #30,407
  • Aug 16, 2012 10:37am Aug 16, 2012 10:37am
Nice charts everyone, I must say. I was browsing my hard disk avoiding any useful type of work and was struck by this image of Condor 45 on a mission:

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Gone to a better place
  • #30,408
  • Aug 16, 2012 11:18am Aug 16, 2012 11:18am
german and us yields drifting up gives some weaknes to the yen.

see how far it will go keeping eyes on the 145 mark in 30 yrs if whe bottom out around there a bit.

Here some techs

http://f.doctm.com/688a8fe6/8220QE382210.pdf


In terms of yuro i still think she might go to 1.25 i am still long in and out a bit but biased short term long.
Eu has still liquidity gap open i see to get filled first.

Watching mainly usd to this trendline also 200ema there but this is futures i like them more then index
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  • #30,409
  • Aug 16, 2012 11:31am Aug 16, 2012 11:31am
white house dusting old plans oil reserves lol they dont have any go fuck yourself
  • #30,410
  • Aug 16, 2012 11:34am Aug 16, 2012 11:34am
Obama what ya gonna do when they come for you.....

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  • #30,411
  • Aug 16, 2012 3:05pm Aug 16, 2012 3:05pm
Quoting ingmarforex
white house dusting old plans oil reserves lol they dont have any go fuck yourself
got that last line in the article...sticky situation for the pols....

"Oil for now is not buying it for the simple reason that with cross-asset correlations at one, a Strategic Petroluem Reserve release would also means an interim S&P 500 top."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/margin...eserve-release
  • #30,412
  • Aug 16, 2012 4:08pm Aug 16, 2012 4:08pm
..........I'm just fine, bbl.....

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The Chonchy
  • #30,413
  • Aug 16, 2012 4:31pm Aug 16, 2012 4:31pm
Quoting roro53
got that last line in the article...sticky situation for the pols....

"Oil for now is not buying it for the simple reason that with cross-asset correlations at one, a Strategic Petroluem Reserve release would also means an interim S&P 500 top."

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/margin...eserve-release
Yeah probally profit taking and contract rollovers comming also option expirations.

Not sure what obama gonna do any he already loses his cards after election the beast will still go up for me i am not shorting it. Whe hit tech level and things line up for a short but i will sit and watch out and if pullsback buy some again for lower prices anyway contracts expiring. See how she rolls from here.

in spy i am not seeing huge volume yet that will make me curious for a short long bar on high volume in the highs i wanna see volume isnt high enough here for my liking..
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  • #30,414
  • Aug 16, 2012 4:38pm Aug 16, 2012 4:38pm
What is intresting lately all vols extreme low crude vol vix euro gold.

Maybe long sept short nov in options you could make bigg but maybe also need some stones if want
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  • #30,415
  • Aug 16, 2012 4:50pm Aug 16, 2012 4:50pm
Quoting chonchy
..........I'm just fine, bbl.....

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Nice entry
What's bbl?
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #30,416
  • Aug 16, 2012 5:47pm Aug 16, 2012 5:47pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Nice entry
What's bbl?
Be back later.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #30,417
  • Aug 16, 2012 6:04pm Aug 16, 2012 6:04pm
Quoting bogus
Be back later.
Right, thx dude
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #30,418
  • Edited 7:51pm Aug 16, 2012 7:03pm | Edited 7:51pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Yeah probally profit taking and contract rollovers comming also option expirations.

Not sure what obama gonna do any he already loses his cards after election the beast will still go up for me i am not shorting it. Whe hit tech level and things line up for a short but i will sit and watch out and if pullsback buy some again for lower prices anyway contracts expiring. See how she rolls from here.

in spy i am not seeing huge volume yet that will make me curious for a short long bar on high volume in the highs i wanna see volume isnt high enough...
Merkel is playing the perception game again today with a press conference in Canada so maybe ES runs higher to 1425..that Citi Research report points out a stressed environment for US small business, and calls for another $30 on Brent (cannot possibly be good for EZ), a MUCH lower UST 10 Yr yield and a much higher Dollar.......lower lower ES

it also calls for a FED dealing with a confluence of confusing economic and political cross currents so tough call imo which is maybe why the markets are drifting higher on negative prints......in other words the FED decides to play safe coming out of Jackson Hole

i like 45's take on it in the context of a managed script as there certainly appears to be a disciplined tone common among the message put out by CBs and policy makers........ #30400 ......

Quoting 45 - "My take on the BoE - and others - is that large capital injections, when expected by the market, are not having the desired effect......Therefore, have the feeling that a better-coordinated injection of confusing signals into the markets is being undertaken by all that can have some form of control over it, and, prevents wasting large injections of cash being placed by participants."

Roro thinks M King has done a 180 and is now singing an entirely different song than only weeks ago, and is completely full of shit.

regardless of what the fuckers fuck with the public perception the art message is always consistent.....work it out.....satisfaction

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m8...7xwvo1_500.jpg
  • #30,419
  • Aug 16, 2012 7:33pm Aug 16, 2012 7:33pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Yeah probally profit taking and contract rollovers comming also option expirations.

Not sure what obama gonna do any he already loses his cards after election the beast will still go up for me i am not shorting it. Whe hit tech level and things line up for a short but i will sit and watch out and if pullsback buy some again for lower prices anyway contracts expiring. See how she rolls from here.

in spy i am not seeing huge volume yet that will make me curious for a short long bar on high volume in the highs i wanna see volume isnt high enough...
Thks Ingmar for lesson re vol interests me VERY much.. dont really understand..ant time u got time re your opn on vol.. on yr posts woul be VERY much appreciated my end..
  • #30,420
  • Aug 16, 2012 9:03pm Aug 16, 2012 9:03pm
WHat a nice thread about nothing here guys
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