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  • #2,141
  • Jul 30, 2012 4:24pm Jul 30, 2012 4:24pm
Quoting DaddyBear
My watch is only for hourly not for minutes. I looked at it again earlier, it didn't move a bit. But, I guess it shall move to 12 sooner or later.
time will tell . . . .
  • #2,142
  • Jul 30, 2012 5:31pm Jul 30, 2012 5:31pm
unless aud's data is really good later, else aud should really come down soon. It has been trying to reject every hourly possible turning point. on a very steep slope.

the range for ytd is also limited.

today's upside should be around 1.0530-50. down 1.0470 and 1.0450 before we can see more.
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  • #2,143
  • Jul 30, 2012 5:34pm Jul 30, 2012 5:34pm
Quoting DonL
I've just had a look at this last price move and see two possibilities.

the AUD has just pulled back to my upper trend line and will either test it again before moving back to the previously made topat 1.0484 and if it makes it past that then it will head to the lower trendline at 1.0470.

If it bounces from where it just touched, it should find it's way to just above 1.05 in the immediate future to fulfill my morning prediction.

Attachment
15 min as posted last night during the London session. Always good to wake up in the morning with it all filled in and following the lines.

I see that PA couldn't get past the previous high so never made it to 1.0470, and I see one good attempt at 1.0505 but nothing to trigger a trade to the next level.
Now watching the 1.0490-95 lines to see who's in control.

It's a bull... it's a bear... hmmm it's neither ATM
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!
  • #2,144
  • Jul 30, 2012 6:50pm Jul 30, 2012 6:50pm
good evening everyone...well I hope I'm not being greedy but I just moved my TP to 1.0532 from 1.0520
  • #2,145
  • Jul 30, 2012 6:55pm Jul 30, 2012 6:55pm
Quoting petehnm
good evening everyone...well I hope I'm not being greedy but I just moved my TP to 1.0532 from 1.0520
You are greedy =) But I hope you get it, I'm holdig my longs for now as well, no real level, just watching PA and my Stochastic
  • #2,146
  • Jul 30, 2012 6:57pm Jul 30, 2012 6:57pm
Entered short at the Bulls' trap at hilltop as planed.
daddybearforex. com
  • #2,147
  • Jul 30, 2012 6:59pm Jul 30, 2012 6:59pm
Closed longs, and opened shorts, with 10 pips SL, we'll see where it takes us
  • #2,148
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:02pm Jul 30, 2012 7:02pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Entered short at the Bulls' trap at hilltop as planed.
Although not confirmed, a Doji has formed at the top of M15 chart.
daddybearforex. com
  • #2,149
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:03pm Jul 30, 2012 7:03pm
it has a 80% chance to go to 82 from here...i m short at 0501 from this morning...also short USDCHF
  • #2,150
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:04pm Jul 30, 2012 7:04pm
0530 might hold too...it has to pass that first...bastards it shouldn't have passed that 0477
  • #2,151
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:05pm Jul 30, 2012 7:05pm
Quoting NYForexer
You are greedy =) But I hope you get it, I'm holdig my longs for now as well, no real level, just watching PA and my Stochastic
LOL...thank for your honesty bro...I actually think this puppy can make it up to 1.0550 and then the plunge tomorrow after china's pmi numbers come out low...just a thought...
  • #2,152
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:07pm Jul 30, 2012 7:07pm
Wow the numbers aren't that bad, particularly building approvals.

Hell, even Japanese numbers beat my expectations. Will the Aussie ever pullback at this rate?

Hopefully what you guys say is correct and that it is a bull trap.
  • #2,153
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:12pm Jul 30, 2012 7:12pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Although not confirmed, a Doji has formed at the top of M15 chart.
I always look cool
There are those who know, and there are those who don't know.
  • #2,154
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:14pm Jul 30, 2012 7:14pm
Quoting NYForexer
You are greedy =) But I hope you get it, I'm holdig my longs for now as well, no real level, just watching PA and my Stochastic
Why did you change your mind?
daddybearforex. com
  • #2,155
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:20pm Jul 30, 2012 7:20pm
Quoting Esssex
Wow the numbers aren't that bad, particularly building approvals.

Hell, even Japanese numbers beat my expectations. Will the Aussie ever pullback at this rate?

Hopefully what you guys say is correct and that it is a bull trap.
A time to kill! Even this is not the top, the truck going to the slaughterhouse is ready to go.
daddybearforex. com
  • #2,156
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:23pm Jul 30, 2012 7:23pm
Quoting DonL

Attachment

BTW... If it breaks above 1.0505, might take a buy for TP at 1.0543 with half the lots TP at 1.0520,..Good place for a SL might be 1.0455!
For those that see it the other way, I don't think I would short to hastily after it passes that level.
(Don't take my word for it without making your own analysis)
Well the 1.0505 trade triggered and first half of lots sold at 1.0520 to lock in some profit. The other half with a BE Stop loss to see if it makes it to 1.0455.

may decide to exit earlier if PA shows it.
  • #2,157
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:25pm Jul 30, 2012 7:25pm
Quoting DaddyBear
A time to kill! Even this is not the top, the truck going to the slaughterhouse is ready to go.
M1 ADX indicates the bulls are getting exhausted at this point.
daddybearforex. com
  • #2,158
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:29pm Jul 30, 2012 7:29pm
Quoting DaddyBear
M1 ADX indicates the bulls are getting exhausted at this point.
I agree.
Closed the rest of my trade and looking for a new entry.
  • #2,159
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:31pm Jul 30, 2012 7:31pm
Quoting DaddyBear
M1 ADX indicates the bulls are getting exhausted at this point.
All the bulls were taken to the truck. There was no resistance. The truck is heading to the hillside S. house.
daddybearforex. com
  • #2,160
  • Jul 30, 2012 7:33pm Jul 30, 2012 7:33pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Why did you change your mind?
It just seem to me that there was not enough steam to push it up, therefore a pullback is more probable. Just some of my observations. When its news time I mostly watch PA and see how it goes from there.
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