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Nearly Naked (Simple Trades)

  • #11,021
  • May 24, 2012 5:34pm May 24, 2012 5:34pm
Quoting calderone
Hey guys, hope everyone is well. I saw this setup and took it......let's see if it runs or corrects.
I had gotten stopped out but I re entered. The cycle snapped and bit me. lol Gonna close this one soon.
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  • #11,022
  • May 24, 2012 5:49pm May 24, 2012 5:49pm
Quoting calderone
I had gotten stopped out but I re entered. The cycle snapped and bit me. lol Gonna close this one soon.
I was thinking of actually holding ( in it from 2.094) ..... 4 hour bearish divergence and it just broke a daily ascending trendline..... What are your thoughts?
Dr. C
  • #11,023
  • May 24, 2012 7:47pm May 24, 2012 7:47pm
Quoting cvcamper
I was thinking of actually holding ( in it from 2.094) ..... 4 hour bearish divergence and it just broke a daily ascending trendline..... What are your thoughts?
It depends on position size(s), I'm closed now and watching. I do think it could continue but albeit-not in a clean way more than likely. Let's wait and see.
  • #11,024
  • May 27, 2012 7:49am May 27, 2012 7:49am
Let's see if this Daily Doji holds
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  • #11,025
  • May 28, 2012 11:38am May 28, 2012 11:38am
Quoting calderone
It depends on position size(s), I'm closed now and watching. I do think it could continue but albeit-not in a clean way more than likely. Let's wait and see.

Nice!
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  • #11,026
  • May 30, 2012 1:42pm May 30, 2012 1:42pm
At LTL
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  • #11,027
  • May 30, 2012 2:00pm May 30, 2012 2:00pm
saxon,

reading through this thead and your affinity for COT data analysis....

giving the relentlessly negative sentiment with regards to the euro...how do you balance the fundamental view of euro getting considerably crappier with each passing day vs COT extreme levels?

At what levels, do you think that the COT extreme level serves as a contrarian indicator?
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #11,028
  • May 31, 2012 5:38am May 31, 2012 5:38am
Quoting Skynet
saxon,

reading through this thead and your affinity for COT data analysis....

giving the relentlessly negative sentiment with regards to the euro...how do you balance the fundamental view of euro getting considerably crappier with each passing day vs COT extreme levels?

At what levels, do you think that the COT extreme level serves as a contrarian indicator?
Hi Skynet,
I use COT to support trades, but it isnt one of my main tools. I use mostly Fibs, SR, Pivs, PA formations, etc... Stuff like that. My friend Shahab has an awesome thread that covers COT better than anyone else. He could give you some great insight into your COT/EUR question.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...16247&page=353
The members on his thread also have some good insight too. Hope this helps
  • #11,029
  • May 31, 2012 5:42am May 31, 2012 5:42am
thanks for that COT link Saxon........gl and noticed your LT chart too.

Quoting Saxon
Hi Skynet,
I use COT to support trades, but it isnt one of my main tools. I use mostly Fibs, SR, Pivs, PA formations, etc... Stuff like that. My friend Shahab has an awesome thread that covers COT better than anyone else. He could give you some great insight into your COT/EUR question.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...16247&page=353
The members on his thread also have some good insight too. Hope this helps
  • #11,030
  • Jun 3, 2012 10:46am Jun 3, 2012 10:46am
Quoting Saxon
Hi Skynet,
I use COT to support trades, but it isnt one of my main tools. I use mostly Fibs, SR, Pivs, PA formations, etc... Stuff like that. My friend Shahab has an awesome thread that covers COT better than anyone else. He could give you some great insight into your COT/EUR question.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...16247&page=353
The members on his thread also have some good insight too. Hope this helps
thanks for the link....what i was worried about did happened last friday: a violent rally in the EUR...that was the reason for my question with regards to COT serving as a contrarian indicator on the EUR. However, the reversal may have more to do with the USD economic data rather than sentiment driven longs positions.
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #11,031
  • Jun 4, 2012 12:36am Jun 4, 2012 12:36am
Quoting tradoholic
Hi Chilly,
Here are my charts for Au, EU and GU. I agree with you that the market is undecided. I have been watching S&P for a while and in many of my previous posts I have mentioned that I expect a huge pull back when the price hits median fork line in the chart. I Calculated the time to be around 15th May or so. If this continues then all EDU, AU, and GU should break the supports they are facing which is more like what I think. 1.55 for GU, 1.25 for EU and parity for AU are levels that I am expecting. For the moment I am not holding any trades....
Here is an update for a previous post I had written. i have cleaned up the chart somewhat.

I am currently short on Gold from FE 38.2, technically I am expecting 12XX, but fundamentally I am not sure. The argument there is that money goes to safe havens ( Gold and JPY) at times of market slow down. If this be the case then Gold should rise. I have also seen it in the past where many investors sell gold to cover losses in portfolio.
Let me know your thoughts.
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Find a job that you love and you dont have to work again in your life.
  • #11,032
  • Jun 6, 2012 11:07am Jun 6, 2012 11:07am
HALKINS and SAXON...option question. You two lads are the option experts. Giving the spanish/euro debacle...the current level of the EUR/USD and the godawful spin-the-wheel game of the politicians. Do you lads have options strategy/strategies for this situation? Either as a straight play or hedging your risk? thanks
" It may mean something. It may mean nothing at all "
  • #11,033
  • Jun 10, 2012 8:00am Jun 10, 2012 8:00am
Quoting Skynet
HALKINS and SAXON...option question. You two lads are the option experts. Giving the spanish/euro debacle...the current level of the EUR/USD and the godawful spin-the-wheel game of the politicians. Do you lads have options strategy/strategies for this situation? Either as a straight play or hedging your risk? thanks
I dont have any risk in the market right now so no need for me to be hedging. Also, I would be long volatility EU but considering that the whole market probably feels that way, it might be rather expensive. I'm not trading options currently and am just in the spot market for the next few months.
  • #11,034
  • Jun 10, 2012 8:09am Jun 10, 2012 8:09am
Got some targets on EU
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  • #11,035
  • Jun 11, 2012 5:26am Jun 11, 2012 5:26am
Here is my target for EURUSD...I ll enter the position at the best possible place (resistence breakout)...and the energy point in the picture is : 14th June 1,2770
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Imagination rules the world ...
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  • #11,036
  • Jun 11, 2012 2:25pm Jun 11, 2012 2:25pm
Quoting selym_co
Here is my target for EURUSD...I ll enter the position at the best possible place (resistence breakout)...and the energy point in the picture is : 14th June 1,2770
Good stuff !
  • #11,037
  • Jun 11, 2012 2:31pm Jun 11, 2012 2:31pm
Quoting Saxon
Got some targets on EU
EU Gapped up to first target Got 2 shorts in up there. One at Piv the other at open. Back on the sidelines waiting for the next one...
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  • #11,038
  • Jun 13, 2012 6:40am Jun 13, 2012 6:40am
"NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon will tell Congress Wednesday that the bank's massive loss can be blamed on insufficient risk controls and a failure by traders to understand the bets they were placing."

I say BS to that. They knew what they were doing. They knew the rules and were trying to get around them.
  • #11,039
  • Jun 13, 2012 8:42pm Jun 13, 2012 8:42pm
A couple of looks:
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  • #11,040
  • Jun 13, 2012 8:47pm Jun 13, 2012 8:47pm
great analysis bro!!


Quoting Saxon
A couple of looks:
"Millionaires don't use astrology, billionaires do"
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