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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #28,601
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:26pm Jun 19, 2012 4:26pm
Hmm, looking very toppy for me to get in on any long, with PA banging, as it is, against that ascending green fan. Indeed, dropping down to the hourly charts shows either a double top against this fan, or the retrace back up to what the first time around was resistance.

Pivots bunching up as well...

FOMC coming up, I know, but Merkel already hinting at Euro bond capitulation, and irrespective of today's German court ruling that German fiscal laws have been broken, the Bundesbank have intimated that they will support a 600 Billion Euro rescue package for Spain and Italy.
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Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #28,602
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:29pm Jun 19, 2012 4:29pm
Quoting 45Condor
Hmm, looking very toppy for me to get in on any long, with PA banging, as it is, against that ascending green fan. Indeed, dropping down to the hourly charts shows either a double top against this fan, or the retrace back up to what the first time around was resistance.

Pivots bunching up as well...

FOMC coming up, I know, but Merkel already hinting at Euro bond capitulation, and irrespective of today's German court ruling that German fiscal laws have been broken, the Bundesbank have intimated that they will support a 600 Billion Euro rescue package...
that is all market positive......Nasdaq100 up against the 100 MA on daily too......it led NA indexes yesterday too
  • #28,603
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:32pm Jun 19, 2012 4:32pm
Quoting roro53
that is all market positive......Nasdaq100 up against the 100 MA on daily too......it led NA indexes yesterday too
...doom and gloom in the media and populice feeds the fear in the politician to try and look in control. The money just follows the decisions, and at the moment, the decision seems to be to throw more money at the problem.
Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #28,604
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:37pm Jun 19, 2012 4:37pm
Quoting 45Condor
...doom and gloom in the media and populice feeds the fear in the politician to try and look in control. The money just follows the decisions, and at the moment, the decision seems to be to throw more money at the problem.

600 billion from Buba.......that is a big number. throw another 50 to 75 billion a month on top from the FED if comes with FLOW tomorrow and more or less a repeat of the POMOs from 2010 and 2011 with another name to make it look original......

Mervyn King may have let the cat out of the bag on purpose.

i think if the FED blinks and disappoints then look out below

USD/JPY, OIL, Gold do not appear to be convinced as equities..........that f.ing MIB was up and down and back up 600 points per session since early monday european open
  • #28,605
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:44pm Jun 19, 2012 4:44pm
Gentleman - and any ladies present - the knock on the hotel door is my cue to close down now.

I'm thinking a touch of the Guppy profile as seen on the weekly charts - down in the region of the -23.6 FE in the next few weeks. This will support my position long on Cable, and thoughts upon EU, and previous comments concerning a drop on UC.

Hi Smikester - yes, saw your chart for the cup and handle, but think that imminent fundamentals will take precedent over technicals.
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  • #28,606
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:45pm Jun 19, 2012 4:45pm
Quoting roro53
600 billion from Buba.......that is a big number. throw another 50 to 75 billion a month on top from the FED if comes with FLOW tomorrow and more or less a repeat of the POMOs from 2010 and 2011 with another name to make it look original......

Mervyn King may have let the cat out of the bag on purpose.

i think if the FED blinks and disappoints then look out below

USD/JPY, OIL, Gold do not appear to be convinced as equities..........that f.ing MIB was up and down and back up 600 points per session since early monday european open
But crb does well looks like it
  • #28,607
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:47pm Jun 19, 2012 4:47pm
Quoting roro53
...OIL...
Not sure about elsewhere, but the drop the past few weeks has seen up to 20 cents a litre knocked off the cost of diesel in France over the last two weeks.
Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #28,608
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:48pm Jun 19, 2012 4:48pm
...and should anyone be curious, the knock on the door is not for any, and I repeat, any, form of room service. I need to go out and do my James Bond thing.
Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #28,609
  • Jun 19, 2012 4:49pm Jun 19, 2012 4:49pm
Quoting ingmarforex
Still think 1.28 atleast but will depend on fed i guess i am still stuck in short 1.2665 bailled longs might buyback in to the 1.2650ish but seems that fed days ussually are verry choppy. See if assia pullsback in to the 1.2650.

Most traders bet on operation twist.
1 thing if you go back history 21 sept eur/usd 2011.

The yurow sold off after anouncement but after some days of selling it stabilized and whe started decent rally i remember back then those summits also came in later likewise whe have now on agenda for 26 27 june.
So are whe...

Well i am going for this anyway ussually around those summits whe go in to hope mode again. So even if whe sell off good looking for stabilization to buy it again to 1.30. I remember last crucial 1 whe had records shorts they got squeezed out hard. Lot of people gonna expect wonders on taht summit but probally gonna be kicking the can maybe again.
  • #28,610
  • Jun 19, 2012 5:24pm Jun 19, 2012 5:24pm
Quoting 45Condor
...and should anyone be curious, the knock on the door is not for any, and I repeat, any, form of room service. I need to go out and do my James Bond thing.

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The Chonchy
  • #28,611
  • Jun 19, 2012 5:25pm Jun 19, 2012 5:25pm
Quoting 45Condor
Not sure about elsewhere, but the drop the past few weeks has seen up to 20 cents a litre knocked off the cost of diesel in France over the last two weeks.
.......Yes, also here in miami is low about that 20 cents a galon.......
The Chonchy
  • #28,612
  • Jun 19, 2012 5:26pm Jun 19, 2012 5:26pm
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The Chonchy
  • #28,613
  • Jun 19, 2012 5:27pm Jun 19, 2012 5:27pm
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The Chonchy
  • #28,614
  • Jun 19, 2012 5:30pm Jun 19, 2012 5:30pm
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  • #28,615
  • Jun 19, 2012 6:02pm Jun 19, 2012 6:02pm
Quoting roro53
black is beauuutiful..........i know.........get away from me you mofo!.....i knew you changed that up.....just in time too. i'll get you next time
indeed, they are.

http://i.imgur.com/gfpEo.jpg
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #28,616
  • Jun 19, 2012 6:04pm Jun 19, 2012 6:04pm
Quoting roro53
black is beauuutiful..........i know.........get away from me you mofo!.....i knew you changed that up.....just in time too. i'll get you next time
one more:

http://i.imgur.com/PfTmt.jpg
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #28,617
  • Edited 6:30pm Jun 19, 2012 6:20pm | Edited 6:30pm
black is beautiful..........the stories of the singers especially so....not only the talent but where they came from

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  • #28,618
  • Jun 19, 2012 7:11pm Jun 19, 2012 7:11pm
taking a modest position on the FED with some long Gold, and short NASDAQ...........1620 and 2615
  • #28,619
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:14pm Jun 19, 2012 8:14pm
Hello Gentleman..I didn't read the beginning of this thread so if there are posting restrictions I appolgize...yummy to all the women posted here...well done...I have a trade going on... wanted to get some feedback...going on the buy the rumor sell news thing...what do you guys think...anyone that posts the kind of kitty kats that you guys do can't be to bad...


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  • #28,620
  • Jun 19, 2012 8:35pm Jun 19, 2012 8:35pm
Quoting petehnm
Hello Gentleman..I didn't read the beginning of this thread so if there are posting restrictions I appolgize...yummy to all the women posted here...well done...I have a trade going on... wanted to get some feedback...going on the buy the rumor sell news thing...what do you guys think...anyone that posts the kind of kitty kats that you guys do can't be to bad...


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hi,

depends what the news is tomorrow......the bet is Mervyn King is signaling a coordinated and fairly massive central bank intervention with the caveat that it is likely to be promised in stages imo.

if King is thrown under the bus tomorrow and the FED does not come with some expansion of stimulus then the market may sell off

the odds are the whole G20/10 FED BOJ BOE ECB and whatever is part bluff and part real so there may probably be some whipsaws until the market prices the FOMC statement, and decides a bias.

the odds are also that the FED is not likely to throw a venerable central banker of Mervyn King's stature under the bus, but who knows as no doubt the payoffs are substantial and who cares about reputation when money is involved and if you have enough money then you re-write history to your liking anyway.....besides central bankers are part banker and more part politician so being bought comes quite naturally.

if the FED does sacrifice king then all bets are probably OFF
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