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  • #29,641
  • Jul 12, 2012 5:34am Jul 12, 2012 5:34am
4 hr picture..USDX am short eu at 43
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  • #29,642
  • Jul 12, 2012 7:06am Jul 12, 2012 7:06am
It seems as though, as well as an inverse relation to equities, Usd/Jpy is affected strongly by the US employment figures, due out in about 20 minutes. Better than forecast and we will go up. Worse than forecast and we will go down. Let's hope plenty of Americans are working and my longs, currently a bit under water, will not have to be expunged.
Gone to a better place
  • #29,643
  • Jul 12, 2012 7:13am Jul 12, 2012 7:13am
Quoting smikester
So it's gradually dawning on everyone (including me - don't want to pretend)
how serious fixing the libor rate is? Are you telling me millions of people who had mortgages linked to the base rate are now owed money? Wow.
i read the other day that LIBOR scandal is being named the 'banks tobacco moment', in the context of the settlements tobacco companies were made to payout .............

exited shorts right after the ECB announcement for zero deposit rate......in retrospect looks like a mistake and more like another opportunity to short more.......

liked the summary at the end of the article;

"What will really happen, is that the private banks, having been bailed out by the central banks at the taxpayers' dime, will now serve as a buffer to protect these same institutions from rising popular anger, not just at Lieborgate, but Robosigning, Robosettlement, CDOs, rehypothecation, High Frequency Trading, toxic assets marked-to-unicorns, the end of Mark-to-Market, ZIRP, NIRP, expert networks, insider trading, MF Global, and countless other examples of what happens when financial fraud is let loose with no fear of consequence in a Bernanke Put world.



As a result, the status quo will literally buy itself a few more years as it delays the tipping point by any means necessary, in the process kicking back a little to politicians, lawyers, and the general public in exchange for a few years of subpar earnings for bank shareholders that should have been wiped out back in 2008 anyway. And everyone will be happy.


That's how Lieborgate will play out."
  • #29,644
  • Jul 12, 2012 7:14am Jul 12, 2012 7:14am
Quoting smikester
It seems as though, as well as an inverse relation to equities, Usd/Jpy is affected strongly by the US employment figures, due out in about 20 minutes. Better than forecast and we will go up. Worse than forecast and we will go down. Let's hope plenty of Americans are working and my longs, currently a bit under water, will not have to be expunged.
i reversed uj last night from 65 and added shorts but am also out of that trade too.....

that ECB play spooked me
  • #29,645
  • Jul 12, 2012 7:15am Jul 12, 2012 7:15am
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Gone to a better place
  • #29,646
  • Edited 8:19am Jul 12, 2012 8:05am | Edited 8:19am
thanks for that DAX chart, kill..sisse too US Dollar Index

#101145

you can thank me for this later

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m7...7xwvo1_500.jpg
  • #29,647
  • Jul 12, 2012 8:47am Jul 12, 2012 8:47am
China gdp tonight thats gonna be biggggg or not but i a loaded and only a miracle is gonna stop it
  • #29,648
  • Jul 12, 2012 8:53am Jul 12, 2012 8:53am
es 84% of range week so still room are range expansion is ugly verry ugly didnt get a pullback. In euraud yet for unwind carry and go in to funding. waiting
  • #29,649
  • Jul 12, 2012 8:54am Jul 12, 2012 8:54am
Quoting ingmarforex
China gdp tonight thats gonna be biggggg or not but i a loaded and only a miracle is gonna stop it

did you read this, Ingmar?...take a look...the buy in yesterday's UST...puts the ECB's cut to zero in some context

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/not-al...-affirmatively

Mark Grant,

"The Ten Year Treasury Auction

Yesterday’s ten year auction was slightly on this side of strange or perhaps weird and requires some explanation. Somebody, somewhere needed good collateral and in size and was willing to pay almost anything to get it. The average yield of 1.459% was a record for the auction..."
  • #29,650
  • Edited 9:19am Jul 12, 2012 8:58am | Edited 9:19am
Quoting roro53
kill is dying for it..........aren't you 2 u B lol
naturally.

http://www.thisis69.com/.a/6a0111689...2c6a970c-800wi
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #29,651
  • Jul 12, 2012 8:58am Jul 12, 2012 8:58am
Quoting roro53
thanks for that DAX chart, kill..sisse too US Dollar Index

#101145

you can thank me for this later

one for you.

http://i.imgur.com/BISWD.jpg
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #29,652
  • Edited 9:17am Jul 12, 2012 9:00am | Edited 9:17am
Quoting ingmarforex
es 84% of range week so still room are range expansion is ugly verry ugly didnt get a pullback. In euraud yet for unwind carry and go in to funding. waiting
looks like this to me:

http://i.imgur.com/xl2H8.jpg
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #29,653
  • Jul 12, 2012 9:13am Jul 12, 2012 9:13am
Quoting roro53
did you read this, Ingmar?...take a look...the buy in yesterday's UST...puts the ECB's cut to zero in some context

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/not-al...-affirmatively

Mark Grant,

"The Ten Year Treasury Auction

Yesterday’s ten year auction was slightly on this side of strange or perhaps weird and requires some explanation. Somebody, somewhere needed good collateral and in size and was willing to pay almost anything to get it. The average yield of 1.459% was a record for the auction..."...
Tahnks just readed it well the problem with europe is they still dont have something like the us has the fed what can baliout everybody and prints more money europe needs a fiscal integration. I am not bullish eu for now reason if you readed my post from last sunday i think if the ecb start buying colleteral now spain and itally is gonna get downgraded. Not say that it is gonna happen but thats my view my reason for us equities short is taht the fiscal situation is comming more and more in the picture i dont see much post about it or barely nobody talks about it well thats good imo. Because the more risk when they start talking about it. But then for many it might be to late or get fucked like most times happen.
In terms of election the only reason why i would become a dollar bear would be Obama presidencey, A democratic senate republican house. Rest of option are more dollar bull.
Or whe gonna see a masive qe from the fed what they might do in there september meeting if data keeps on comming down all data from the us is starting to breakout the range and trending downwards so imo a new bearmarket is starting. Thats why whe saw yesterday a flight to safe haven imo in the tresuries they confirming it.
Now the big hit could be China tonight or if they suprises then whe could maybe see a good end of the week or less panick.
So thats what i see now going on in the markets charts confirming it so far so holding to positions and try to catch a big move.
  • #29,654
  • Jul 12, 2012 9:28am Jul 12, 2012 9:28am
Quoting ingmarforex
......Now the big hit could be China tonight or if they suprises then whe could maybe see a good end of the week or less panick.
So thats what i see now going on in the markets charts confirming it so far so holding to positions and try to catch a big move.
this move by the ECB early european time makes me nervous...i closed it all when i saw that. i know it is a risk i may miss the 'big move' down but i have to think the ECB picked its spot too

i just don't know right now......i do know i will be kicking my ass if the FTSE breaks down and runs for 5500....

took some au again at 1.0155, but that is it.....have to be in and out today too so may miss the fireworks later or maybe that comes on China gdp?
  • #29,655
  • Jul 12, 2012 9:44am Jul 12, 2012 9:44am
Quoting roro53
this move by the ECB early european time makes me nervous...i closed it all when i saw that. i know it is a risk i may miss the 'big move' down but i have to think the ECB picked its spot too

i just don't know right now......i do know i will be kicking my ass if the FTSE breaks down and runs for 5500....

took some au again at 1.0155, but that is it.....have to be in and out today too so may miss the fireworks later or maybe that comes on China gdp?
Well nothing wrong with that imo. I dont have lot of time this week also be away most of the day so thats why i try to keep holding and check mayor news events yesterday i chickened almost out when the es spiked up from 1328 but i turned screens off trying to follow my plan. Yeah china really curious if whe gonna see the panda again or not lol.
  • #29,656
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:23am Jul 12, 2012 11:23am
spain


http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=ab7_1342076553
  • #29,657
  • Edited 11:41am Jul 12, 2012 11:30am | Edited 11:41am
Quoting ingmarforex
spain


http://www.liveleak.com/view?i=ab7_1342076553
things are not preaty in there Ing. and Ben allready picking up the pieces, I wonder where this number came from, It is real or is it fake, who know's

8:30am USD
Unemployment Claimshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...etail_star.gif



376K 376Khttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif 350K

..........me I think is fake, I think is less jobs than last week but Ben can't allow that, it will looks suspicius if he doesn't cook the books and this yurow keeps falling, so long yurow because Ben is at work.......me think, but what do I know ah.....
The Chonchy
  • #29,658
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:43am Jul 12, 2012 11:43am
For now the lower trendline is holding but I wont be surprised if we see rally into highlighted area. Fundamentals making me crazy
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  • #29,659
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:54am Jul 12, 2012 11:54am
Quoting chonchy
things are not preaty in there Ing. and Ben allready picking up the pieces, I wonder where this number came from, It is real or is it fake, who know's

8:30am USD
Unemployment Claimshttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...etail_star.gif



376K 376Khttp://www.forexfactory.com/images/m...us_revised.gif 350K

..........me I think is fake, I think is less jobs than last week but Ben can't allow that, it will looks suspicius...
Sweet bro heard the SNB has new website www.whebuyeuro.com
  • #29,660
  • Jul 12, 2012 11:58am Jul 12, 2012 11:58am
Quoting ingmarforex
Sweet bro heard the SNB has new website www.whebuyeuro.com
The Chonchy
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