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Silent Service Method

  • #14,201
  • Jul 17, 2012 3:40am Jul 17, 2012 3:40am
Quoting stewrigh
Yep I think theres a big crash coming. Read something over the weekend about the states, going bankrupt and CAFR's

Basically all the states have huge funds invested in bonds, treasuries, equities etc. Can you imagine what would happen if the states all decided to sell their bonds etc.

I'll pst the link if I find it.
That's interesting as I have my eye on T-Bonds at the moment for a potential short (once price breaks down that is). Lets hope its not too violent in the beginning so we can actually establish a position to hold to the bitter end.
Daily - Could have a Double Top forming?
Monthly - Looks a bit parabolic to me?
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  • #14,202
  • Jul 17, 2012 9:43am Jul 17, 2012 9:43am
10:42 EDT - Even as Bernanke drops no hint on QE3, which hurts stocks and helps bonds pare losses, Kevin Walter, head of Treasury trading at BNP Paribas, says Fed will launch new stimulus at the September policy meeting. Investors surely are not happy that Bernanke didn't mention QE3 on Tues, as Fed chairman is downbeat on growth, but Walter notes that Bernanke represents the whole committee when testifying before lawmakers. "We still believe QE3 will come in September," Walter says. The 10-year note is recently 3/32 lower to yield 1.474%, continuing to recover as US stocks fall further.


I kind of wish they would just do it. Make it an easy trading the rest of the year... lol.
  • #14,203
  • Jul 17, 2012 5:32pm Jul 17, 2012 5:32pm
Quoting Venice
10:42 EDT - Even as Bernanke drops no hint on QE3, which hurts stocks and helps bonds pare losses, Kevin Walter, head of Treasury trading at BNP Paribas, says Fed will launch new stimulus at the September policy meeting. Investors surely are not happy that Bernanke didn't mention QE3 on Tues, as Fed chairman is downbeat on growth, but Walter notes that Bernanke represents the whole committee when testifying before lawmakers. "We still believe QE3 will come in September," Walter says. The 10-year note is recently 3/32 lower to yield 1.474%, continuing...
Not really....think of it this way: Who isn't easing? The whole thing is a race to the bottom, and I think the Fed will not ease until after the elections. Unless there is something really bad in the data......

Bankers, some of the dumbest people on the planet. Just because they want the sugar high doesn't mean it will happen. It has yet to help the economy in any substantial way.
  • #14,204
  • Jul 18, 2012 9:07am Jul 18, 2012 9:07am
Wonder what happened to James, I am sure there is a rea$on.
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  • #14,205
  • Jul 19, 2012 3:39pm Jul 19, 2012 3:39pm
Quoting clockwork71
Wonder what happened to James, I am sure there is a rea$on.
A rea$on? No wait, I get it!
  • #14,206
  • Jul 19, 2012 11:53pm Jul 19, 2012 11:53pm
Quoting clockwork71
Wonder what happened to James, I am sure there is a rea$on.
Yep $ame rea$on $trat don't post anymore lol.
  • #14,207
  • Jul 20, 2012 12:42am Jul 20, 2012 12:42am
In my best drunken English football fan voice "Here we go, 'ear we go, 'ear we go........"

Energies are mighty interesting at the moment.
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  • #14,208
  • Jul 20, 2012 1:03am Jul 20, 2012 1:03am
Quoting mypipbull
In my best drunken English football fan voice "Here we go, 'ear we go, 'ear we go........"

Energies are mighty interesting at the moment.
The softs are even more interesting lol. Have you looked a wheat lately??
  • #14,209
  • Jul 20, 2012 2:13am Jul 20, 2012 2:13am
Quoting stewrigh
The softs are even more interesting lol. Have you looked a wheat lately??
Too true......I look at the softs/grains every day. I could never find a logical pullback in which to consider a buy, the moves are very parabolic.....missed the bus on those as its way to late to jump on now in my opinion.

I intend to possibly short Soybeans as this is the most hardy of the grains and 'could' recover should they get some (a lot) of rain. The Corn crop is stuffed.

Energies on the other hand may just be starting the up move.....I got long Heating Oil on the 3rd July.......so far so good.
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  • #14,210
  • Jul 20, 2012 2:32am Jul 20, 2012 2:32am
Quoting clockwork71
It's hard to tell really as the FX markets aren't regulated in the normal sense of the word.

As for the stock markets (in the US) I think we could see a shift in the way people are allowed to trade. However, in the meantime it will flourish. The main reason is that the exchanges make commission off of all of the trades. In other words - the NYSE and NASDAQ are all for this bullshit. As the HFT traders make up as much as 70% of the NYSE orders on a daily basis, it will take a lot to unwind this bullshit. However, I think there is a scenario we...
the problem is HFT have actually been drying up volume in many of these exchanges, look at CME, NYMEX, LIFFE etc etc the HFT has flooded out locals and the exchanges are starting to note this as revenue has dropped off a cliff..
Grabbing the bull by the horns!
  • #14,211
  • Jul 20, 2012 2:35am Jul 20, 2012 2:35am
Quoting clockwork71
Wonder what happened to James, I am sure there is a rea$on.
a black mark on this whole site, the fraudster with his useful idiots in tow

why isnt it a simple requirement that if you run a commercial trading 'service' that you also publish audited trading accounts?
Grabbing the bull by the horns!
  • #14,212
  • Jul 20, 2012 3:27am Jul 20, 2012 3:27am
Quoting mypipbull
Too true......I look at the softs/grains every day. I could never find a logical pullback in which to consider a buy, the moves are very parabolic.....missed the bus on those as its way to late to jump on now in my opinion.
There's probably a good reason for it but why do you not use pending orders to buy the breakouts? For my Donchian channel trading I wait for the close of the candle to be above the channel top and it works fine but pending orders are profitable too, at least in my testing.
  • #14,213
  • Jul 20, 2012 4:33am Jul 20, 2012 4:33am
Quoting mypipbull
In my best drunken English football fan voice "Here we go, 'ear we go, 'ear we go........"

Energies are mighty interesting at the moment.
When I drill down, I have the resistance @ 3 - 3.10

However, it certainly looks like it.....
  • #14,214
  • Jul 20, 2012 4:36am Jul 20, 2012 4:36am
Quoting mypipbull
Too true......I look at the softs/grains every day. I could never find a logical pullback in which to consider a buy, the moves are very parabolic.....missed the bus on those as its way to late to jump on now in my opinion.

I intend to possibly short Soybeans as this is the most hardy of the grains and 'could' recover should they get some (a lot) of rain. The Corn crop is stuffed.

Energies on the other hand may just be starting the up move.....I got long Heating Oil on the 3rd July.......so far so good.
The corn crop is screwed at this point I think. My stepfather lives in the middle of nowhere, and he tells me that the local crops are in trouble. They are producing ears of corn about half of the normal size.......and Ohio has been hot, but not as hot and dry as some of the larger corn producing states......

One thing to pay attention to: ethanol. If they cut production, this would put a lot of corn back into the market.
  • #14,215
  • Jul 20, 2012 4:37am Jul 20, 2012 4:37am
Quoting whitegoodman
a black mark on this whole site, the fraudster with his useful idiots in tow

why isnt it a simple requirement that if you run a commercial trading 'service' that you also publish audited trading accounts?
Or hell, just an occasional call or screen shot of a trade before the fact.....not weeks later.
  • #14,216
  • Jul 20, 2012 4:38am Jul 20, 2012 4:38am
Quoting whitegoodman
the problem is HFT have actually been drying up volume in many of these exchanges, look at CME, NYMEX, LIFFE etc etc the HFT has flooded out locals and the exchanges are starting to note this as revenue has dropped off a cliff..
I hope so.......HFT is a mess. I cannot but help to think of the retirement accounts that it messes with. If the exchanges start to lose money, that is what will move the ball against all of the HFT.......
  • #14,217
  • Jul 20, 2012 5:09am Jul 20, 2012 5:09am
Quoting clockwork71
The corn crop is screwed at this point I think. My stepfather lives in the middle of nowhere, and he tells me that the local crops are in trouble. They are producing ears of corn about half of the normal size.......and Ohio has been hot, but not as hot and dry as some of the larger corn producing states......

One thing to pay attention to: ethanol. If they cut production, this would put a lot of corn back into the market.
Ethanol? You mean moonshine?
  • #14,218
  • Jul 20, 2012 5:17am Jul 20, 2012 5:17am
there never is a FAIR PLAYING field for the " Small Guys "..with big Leeches.around..
Greedy..greedy..Greedy..No morals..no Ethics..

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/bu...e-7960151.html

baz
  • #14,219
  • Jul 20, 2012 5:23am Jul 20, 2012 5:23am
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1342779796

Cometh the " HANGMAN "..
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  • #14,220
  • Jul 20, 2012 5:39am Jul 20, 2012 5:39am
Quoting whitegoodman
a black mark on this whole site, the fraudster with his useful idiots in tow

why isnt it a simple requirement that if you run a commercial trading 'service' that you also publish audited trading accounts?
when i first read this on J16.. i thought it was a FANCY WORDING for PRAISE..BUT than ..,as i am not articulate in English language.. i Googled it ..
and i mean there are actual Experiments !!!..

just so everyone knows what i am on about..Whitegoodmans obsrvation on J16

"this thread is a excellent example in group cognitive dissonance.. i commend all its contributors to the experiment "
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