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  • #5,581
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:17am Aug 13, 2012 10:17am
Quoting Esssex
Just thought I'd come in to say that recently, my well-to-do peers who aren't active traders/investors are contemplating buying the AUD.

A sign to me, that dumb money is entering the market and would be an indicator for position traders like me that a top maybe forming.

I'm contemplating moving some money into the CAD but will still be playing AUD depending on the price levels. Happy day trading you guys!
Current price seems to confirm my theory that the smart money is already slowly leaving the AUD.

Just exactly how much money will leave the AUD? I'm not sure, most likely significant move down for the dumb money to capitulate before they return but my AUD/CAD is doing great so far.
  • #5,582
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:18am Aug 13, 2012 10:18am
Quoting 5percent
below 1.0495 says goodbye to 1.0615. and say hi to 1.0436
does that mean an hourrly close below ?
  • #5,583
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:21am Aug 13, 2012 10:21am
Quoting supertubes
does that mean an hourrly close below ?
don't get what u mean. U mean hour close below 1.0495? or price going there? i can't predict the future.
  • #5,584
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:24am Aug 13, 2012 10:24am
Quoting 5percent
don't get what u mean. U mean hour close below 1.0495? or price going there? i can't predict the future.
When you said if it goes below 10495 , i was meaning does it have to go and close an hour candle below it rather than just go through slightly and bounce like it did at 10487 on friday sorry i should of said more clearly
  • #5,585
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:26am Aug 13, 2012 10:26am
Quoting supertubes
When you said if it goes below 10495 , i was meaning does it have to go and close an hour candle below it rather than just go through slightly and bounce like it did at 10487 on friday sorry i should of said more clearly
friday was 95-97 not 87, that's on my broker. only below 1.0495 favors the outlook for next support in 1.0473 then 1.0436 area. The market has been very thin, and it's heading for us lone session, so i am not expecting much, more consolidation or ranging again.

Either way i guess, close ofc will be better for short positions, but it doesn't matter? Do u see rally wick being seen as resistance? it just act as a supply, and then PRice action overlapse it and shoot higher.

Unlike, the past months, good volatility on europe and us session, this 2 weeks is making me boring.

Closing can be tricky on 1hour, sometimes it's made a way to set bull/bear trap. Have to check smaller tf for supply/demand too.
  • #5,586
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:34am Aug 13, 2012 10:34am
Quoting 5percent
friday was 95-97 not 87, that's on my broker. only below 1.0495 favors the outlook for next support in 1.0473 then 1.0436 area. The market has been very thin, and it's heading for us lone session, so i am not expecting much, more consolidation or ranging again.

Either way i guess, close ofc will be better for short positions, but it doesn't matter? Do u see rally wick being seen as resistance? it just act as a supply, and then PRice action overlapse it and shoot higher.

Unlike, the past months, good volatility on europe and us session, this 2...
i made a typo my broker said 10497... i will watch closeley thanks
  • #5,587
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:41am Aug 13, 2012 10:41am
After playing swing all night, the Bull fell asleep ........

Attention: DaddyBear's cartoons are not indicators, please do not apply them to your charts because they won't fit anyway.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: SWING-7.JPG Size: 93 KB
daddybearforex. com
  • #5,588
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:47am Aug 13, 2012 10:47am
Quoting DaddyBear
After playing swing all night, the Bull fell asleep ........

Attention: DaddyBear's cartoons are not indicators, please do not apply them to your charts because they won't fit anyway.
When will he wake up? Let me guess. Maybe in next 36 hours. What a deep sleep
  • #5,589
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:49am Aug 13, 2012 10:49am
Quoting DaddyBear
After playing swing all night, the Bull fell asleep ........

Attention: DaddyBear's cartoons are not indicators, please do not apply them to your charts because they won't fit anyway.
Ha ha. Good one!
If it breaks below 1.0495, then we've got a lower high and a lower low.
Seems like this pair is slowly turning. Still short 1.0568, but I'll be looking to add to my short with the next rally.
  • #5,590
  • Aug 13, 2012 10:59am Aug 13, 2012 10:59am
Nice fat bear on hour 4 . Hope not another disappointing bear. I am sure he's fat enough to take out the mini bulls seating there.
  • #5,591
  • Aug 13, 2012 11:14am Aug 13, 2012 11:14am
Quoting salt
When will he wake up? Let me guess. Maybe in next 36 hours. What a deep sleep
I wouldn't count on this.
daddybearforex. com
  • #5,592
  • Aug 13, 2012 11:18am Aug 13, 2012 11:18am
Quoting Hookem28
Ha ha. Good one!
If it breaks below 1.0495, then we've got a lower high and a lower low.
Seems like this pair is slowly turning. Still short 1.0568, but I'll be looking to add to my short with the next rally.
This is what happened .........

Attention:
DaddyBear's cartoons are not indicators. Please do not apply them to your charts because they won't fit anyway.

http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1342456421
daddybearforex. com
  • #5,593
  • Aug 13, 2012 11:22am Aug 13, 2012 11:22am
Hey guys, do you think we will see 1.0376 this week?
I think we will se a little rebound to 1.0530-40 and then will continue falling all the week
  • #5,594
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:06pm Aug 13, 2012 12:06pm
Quoting payal
Looks like the right shoulder just completed and we might see 437 by tuesday??

Looks like the pair is heading in that direction
  • #5,595
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:11pm Aug 13, 2012 12:11pm
Quoting payal
Looks like the pair is heading in that direction
DB, did you see what I kind of saw on Friday (see my H&S posting) as per my your EWP?
  • #5,596
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:15pm Aug 13, 2012 12:15pm
I see a double-bottom here
  • #5,597
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:18pm Aug 13, 2012 12:18pm
........I want to say that this is a very nice thread, congrats......... . thanks DaddyBear for this thread...........
The Chonchy
  • #5,598
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:31pm Aug 13, 2012 12:31pm
Quoting tomplank
I see a double-bottom here
Yes. Let's hope it gets broken during Asia session. EUR/AUD is moving up as it had been spiraling down for the last 12 weeks (1400 pips).
  • #5,599
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:35pm Aug 13, 2012 12:35pm
Quoting payal
Yes. Let's hope it gets broken during Asia session. EUR/AUD is moving up as it had been spiraling down for the last 12 weeks (1400 pips).
I think we are going up from here.
30-40 pips
  • #5,600
  • Aug 13, 2012 12:36pm Aug 13, 2012 12:36pm
Quoting payal
Looks like the pair is heading in that direction
Seems to me, most people here are sitting at the down side of the isle. Let's look at Daily ADX. Is this an ending (terminus) pattern or not?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ADX-081312.JPG Size: 80 KB
daddybearforex. com
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