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AUD/USD

  • #48,081
  • Jun 28, 2012 10:50pm Jun 28, 2012 10:50pm
Quoting HotBiscuits
Thats why im so confused... its 4.30 AM in England now, how the hell is something from a euro summit being released now? Im so confused
True, it's more like a rumor to me. Wait till Markel open's her mouth today and see how the market will react. Is it another no no no, over my dead body or yes yes yes I'm dead already.

Quoting DaddyBear
DaddyBear!!!
Not a bear nor a bull, but the one and only DaddyBear. Can I have one of those neat scatches for today dad?

Quoting redbox
i'm pure fundamentalist --- i know how they work.
what comes first is psychologic. fundamental comes second.

http://i45.tinypic.com/2a6m2o0.png

even this is breakout can be detected at news eace:
Mantab bro! This could be a rumor though. A european news released during Asian session definitely is something to be suspicious about. They are supposed to be under their warm and comfy blankets by now. But I could be wrong.
  • #48,082
  • Jun 28, 2012 10:55pm Jun 28, 2012 10:55pm
Quoting irfandbl
Mantab bro! This could be a rumor though. A european news released during Asian session definitely is something to be suspicious about. They are supposed to be under their warm and comfy blankets by now. But I could be wrong.
kayanya ini benaran bro...
dan akan bikin long term trend, kalau bisa cut loss sih cuek aja mo fake atau beneran
  • #48,083
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:04pm Jun 28, 2012 11:04pm
Quoting redbox
i'm pure fundamentalist --- i know how they work.
what comes first is psychologic. fundamental comes second.

even this is breakout can be detected at news eace:
y're kidding bro...no body pure fundamental or techs in our system...even long term...since we 've been watching our candlestick chart we just blend to make decision in the market.
  • #48,084
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:07pm Jun 28, 2012 11:07pm
Quoting irfandbl

Not a bear nor a bull, but the one and only DaddyBear. Can I have one of those neat scatches for today dad?
irfandbl,

Send me your email address to my PM. You can keep today's sketch for your personal use only. No copyright license or transfer. I have to keep all copyrights.

DB
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,085
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:12pm Jun 28, 2012 11:12pm
Quoting redbox
kayanya ini benaran bro...
dan akan bikin long term trend, kalau bisa cut loss sih cuek aja mo fake atau beneran
Iya sih bro, manteng diatas tuh harga, ga kaya rumor yang biasanya abis mental keatas langsung terjun kebawah. Kalo itung itungan gue bener sih target keatas 1.0233 dan selanjutnya 1.0328 (berdasarkan H4). Target ente berapa bro?

But I'm still confused about the european news release during asian session. It's like having breakfast during evening or dinner during noon. Well we should expect the unexpected, such as the thing we've just experienced this morning.
  • #48,086
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:14pm Jun 28, 2012 11:14pm
Quoting tobafx
y're kidding bro...no body pure fundamental or techs in our system...even long term...since we 've been watching our candlestick chart we just blend to make decision in the market.
price action is not technical analysis. at least for me.
price is the battle field.
now, to analyze battle field, generally you have 2 methods,
technical & fundamental.

being fundamentalist is not mean not seeing the price or chart.
  • #48,087
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:15pm Jun 28, 2012 11:15pm
No idea what just happened... not reading the news much lately. why it spiked up so quickly. have been testing technicals and they seem to work out better but it reached the level I wanted. entered at 1.01500 sl 1.025000 tp: 0.97500?
  • #48,088
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:19pm Jun 28, 2012 11:19pm
Quoting arcticpolar
No idea what just happened... not reading the news much lately. why it spiked up so quickly. have been testing technicals and they seem to work out better but it reached the level I wanted. entered at 1.01500 sl 1.025000 tp: 0.97500?
In my opinion it wouldn't reach your TP, careful buddy. I think the lowest it would go (at least for today) is 1.0025. And it would take another counterpart news to bring the price there (by today)
  • #48,089
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:27pm Jun 28, 2012 11:27pm
Quoting arcticpolar
No idea what just happened... not reading the news much lately. why it spiked up so quickly. have been testing technicals and they seem to work out better but it reached the level I wanted. entered at 1.01500 sl 1.025000 tp: 0.97500?
No way we hit that TP

edit: I guess I shouldn't say no way....but yeah it would have to be some major crazy news
  • #48,090
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:29pm Jun 28, 2012 11:29pm
Possible target first 1.0233 and secondly possible 1.0328. God knows when but it would get there eventually I think.

PS : a pullback is indeed needed, trade at your own risk

http://i45.tinypic.com/15ee8ic.gif
  • #48,091
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:39pm Jun 28, 2012 11:39pm
Quoting DaddyBear
Silencer,

Look at the diagram below and tell me anything wrong with my previous posts.
Where is the 57 fall? Couldn't pinpoint it. =/
  • #48,092
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:42pm Jun 28, 2012 11:42pm
wait for europe to open lolllll
  • #48,093
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:44pm Jun 28, 2012 11:44pm
Quoting arcticpolar
Where is the 57 fall? Couldn't pinpoint it. =/
57 was for the drop on 6/22 . H - L = 57 pips.
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,094
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:44pm Jun 28, 2012 11:44pm
Quoting irfandbl
In my opinion it wouldn't reach your TP, careful buddy. I think the lowest it would go (at least for today) is 1.0025. And it would take another counterpart news to bring the price there (by today)
Yes it's might go up to 1.02500 again but I don't see it in the near term either. maybe over the weekend it shoots to 1.02500 who knows. This trade I'm holding whether sl hits first or until I can change my sl to my entry. a few weeks back i made a trade for long from 1.000 to 1.1900. this would have been great, but I didn't keep the trade and decided to short it and lost. I can't keep vacillating between my trades. Even if I lose this one, well I'll be okay with this loss. the one a few weeks back threw me off and kinda on tilt.. letting emotions run. not anymore.

I'm holding this one over the weekend.

definitely thank you for the heads up
  • #48,095
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:46pm Jun 28, 2012 11:46pm
Quoting DaddyBear
57 was for the drop on 6/22 . H - L = 57 pips.
thank you DB
30 min chart?
I keep getting a 30 pip drop... my counting sucks. =/ haha nvm just got it ~1.00572 1.00007
  • #48,096
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:52pm Jun 28, 2012 11:52pm
Quoting irfandbl
Possible target first 1.0233 and secondly possible 1.0328. God knows when but it would get there eventually I think.

PS : a pullback is indeed needed, trade at your own risk

http://i45.tinypic.com/15ee8ic.gif
If you look at daily chart, it shows something different. You may have to zoom out to get a bigger picture. -IMHO-

p.s. Did you get my sketch?
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,097
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:53pm Jun 28, 2012 11:53pm
Quoting arcticpolar
thank you DB
30 min chart?
I keep getting a 30 pip drop... my counting sucks. =/ haha nvm just got it ~1.00572 1.00007
Try M15 and see if you can get more information.
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,098
  • Jun 28, 2012 11:55pm Jun 28, 2012 11:55pm
Quoting DaddyBear
If you look at daily chart, it shows something different. You may have to zoom out to get a bigger picture. -IMHO-

p.s. Did you get my sketch?
On my daily it's definitely a downtrend, but I haven't read fundamental for a while now. and I was back on reading the posts. Someone released that Europe will release funds without austerity? if that is true... game over for my trade. and the daily chart wouldn't make much sense. let's just see how that plays out. Looking at your sketch now and trying to figure things out.
  • #48,099
  • Jun 29, 2012 12:02am Jun 29, 2012 12:02am
Quoting arcticpolar
On my daily it's definitely a downtrend, but I haven't read fundamental for a while now. and I was back on reading the posts. Someone released that Europe will release funds without austerity? if that is true... game over for my trade. and the daily chart wouldn't make much sense. let's just see how that plays out. Looking at your sketch now and trying to figure things out.
If you find out something please let me know. I think there is a hidden relation among the waves.
daddybearforex. com
  • #48,100
  • Jun 29, 2012 12:02am Jun 29, 2012 12:02am
Quoting irfandbl
But I'm still confused about the european news release during asian session. It's like having breakfast during evening or dinner during noon. Well we should expect the unexpected, such as the thing we've just experienced this morning.
in my mind, i remember all big news is released during weekends, or at least when primary market is off.
i believe insider trading. i think now, its developing... i mean, insider trading group is larger now, then leak information chance is larger too...

i don't have a target, i can't... it's not me to decide price to move bro... but my analysis is like this:

the group behind this move is BIG, they must be have strong reason to make this move... * bla bla bla... --- will poison your judgement if i bother you more with my theory *.
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