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AUD/USD

  • #49,421
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:42am Jul 12, 2012 11:42am
my new target 2 weeks
  • #49,422
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:42am Jul 12, 2012 11:42am
not 101.96
  • #49,423
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:46am Jul 12, 2012 11:46am
Quoting jplazard
With the Interest coming through at this level on the Dollar and the strong interest on ES I revise the topping of the B wave of AUD/USD at 1.0150-60 level (127.2%)

For those still short at 1.02 The bus is making the rounds dropping people off at their houses as the end of the school day comes in. We will be around to pick you guys up for the after school activities of sight seeing and a possible ballon crash landing heading for the Great wall of China...Reports are still coming in but their seems to be an air ballon out of control and the...
Now I know why you are so confidant on your short. I will bookmark your word, "I revise the topping of the B wave of AUD/USD at 1.0150-60 level (127.2%)." Your B wave will be your best gift tonight. Good luck to you!
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,424
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:53am Jul 12, 2012 11:53am
Quoting bguguen
Buddy... IM shorting AUD because like you said Australia relies on Exports, right now China is showing initiative to divert their economy from an import and export driven economy to a Domestic consumption economy....
Australia is only as useful as long as China demands the Australian Gold and Gas Production....
When China itself is suffering in a slow growth so does Australia...
i never quite said Australia is a safe haven economy, i said Australia is a SEMI-SAFE haven due to the backing of gold!
However Australia's economy is dependent on China....
its not safe if its dependent on something can fluctuate (like export)

safe asset is what you can buy and sleep well without worrying it because its not dependent or depend on solid factor too.
  • #49,425
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:55am Jul 12, 2012 11:55am
Haha I have been short since 1.0216 -16 contracts on /6a (57k) in margin.
Trust me with the money I am putting up I view all both sides of trades an if the /ES continues to cover into the close this is a plausible level...This level means nothing to me but those that are scalpers or those who are trying to get their money back riding you balloon and onto our short bus should view these levels.

Or short now it does not matter to me there is Parity and we will visit your site if we get a chance after all the sight seeing in China...
  • #49,426
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:57am Jul 12, 2012 11:57am
Quoting redbox
its not safe if its dependent on something can fluctuate (like export)

safe asset is what you can buy and sleep well without worrying it because its not dependent or depend on solid factor too.
Yea bro... thw CHF is HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON EXPORTS..... people abroad BUY CHF banking services... so CHF is also exporter of services. and it still goes into (X-M) component in the Aggregate Demand.....

YEN is also an Export Driven economy... Uhh hello.... Toyota, Nissan, honda.... ahem...

The GBP of which you regard as Safe... is not so safe anymore... because ahem... the brits are losing out to Switzerland in their Banking... and also the Brits are heavily affected by the European's Economy....

In fact need i remind you one of the world's biggest financial Center... Hong Kong has its currency Pegged with the US Dollar??
well for me... the ULTIMATE safehaven currency is the US Dollar wether you like it or not....
thats why when shit hits the fan everyone diverts back to US Dollar... and thats what we are seeing as of late on Risk Aversion Flows.... Good fucking luck...

Perhaps time for you to brush up on your economics....
We live in a finite world with infinite possibilities.
FxTyrant M-Series (Live - Darwinex) All Time Return: 0.7%
  • #49,427
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:02pm Jul 12, 2012 12:02pm
Quoting bguguen
Inflating price can help reduce unemployment?? da fuq??

Philips curve explains that by inflating price, it reduces unemployment for a short period of time
i know in theory it only help for short period.

Quote
but unemployment will revert back to original level, however price level will be above original...

yes, in longer term, there is no relation between inflation & unemployment. i know... but its only theory and i prefer the first theory... its your choice anyway... it still in debate too. who really care.
we are not debating for nobel prize or any like that. our mission is only to be profitable

Quote
that is where you get inflation... and that is BAD...

bad or not is subjective matter.

i didn't say inflation is good nor bad.

Quote
If Inflation rate rises faster than the Rate of Increase in Incomes, say for example... if INflation is 4% while income only rises by 3%... People are actually 1% worse off....

So Inflation is not necessarily a good thing.... Especially not a good thing if the Inflation was caused by manipulation.... an artifically induced inflation can be deadly if not managed properly where Income rises faster than the Inflation....
it spells disaster if you push inflation up faster than income rises, people are worse off and your economy suffers diminishing...

this is the early theory... do you know why many country now afraid of deflation? what is deflationary spiral anyway? you should know since you are finance major. why central bank always fight for inflation? they do bad thing?
  • #49,428
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:04pm Jul 12, 2012 12:04pm
Quoting jplazard
Haha I have been short since 1.0216 -16 contracts on /6a (57k) in margin.
Trust me with the money I am putting up I view all both sides of trades an if the /ES continues to cover into the close this is a plausible level...This level means nothing to me but those that are scalpers or those who are trying to get their money back riding you balloon and onto our short bus should view these levels.

Or short now it does not matter to me there is Parity and we...
1.0216 was not a good entry. I entered short at 1.0280 at 6:45 AM, yesterday morning and held my positions through the news release. btw, you may have to revise the top of your B wave again and again until you give up.
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,429
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:14pm Jul 12, 2012 12:14pm
Quoting bguguen
Yea bro... thw CHF is HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON EXPORTS..... people abroad BUY CHF banking services... so CHF is also exporter of services. and it still goes into (X-M) component in the Aggregate Demand.....

YEN is also an Export Driven economy... Uhh hello.... Toyota, Nissan, honda.... ahem...
yen & franc are not safe because their export. its not because of that export factor.

Quote
The GBP of which you regard as Safe... is not so safe anymore... because ahem... the brits are losing out to Switzerland in their Banking... and also the Brits are heavily affected by the European's Economy....

In fact need i remind you one of the world's biggest financial Center... Hong Kong has its currency Pegged with the US Dollar??
well for me... the ULTIMATE safehaven currency is the US Dollar wether you like it or not....
thats why when shit hits the fan everyone diverts back to US Dollar... and thats what we are seeing as of late on...

yes, agree, usd is...

Quote
Good fucking luck...
Perhaps time for you to brush up on your economics....

why need so much "fucking" from your post because our economic view is different?

because you have 10V & i don't?

because you have a good position today, and i loss?
you think i got burned from my 1.0200 long, so i don't have right to economy intellectual?

because you feel i'm wrong and you are right?

are you profitable?
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  • #49,430
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:19pm Jul 12, 2012 12:19pm
You’re talking about the AUD/USD pair on your entry im talking about Currency futures side which if you compare the two charts you will see that since last week on the FUTURES CHART we traded at a high of 1.0261. SO I did not top tick like you say you did( which a screenshot would shut me up)
I gave this level on aud/usd and 84 on the dollar by Friday TWO DAYS AGO while your here telling ppl to get on the long balloon Yesterday before the news event only to realize your wrong and finally got short...
The revision which I only made two 40-60 (20pip) range is not a futile number look at the charts or go back to drawing cartoons telling vague levels and leave the analysis to those who do this full time and don't trade from work...
  • #49,431
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:29pm Jul 12, 2012 12:29pm
Quoting bguguen
Yea bro... thw CHF is HEAVILY DEPENDENT ON EXPORTS..... people abroad BUY CHF banking services... so CHF is also exporter of services. and it still goes into (X-M) component in the Aggregate Demand.....

YEN is also an Export Driven economy... Uhh hello.... Toyota, Nissan, honda.... ahem...

The GBP of which you regard as Safe... is not so safe anymore... because ahem... the brits are losing out to Switzerland in their Banking... and also the Brits are heavily affected by the European's Economy....

In fact need i remind you one of the world's...
When i said early i will continue posting because i found good trader like u here i was right , Man it was like i been talking to myself and now listening to music by your posts
Very good understanding what's going on economy And know what are you doing
Excellent work and posts
  • #49,432
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:29pm Jul 12, 2012 12:29pm
Quoting jplazard
You’re talking about the AUD/USD pair on your entry im talking about Currency futures side which if you compare the two charts you will see that since last week on the FUTURES CHART we traded at a high of 1.0261. SO I did not top tick like you say you did( which a screenshot would shut me up)
[color=black][font=Verdana]I gave this level on aud/usd and 84 on the dollar by Friday TWO DAYS AGO while your here telling ppl to get on the long balloon Yesterday before the news event only to realize your wrong...
I guess you cannot understand a simple cartoon and just take my cartoon out of the context. Didn't you see the rope was still on the balloon holding by bears? The balloon is my intermediate-term bias. My short-term bias was bearish until this morning.

We are talking about Aussie spot market in this forum not futures. You don't even know where you are. So sad! btw, it is time for you to move the top of "B wave" again and again...... Story developing ........
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,433
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:34pm Jul 12, 2012 12:34pm
Quoting DaddyBear
I guess you cannot understand a simple cartoon and just take my cartoon out of the context. Didn't you see the rope was still on the balloon holding by bears? The balloon is my intermediate-term bias. My short-term bias was bearish until this morning.

We are talking about Aussie spot market in this forum not futures. You don't even know where you are. So sad! btw, it is time for you to move the top of "B wave" again and again...... Story developing ........
jplazard, btw, when you mentioned the current wave is a B wave, I knew you had no knowledge of EW at all. Get a good book and do your own due diligence before posting a joke like this.
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,434
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:36pm Jul 12, 2012 12:36pm
Bullshit!!! your lying about your short. First you basically said you top ticked this move down but looking at the charts and the time of your entry and Price the high yesterday on AUD/USD WAS 1.02803 7/11/12 3:54AM after that it never saw 1.0280 or never traded at that price all week. I know your here to give analysis and to promote your BIG UPCOMING website to get subscription fees because your not making big boy money in trading but I hope people here enjoy your cartoons because if your not lying post your screenshot entry dealing... Otherwise ppl this man is not someone to follow he is good for comedic humor on his pictorials but if you want to make serious money this guy is not the trader your wanting.
I trade forex my main vehicle is /A6 though I follow a couple guys here because their decent traders who know their stuff
  • #49,435
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:37pm Jul 12, 2012 12:37pm
Hey smart guy where are we trading at now is it the 40-60 level i mentioned an hour ago I think soo!!!!
  • #49,436
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:39pm Jul 12, 2012 12:39pm
DaddyBear,

Keep making the traders here believe your a serious trader than send them your website link so they may pay a fee because you need to make it in trading somehow
  • #49,437
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:40pm Jul 12, 2012 12:40pm
where are we standing now?
If 1h close above 150 say hello to 200
  • #49,438
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:45pm Jul 12, 2012 12:45pm
only stulic here is profitable?

you all only big talk.
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  • #49,439
  • Edited 1:19pm Jul 12, 2012 12:45pm | Edited 1:19pm
Quoting jplazard
[color=black][font=Verdana]Bullshit!!! your lying about your short. First you basically said you top ticked this move down but looking at the charts and the time of your entry and Price the high yesterday on AUD/USD WAS 1.02803 7/11/12 3:54AM after that it never saw 1.0280 or never traded at that price all week. I know your here to give analysis and to promote your BIG UPCOMING website to get subscription fees because your not making big boy money in trading but I hope people here enjoy your cartoons because if your not lying post your screenshot...
You must be a young kid taking as if you are a pro. But, there are so many loopholes in your messages. I did not lie. May be you should get ready to fix the top of your "Bullshit wave" as soon as possible before it's too late.
daddybearforex. com
  • #49,440
  • Jul 12, 2012 12:46pm Jul 12, 2012 12:46pm
Looks like the B wave is near completion I was looking for it to top out at .45 level and /dx come down to at least 83.70 But if you guys want to capture the Parity move I wouldn't be so picky about a 10pip topping level get in and hold of because this short bus is headed for some sight seeing in China...
the above was sent 1hr and 40min ago...Where are we at on the Dollar 83.735 unlike some people who give vague cartoons every 9 or 12 hours on what he/she is thinking the market is heading before they go off to bed for work in the morning people that trade seriously 90+ hours a week should have a forum that gives constant ideas and analysis and most importantly debate on both sides...
I enjoy this site but it looks like the ones who are not serious are here for alternative reasons..
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