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AUD/USD

  • #48,241
  • Jun 30, 2012 7:14am Jun 30, 2012 7:14am
Quoting stulic
I'm talking about weeks ahead, not meaningless weekend rates.
As long as EUR/AUD stays below 1.2470 the target will remain 1.21 and then of course even lower.
do what you know how to do best. I have no time for argument. If you do weekly, swing or monthly, and make money; then stay with it. Nothing in FX is Meaningless! Your words only shows your experience. Straight to my ignore list
Perfect Trading Core completed on 13/10/2012 : 2002-2012 |10yrs
  • #48,242
  • Jun 30, 2012 7:25am Jun 30, 2012 7:25am
What a tool.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #48,243
  • Jun 30, 2012 7:35am Jun 30, 2012 7:35am
what were these arguments, ignore lists, etc that have happened recently guys?

http://i.mycommentspace.com/12/1290.jpg
  • #48,244
  • Jun 30, 2012 8:49am Jun 30, 2012 8:49am
Quoting stulic
I'm swayed by fundies so I wont pick a definite direction before China releases PMI tomorrow.

I don't think we'll see parity any time soon tho and RBA will keep rates on hold next week and I also expect massive boost in retail sales numbers on Wednesday purely due to usual end of financial year shopping spree combined with huge government cash handouts to families as part of the carbon tax compensation package.

We'll see, bias is up, if China PMI ticks back up above 50 we could be heading towards 1.05 in coming weeks.
Thanks for your fundies. Here is my market watch of last Friday.
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daddybearforex. com
  • #48,245
  • Jun 30, 2012 8:58am Jun 30, 2012 8:58am
Quoting irfandbl
maybe two fireworks or three
You were right on the money. There was a much huge firework right before Friday market close. The firework changed to a non-confirmed evening star in the end (H1 chart).
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,246
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:03am Jun 30, 2012 9:03am
Hey guys. I just started getting into the Aussie. I was able to catch early morning pipage but did not think it was going to blow up like that. Way more exciting than the Euro.

Anything on my charts I should be looking for? What do you guys think?
  • #48,247
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:05am Jun 30, 2012 9:05am
Quoting pip_trader
Hey guys. I just started getting into the Aussie. I was able to catch early morning pipage but did not think it was going to blow up like that. Way more exciting than the Euro.

Anything on my charts I should be looking for? What do you guys think?
Aussie is an exciting pair, thats all I trade. I am shorting it now, I think its about done. I usually trade it against the jpy, reversal is needed from what I see. Hoping to see it retrace at least 50 pips, before it goes back up. IMO.
  • #48,248
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:05am Jun 30, 2012 9:05am
Bullish trend... Unsure where the top of this bullish trend will reach. It could reach go up pretty far. Of course I wish it drops more but it'll take a lot of bears to pull it down 0.99700 and even further. There aren't that many bears. 1.02300 important level and it seems it's holding up. Confirming this bull trend. If it comes down a little to break 1.005000 then it might not be so bullish. Dang. Didnt like how quickly that went up. Weekend gap up... Continuation... Weekend gap down... It has to gap significantly down to change the course. If just simply to 1.01700 simply useless.
  • #48,249
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:06am Jun 30, 2012 9:06am
Quoting 4rextrader
Aussie is an exciting pair, thats all I trade. I am shorting it now, I think its about done. I usually trade it against the jpy, reversal is needed from what I see. Hoping to see it retrace at least 50 pips, before it goes back up. IMO.
You are shorting it through the weekend?
  • #48,250
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:09am Jun 30, 2012 9:09am
Quoting pip_trader
Hey guys. I just started getting into the Aussie. I was able to catch early morning pipage but did not think it was going to blow up like that. Way more exciting than the Euro.

Anything on my charts I should be looking for? What do you guys think?
Nothing to see right now, it's saying loudly it's a bull trend. And it seems to be only possible that it might fall a little bit. between 1.00500 and 1.02500 is still saying it's very bullish. this bull to become a bear trend it'll take a lot of bears. Like a LOT.
  • #48,251
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:10am Jun 30, 2012 9:10am
Quoting DaddyBear
The bull joined EURO party without invitation last night. After drinking and eating a lot of free stuff, he is heading home........ alone.......
The bear told DaddyBear why Aussie jumped 250 pips Thursday night. It was simply because he was attending European Summit and sat next to Chancellor Angela Merkel. Otherwise, the bull would not be able to fly to the moon.

DaddyBear has no comment about this matter because he was not authorized to speak to the public.
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daddybearforex. com
  • #48,252
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:14am Jun 30, 2012 9:14am
Quoting DaddyBear
The bear told DaddyBear why Aussie jumped 250 pips Thursday night. It was simply because he was attending European Summit and sat next to Chancellor Angela Merkel. Otherwise, the bull would not be able to fly to the moon.

DaddyBear has no comment about this matter because he was not authorized to speak to the public.
Some cookies for you guys to enjoy during this weekend. Take it easy!
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daddybearforex. com
  • #48,253
  • Edited 9:30am Jun 30, 2012 9:19am | Edited 9:30am
Quoting 4rextrader
Aussie is an exciting pair, thats all I trade. I am shorting it now, I think its about done. I usually trade it against the jpy, reversal is needed from what I see. Hoping to see it retrace at least 50 pips, before it goes back up. IMO.

didn't really have a choice to, i hedged it, so i was stuck. if you look ataud/jpy, wouldn't you say a retrace is probable, considering how it didn't really retrace at all. I was thinking because of China's news tonight, and many articles claiming how these recent gains won't stay long due to the many loop holes w/ the EURO, a drop would occur. I trade AUD/JPY.

Im still an amaetur at forex, so any advice or opinions would be great.

Thank you all
  • #48,254
  • Jun 30, 2012 9:19am Jun 30, 2012 9:19am
i wont short the aussie till I get a daily close below 0.9922. But I would be watching gold level of 1607 carefully clear separator line there between the ranges so if 1550 broken then there is very good chance of 1480 this time. But there is a possiblity of testing 1625 level so remain on sideline

Aussie this is strong resistance between 1.0250 and 1.0275 which is a clear separtor of the previous decline So expect a decline towards the strong support 1.0150 is possible then we will se How it reacts




Quoting arcticpolar
Nothing to see right now, it's saying loudly it's a bull trend. And it seems to be only possible that it might fall a little bit. between 1.00500 and 1.02500 is still saying it's very bullish. this bull to become a bear trend it'll take a lot of bears. Like a LOT.
  • #48,255
  • Jun 30, 2012 10:01am Jun 30, 2012 10:01am
Quoting DaddyBear
Some cookies for you guys to enjoy during this weekend. Take it easy!
While bulls are having fun, the bear just came back from European Summit and sits right next to them.........
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daddybearforex. com
  • #48,256
  • Jun 30, 2012 10:14am Jun 30, 2012 10:14am
Quoting DaddyBear
Some cookies for you guys to enjoy during this weekend. Take it easy!
http://www.forexfactory.com/attachme...1&d=1341065666
hi, daddy bear

do you still have bitterness in my post about EW?

Quoting redbox
don't worry Elliot Wave, this is probability game...
  • #48,257
  • Jun 30, 2012 10:54am Jun 30, 2012 10:54am
Quoting redbox
hi, daddy bear

do you still have bitterness in my post about EW?
No. Not at all. In fact, I am looking into probability now. My cartoons are just for fun, nothing more and nothing less. Our debate helped me break up my own box of certainty and entered into another level of thinking. I should send you a thank you note for this. From now on, I will combine certainty and probability to form a new way of pattern recognition.
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,258
  • Jun 30, 2012 11:07am Jun 30, 2012 11:07am
Quoting DaddyBear
No. Not at all. In fact, I am looking into probability now. My cartoons are just for fun, nothing more and nothing less. Our debate helped me break up my own box of certainty and entered into another level of thinking. I should send you a thank you note for this. From now on, I will combine certainty and probability to form a new way of pattern recognition.
ok then glad to read this
  • #48,259
  • Jun 30, 2012 11:35am Jun 30, 2012 11:35am
Quoting redbox
ok then glad to read this
This is what I am thinking. The All Mighty set every market move long time ago. This is the certainty. However, as human beings, we cannot see into the future. Under this situation, probability comes to play. IMHO.
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,260
  • Jun 30, 2012 12:06pm Jun 30, 2012 12:06pm
Quoting DaddyBear
This is what I am thinking. The All Mighty set every market move long time ago. This is the certainty. However, as human beings, we cannot see into the future. Under this situation, probability comes to play. IMHO.
Here is an example.

I held long positions of Aussie before 6:42 PM EST, 06/28/2012. When knowing a member holding short positions, I sent an alert PM to him at 6:42 PM EST. He replied to me with a lot of legitimate reasons to short. Three hours later, Aussie took off like a rocket. Did I see the future? The answer is NO. What I saw was a recognizable pattern, which I identified before. Less is more.
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daddybearforex. com
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