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AUD/USD

  • #49,741
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:05am Jul 13, 2012 8:05am
Quoting DaddyBear
Good morning, egkid. Very good comment on why people trade differently. Sorry, Good evening!
irony is egkid is also on board the bear train... if i remember correctly hes also short 1.0170 and pending short at 1.0200
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #49,742
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:07am Jul 13, 2012 8:07am
Midas FG thank you for pointing this chart out to me I did not really see that it does look like topping formation to come to the level you put...
I am looking at the dollar now the HI yesterday was 83.985 and since has been rejected 3times over the US session yesterday now pressing 83.915 If it pushes through this time your short is looking real nice...

Im long about to get stopped out at 1.0150 but I did less than 1% of the acct on this play hoping we were going to have a NY pop or still hoping I should say.
  • #49,743
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:12am Jul 13, 2012 8:12am
Quoting azzam
Dear Daddy Bear,

I really enjoying your analysis and cartoon, and if some members here insult you, in any kind if way, just ingore them. They'll go crazy when you do that. Try it.

Best Regards.
Thanks, azzam. This is one of the best advices I have received in this forum. I will do my best and let those people go crazy.
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,744
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:14am Jul 13, 2012 8:14am
Quoting DaddyBear
Thanks, azzam. This is one of the best advices I have received in this forum. I will do my best and let those people go crazy.
what you think,how much it can sink?
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #49,745
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:15am Jul 13, 2012 8:15am
Quoting jplazard
Midas FG thank you for pointing this chart out to me I did not really see that it does look like topping formation to come to the level you put...
I am looking at the dollar now the HI yesterday was 83.985 and since has been rejected 3times over the US session yesterday now pressing 83.915 If it pushes through this time your short is looking real nice...

Im long about to get stopped out at 1.0150 but I did less than 1% of the acct on this play hoping we were going to have a NY pop or still hoping I should say.
glad to hear, thank you ... The mood yesterday was bearish made ​​40 points, but was afraid level 1,0125. Closed. Today is the second attempt.
  • #49,746
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:16am Jul 13, 2012 8:16am
Quoting bguguen
irony is egkid is also on board the bear train... if i remember correctly hes also short 1.0170 and pending short at 1.0200
I was checking my map for G/U AND AUD/U , GOLD
And now checking E/U wow not sure yet but looks to me Very Very strong Down trend "Monthly chart so Ugly"
That's lead me to my Gold analysis which is 95% sure about it and logically to see e/u go that way i see now on monthly chart

Time best tool to tell
  • #49,747
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:17am Jul 13, 2012 8:17am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
what you think,how much it can sink?
you said au will go down a little,that little down completed or still have some room for bears?
Sometimes it's better to be wrong,to learn..
  • #49,748
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:19am Jul 13, 2012 8:19am
Quoting egkid
I was checking my map for G/U AND AUD/U , GOLD
And now checking E/U wow not sure yet but looks to me Very Very strong Down trend "Monthly chart so Ugly"
That's lead me to my Gold analysis which is 95% sure about it and logically to see e/u go that way i see now on monthly chart

Time best tool to tell
i still think EU is in trouble.... and that risk aversion flow will lead to strong USD, snice QE3 has been delayed on and on....and this strong USD will hampen EU, GU, AU, NU, and shoots up UCHF etc etc...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #49,749
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:21am Jul 13, 2012 8:21am
Quoting KiNgEdwarD
what you think,how much it can sink?
Not much. I am preparing to load more long when it hits the turning point shortly.
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,750
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:23am Jul 13, 2012 8:23am
I took off half at GDP when it failed to deliver then the rest at the top tick basically lol...Then went long long1.0180 because their was unusual interest coming through on DOM dollar short side...I let that convince me we were going to try the retest of 84 and fail again until it gave way lower which so far no 84print yet....

Overall I should of stuck to my bearish call 3days ago of parity and not let this obv profit taking scare me out of the position... I will be back on the short bus with you if we get to 1.0135 as that would put Dollar above 84 and /es below 1330 again
  • #49,751
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:27am Jul 13, 2012 8:27am
Quoting bguguen
i still think EU is in trouble.... and that risk aversion flow will lead to strong USD, snice QE3 has been delayed on and on....and this strong USD will hampen EU, GU, AU, NU, and shoots up UCHF etc etc...
Finished my analysis with G/U want to take sell
Tell me your view daily - 4h and will tell u mine if you Intrested
  • #49,752
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:31am Jul 13, 2012 8:31am
Quoting egkid
Finished my analysis with G/U want to take sell
Tell me your view daily - 4h and will tell u mine if you Intrested
my view on GBPUSD?? wont short until it reaches 1.5800 yep.... wana know why?? thats wehre the Daily Chart EMA 200 is at and thats where you get the highest probability winnings if you trade that line....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #49,753
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:32am Jul 13, 2012 8:32am
Quoting DaddyBear
Not much. I am preparing to load more long when it hits the turning point shortly.
So long 1.0170! So long bears! Ms. Bull's balloon is flying higher and higher .........
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,754
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:36am Jul 13, 2012 8:36am
Dollar futures failed again to reach 84 this can be the moment we start trading down to 83.40 level maybe even 83.15 if the market really picks up on the risk trade. And RSI is about to get hit downward

If we break below 83.60 than ES will go north along with AUD/USD
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #49,755
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:36am Jul 13, 2012 8:36am
Quoting DaddyBear
So long 1.0170! So long bears! Ms. Bull's balloon is flying higher and higher .........

LOL...good morning papa...loving this bull ride ...especially since it got me out of the hole I was in yesterday...still long since 1.0164...good luck to ya...
  • #49,756
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:39am Jul 13, 2012 8:39am
Quoting DaddyBear
So long 1.0170! So long bears! Ms. Bull's balloon is flying higher and higher .........
just another opportunity to enter short.... and i did say it may take NY open when liquidity is high to reach there...
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #49,757
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:39am Jul 13, 2012 8:39am
I didn't expect the spike this soon though.....anyway. Green pips to me.
  • #49,758
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:39am Jul 13, 2012 8:39am
Quoting DaddyBear
So long 1.0170! So long bears! Ms. Bull's balloon is flying higher and higher .........
1.02XXX, we are coming your way. DMIP is rising like thermometer mercury in hot Summer time and it's really hot now!
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,759
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:40am Jul 13, 2012 8:40am
NY pop that is what I am talking about. I figured the way ES and The Dow traded yesterday coming back so hard that when US opened the MM had to readjust cash from futures setting the books higher for the flood of buy order on the equity side
  • #49,760
  • Jul 13, 2012 8:41am Jul 13, 2012 8:41am
Quoting bguguen
my view on GBPUSD?? wont short until it reaches 1.5800 yep.... wana know why?? thats wehre the Daily Chart EMA 200 is at and thats where you get the highest probability winnings if you trade that line....
That's very High
I will b watching 1.55 - 1.56
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