System to hedge every major dollar pair for profit / low DD | Page 27 | Forex Factory

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Attachments: System to hedge every major dollar pair for profit / low DD
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System to hedge every major dollar pair for profit / low DD

  • #521
  • Jun 5, 2012 4:26am Jun 5, 2012 4:26am
Quoting Fantastic
sorry i can seem to get the ab signal as im not a programer i cant get it to respond to finding the address #define RPATH "Crogram FilesRR-2.15.0bini386Rterm.exe --no-save")
Make sure you use forward slashes:
Inserted Code
[b]#define RPATH "C:[/b]/[b]Program Files[/b]/[b]R/R-2.15.0b[/b]/[b]ini[/b]/[b]386[/b]/[b]Rterm.exe --no-save"[/b]
  • #522
  • Jun 5, 2012 7:34am Jun 5, 2012 7:34am
I appreciate your help
  • #523
  • Jun 5, 2012 2:48pm Jun 5, 2012 2:48pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nc4.jpg Size: 83 KB


Price action moderating after Friday's news. I'm taking note of each 500 price points as a cyclical measure
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #524
  • Jun 5, 2012 9:20pm Jun 5, 2012 9:20pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Watching closely here for entry. The hedge ratios would reverse both portions. So an entry when price falls below the second horizontal blue line according to these ratios would be short both: .40 nzdusd to each 100 usdcad
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #525
  • Edited 10:05pm Jun 5, 2012 9:38pm | Edited 10:05pm
Unless you entered the hedge in the wrong directions (even then) you are obviously overleveraged. This isn't a get rich method with no stop loss and 1,000% profit/mo. Better off with the lottery. This is a sound method but you just need some patience. Yes, the levels can change. But any fx trader needs to be aware of the news, whats going on and what is going to happen. All plays a part.

For these pairs, there is plenty of time to get in on the hourly so don't rush it. Simply wait for price action to confirm under or above the second deviation for at least say an hour. Remember anything you may know about technical analysis, watch how the price action moves within a channel. These all give clues this isn't just about deviation levels, for me at least.
Quoting J3ifer
I am afraid to say that it is still not safe to follow this strategy. I get the margin call last week on the USDCAD & NZDUSD. It was on the upper standard deviation and seems to start revert to the mean. It gives my some profit at the beginning but suddenly it goes on the wrong direction until the margin ..!!

However, GBPUSD & EURUSD are still giving me profit but I am not sure if this gonna to continue or not.

I start testing on basket of every major dollar pair hope it would give me good result.
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #526
  • Jun 5, 2012 11:23pm Jun 5, 2012 11:23pm
I have entered the trade, profitable already.
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #527
  • Jun 6, 2012 8:56am Jun 6, 2012 8:56am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 46.jpg Size: 193 KB

Everything ended by turning the target and begin again at a new trade.
  • #528
  • Jun 6, 2012 11:24am Jun 6, 2012 11:24am
this is how we do it!

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: nc5.jpg Size: 88 KB
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #529
  • Jun 6, 2012 11:33am Jun 6, 2012 11:33am
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Click to Enlarge Name: 49.jpg Size: 200 KB
  • #530
  • Jun 6, 2012 11:51am Jun 6, 2012 11:51am
Hi Donny care to explain your approach? I just see the screenshots, looks like you are doing well but not sure where you are taking positions or any of your logic. Please let us know, thanks. Feel free to post closed trades too thanks

Quoting donny65
Attachment
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #531
  • Jun 6, 2012 12:06pm Jun 6, 2012 12:06pm
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Click to Enlarge Name: 50.jpg Size: 208 KB
Quoting Dirtybrown
Hi Donny care to explain your approach? I just see the screenshots, looks like you are doing well but not sure where you are taking positions or any of your logic. Please let us know, thanks. Feel free to post closed trades too thanks

Everything on the basis arbomat I just revamped SOK YOU NOW Indicator which I made ​​available and to which everyone can install steam and lot sizes according arbomat with the fact that you can write your own scale and depending on business, I'm still in the windows indicator FIBO reached.
  • #532
  • Jun 6, 2012 12:15pm Jun 6, 2012 12:15pm
Quoting donny65
Attachment


Everything on the basis arbomat I just revamped SOK YOU NOW Indicator which I made ​​available and to which everyone can install steam and lot sizes according arbomat with the fact that you can write your own scale and depending on business, I'm still in the windows indicator FIBO reached.
Otherwise, any trades are marked with a red line that is marked on the indicator of where I turned to the reverse position.
  • #533
  • Jun 6, 2012 8:58pm Jun 6, 2012 8:58pm
Interesting! Thanks a lot Donny I will check it out thanks for sharing.
I'll make a link from post #1 to your information.

Quoting donny65
Otherwise, any trades are marked with a red line that is marked on the indicator of where I turned to the reverse position.
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #534
  • Jun 6, 2012 9:23pm Jun 6, 2012 9:23pm
Quoting Dirtybrown
this is how we do it!

Attachment
This might have been covered but how did you set ur levels fixed. I can't seem to figure it out and like how smooth your chart is.
  • #535
  • Jun 6, 2012 10:02pm Jun 6, 2012 10:02pm
I use the demo version, also make sure to hit the home button on both usdcad and nzdusd charts until no more data downloads. This will change deviation levels if not enough data is used.

Quoting turboguru
This might have been covered but how did you set ur levels fixed. I can't seem to figure it out and like how smooth your chart is.
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #536
  • Jun 6, 2012 10:19pm Jun 6, 2012 10:19pm
Quoting Dirtybrown
I use the demo version, also make sure to hit the home button on both usdcad and nzdusd charts until no more data downloads. This will change deviation levels if not enough data is used.
Thanks got it
  • #537
  • Jun 7, 2012 8:38am Jun 7, 2012 8:38am
Just closed position.
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #538
  • Jun 7, 2012 8:58am Jun 7, 2012 8:58am
Quoting Dirtybrown
Just closed position.
How long do you think the cointegration on this pair will last?

I tried to run the cointegration search engine script but I kept getting a divide by zero error no matter what I tried.
  • #539
  • Jun 7, 2012 9:16am Jun 7, 2012 9:16am
I'll post a link to the post on the synth hedge thread from 2010 from those trading this exact hedge.. so maybe this gives you an idea..

Not sure yet on the cointegration engine, have not had the time to play with it yet. It was not working on the broker I tried it on.

While this hedge does not qualify for granger cointegration, it passes ADF. And yes, I've read Granger is better for pairs trading. But the relationship between nzdusd usdcad cannot be denied, so I will keep trading it..

Also, a friend of mine I keep in contact with on skype has been trading this way off and on for the last 18 months, will be speaking with him this weekend and may get more clues then


Quoting TheMaxx
How long do you think the cointegration on this pair will last?

I tried to run the cointegration search engine script but I kept getting a divide by zero error no matter what I tried.
Skype: heliosphan187
  • #540
  • Jun 7, 2012 9:24am Jun 7, 2012 9:24am
Cool thanks. I just thought that it might degrade over time (ie right before I place a live trade). I found some software which can search for cointegrated forex pairs but it's not cheap:
http://arb-maker.com/archives/881
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