Attachments: Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

#27,541
Jun 3, 2012 2:37pm Jun 3, 2012 2:37pm

chonchy
Joined Aug 2007 | Status: The Bitcoiner | 20,231 Posts

..........It looks like it already hit the lower trend line on this 15M and bounce off back up so is going to repect the channel i think, my 2 cents......meaning that it already hit 2407 and bounce up on this fxstreet link........

http://www.fxstreet.com/rates-charts/forex-rates/

I....m still thinking in letting this entrie limits to be hit and the hope for a run down to half way the magenta line or ema200, at least to brake even, yeah hope trading is call.......

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The Chonchy

#27,542
Jun 3, 2012 2:39pm Jun 3, 2012 2:39pm

chonchy
Joined Aug 2007 | Status: The Bitcoiner | 20,231 Posts

Quoting Skynet

Disliked

The tradingeconomics.com sites gives a nice run down in tabular format:
http://tradingeconomics.com/ </br>

Ignored

.........Nice link skynet, thanks a lot......

The Chonchy

#27,543
Jun 3, 2012 4:36pm Jun 3, 2012 4:36pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

Here some charts bigger picture. I expect myself some bounce in risk for comming days alwell need a fundamental trigger (in form of stimulus) Central bank interventions to change the trend tottal. Will do later some better analysis. Here first some charts and some keydates to keep eyes on this month.

TUESDAY JUNE 5 - Global purchasing manager indices (PMIs)

WEDNESDAY JUNE 6 - European Central Bank policymaking meeting, Federal Reserve issues the Beige Book.

THURSDAY JUNE 7 - Bank of England holds Monetary Policy Committee meeting, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies.

SAT JUNE 9/SUN JUNE 10- Chinese data (commodities imports- (Industrial output, retail sales and trade statistics)

SUNDAY JUNE 10- French parliamentary election.

MONDAY JUNE 11- IMF report on the Spanish banking system.

THURSDAY JUNE 14 - OPEC meeting.

FRIDAY JUNE 15 - Bank of Japan monetary policy decision.

SUNDAY JUNE 17 - Greek election re-run.

MONDAY, JUNE 18 - Results of independent audit on Spanish banks due.

MON JUNE 18/TUES JUNE 19- G20 summit.

WEDSDAY JUNE 20 - U.S. Federal Reserve announces result of its two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting.

THURSDAY JUNE 21 - Euro zone finance ministers meet, Large Spanish bound auction (10AM GMT)

FRIDAY JUNE 22,- Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti hosts mini-summit with Germany's Angela Merkel, France's Francois Hollande and Spain's Mariano Rajoy.

THURS JUN 28/FRI JUN 29 - EU leaders' summit.

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#27,544
Jun 3, 2012 5:18pm Jun 3, 2012 5:18pm

chonchy
Joined Aug 2007 | Status: The Bitcoiner | 20,231 Posts

Quoting ingmarforex

Disliked

Here some charts bigger picture. I expect myself some bounce in risk for comming days alwell need a fundamental trigger (in form of stimulus) Central bank interventions to change the trend tottal. Will do later some better analysis. Here first some charts and some keydates to keep eyes on this month.

TUESDAY JUNE 5 - Global purchasing manager indices (PMIs)

WEDNESDAY JUNE 6 - European Central Bank policymaking meeting, Federal Reserve issues the Beige Book.

THURSDAY JUNE 7 - Bank of England holds Monetary Policy Committee meeting, Federal...

Ignored

........Nice charts Ing, nice charts in deed..........good luck.....

The Chonchy

#27,545
Jun 3, 2012 5:47pm Jun 3, 2012 5:47pm

Skynet
Joined May 2012 | Status: Hunter / Killer | 849 Posts

Roar roar 53,
Interesting that you brought up the subject of equities index.
I believe a good way to assess some fundamental value of a nation is to compare the equity index of that nation against GOLD. A chart of gold versus various world equity index is a reasonable indicator of the inflation fear/economic instability of a specific nation's economic health.
This approach of Gold vs ___ also has value with regards to currencies...looking at how a basket of various currencies are trending/performing against gold can give insights to the performance of the countries relative to others. Given the role of gold as a financial resort in troubled times. e.g if XAU/AUD is sluggishly bullish or bearish....but XAU/USD is very bullish...that means on the fundamental long side, AUD/USD makes sense. (of course, this is a hypothetical scenario)......and of course, other fundamental factors will have to be weighed in as well. Is there an exception to this theory? yes, in 2000 when the SNB was dumping their gold...gold was performing well against the CHF but the CHF was performing well against other countries....
It goes without saying that production level of gold has nothing to do with the price of gold(as anybody that has tracked the appreciation/depreciation in gold prices vs world production level knows...gold is mostly driven by (a)inflation fears (b) economic instability.
(p.s i am not sure the shiny object has any intrinsic value on its own besides the belief people attributed to it.)

Quoting roro53

Disliked

Italy's MIB equity index is down to 2009 lows and closed under 13,000 friday..........it has been a great index to short during european sessions since it usually moves between 200 and 400 points per night

Spain's Ibex closed below 2009 lows

if the ECB does not step in to buy Spainish and Italian bonds and deflate yields then a story i read last week indicates the yields will soon go hyperbolic as the market has not priced for the ECB not participating

Ignored

" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "

#27,546
Jun 3, 2012 6:10pm Jun 3, 2012 6:10pm

chonchy
Joined Aug 2007 | Status: The Bitcoiner | 20,231 Posts

Quoting Skynet

Disliked

Roar roar 53,
Interesting that you brought up the subject of equities index.
I believe a good way to assess some fundamental value of a nation is to compare the equity index of that nation against GOLD. A chart of gold versus various world equity index is a reasonable indicator of the inflation fear/economic instability of a specific nation's economic health.
This approach of Gold vs ___ also has value with regards to currencies...looking at how a basket of various currencies are trending/performing against gold can give insights to the performance...

Ignored

..........Nice post skynet, thanks.........

It looks like the channel is being brokento the down side so is good for my shorts...........

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The Chonchy

#27,547
Jun 3, 2012 6:10pm Jun 3, 2012 6:10pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

Quoting chonchy

Disliked

........Nice charts Ing, nice charts in deed..........good luck.....

Ignored

Thanks mate

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#27,548
Jun 3, 2012 6:13pm Jun 3, 2012 6:13pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

I saw Roro again this weekend he was on the beach with his car not sure what he did there.
Bit strange roro those actions.

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#27,549
Jun 3, 2012 6:19pm Jun 3, 2012 6:19pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

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#27,550
Jun 3, 2012 6:27pm Jun 3, 2012 6:27pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

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Some more

#27,551
Jun 3, 2012 6:30pm Jun 3, 2012 6:30pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

stimulus or not changes are verry smal.

but who knows correlation is huge balance sheet of the fed with es etc. But whe all probally knowed that.

Maybe whe can see sometyhing comming if they increase on some kinda way..

http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/FARBAST:IND/chart

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#27,552
Jun 3, 2012 6:34pm Jun 3, 2012 6:34pm

ingmarforex
Joined Dec 2009 | Status: Trader | 3,156 Posts

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Epic this guy

#27,553
Jun 3, 2012 6:34pm Jun 3, 2012 6:34pm

Skynet
Joined May 2012 | Status: Hunter / Killer | 849 Posts

thanks roar roar53 and choncy for giving me the vouches...as is in the tradition of this thread, i present:
http://s5.postimage.org/6ius5fnnr/98...er_12_Xl_1.jpg

" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "

#27,554
Jun 3, 2012 6:36pm Jun 3, 2012 6:36pm

roro53
Joined May 2007 | Status: Trader | 4,268 Posts

thanks ingmar

Quoting ingmarforex

Disliked

I saw Roro again this weekend he was on the beach with his car not sure what he did there.
Bit strange roro those actions.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZoOcmtd9ogY

Ignored

#27,555
Jun 3, 2012 6:38pm Jun 3, 2012 6:38pm

roro53
Joined May 2007 | Status: Trader | 4,268 Posts

nice. thanks..........liked our post about gold too

Quoting Skynet

Disliked

thanks roar roa5r 53 for giving me the vouch...as in the tradition of this thread, i present: http://s5.postimage.org/6ius5fnnr/98...er_12_Xl_1.jpg

Ignored

#27,556
Jun 3, 2012 6:41pm Jun 3, 2012 6:41pm