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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #5,241
  • May 16, 2012 4:59pm May 16, 2012 4:59pm
Quoting shahab8b
Kiwi: It seems finally a correction in underway. It's a clear downtrend and my preference is selling the rallies.I pointed out the fib and ,R levels on the chart.
Hi Shahab,
I got a quick question for you if you don't mind.
I was wondering how you sell the rallies? I mean you put pending SELL on all fib levels or not, you wait for the price to hit these levels and watch the price reaction.If price bounced back and headed south ,then you start selling.

Thank you for your time
Mike

P.S. Also there is a support for AU to bounce up and correction but nothing for KIWI.Do you analyze KIWI based on AU ?
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,242
  • May 17, 2012 3:25pm May 17, 2012 3:25pm
Quoting mike1349
Hi Shahab,
I got a quick question for you if you don't mind.
I was wondering how you sell the rallies? I mean you put pending SELL on all fib levels or not, you wait for the price to hit these levels and watch the price reaction.If price bounced back and headed south ,then you start selling.

Thank you for your time
Mike

P.S. Also there is a support for AU to bounce up and correction but nothing for KIWI.Do you analyze KIWI based on AU ?
Hi Mike,
1st, I suggested there might be a correction underway; therefore, selling rallies was my preference. However, it didn't happen as you see.
2nd, depending on the TFs, RRR, and my strategy I use different approaches. For those I pointed out on AU and NU, I was planning to use sell limit orders on all levels with a hard SL (on the charts). It really depends on your RRR; if you use small size (i.e 1-2%) you can leave them on the chart with SL in place. If you are going to go in heavy, you better wait for confirmation and use a tighter SL.
  • #5,243
  • May 17, 2012 3:30pm May 17, 2012 3:30pm
Quoting shahab8b
S&P500: I'm very bearish from here. Some people may not know it yet, but this is a beginning of a very bearish market for the next few weeks/moths. As for Currencies, I prefer selling AUD, NZD, and CAD agianst USD or JPY.
S&P500: update
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  • #5,244
  • May 17, 2012 3:39pm May 17, 2012 3:39pm
UJ: short setup on the chart
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  • #5,245
  • May 17, 2012 4:30pm May 17, 2012 4:30pm
Quoting shahab8b
Hi Mike,
1st, I suggested there might be a correction underway; therefore, selling rallies was my preference. However, it didn't happen as you see.
.
Got it Shahab.Thank you
Mike
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,246
  • May 17, 2012 6:04pm May 17, 2012 6:04pm
Quoting shahab8b
UJ: short setup on the chart
UJ: short setup
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  • #5,247
  • May 17, 2012 7:10pm May 17, 2012 7:10pm
EURGBP: I like the idea of selling the rallies.
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  • #5,248
  • May 17, 2012 7:16pm May 17, 2012 7:16pm
GOLD: short setup on the chart
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  • #5,249
  • May 18, 2012 7:22am May 18, 2012 7:22am
UCHF: It seems a correction is underway; I may try shorts from here with a tight SL above the high.
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  • #5,250
  • May 18, 2012 7:25am May 18, 2012 7:25am
Quoting shahab8b
UCHF: It seems a correction is underway; I may try shorts from here with a tight SL above the high.
EU is developing the same structure.
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  • #5,251
  • May 18, 2012 10:23am May 18, 2012 10:23am
Quoting shahab8b
UJ: short setup

UJ: short trade update, moving SL to b/e
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  • #5,252
  • May 18, 2012 10:27am May 18, 2012 10:27am
Quoting shahab8b
UCHF: It seems a correction is underway; I may try shorts from here with a tight SL above the high.
A quick follow up on UCHF and EU trade suggestions.
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  • #5,253
  • May 18, 2012 11:16am May 18, 2012 11:16am
UCAD: there may be a good short setup in developing
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  • #5,254
  • May 20, 2012 10:42am May 20, 2012 10:42am
GU: Selling the rallies agianst 1.62, targeting 1.575 and 1565 in extension.
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  • #5,255
  • May 20, 2012 10:56am May 20, 2012 10:56am
Crude: possible long setup on the chart
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  • #5,256
  • May 20, 2012 11:00am May 20, 2012 11:00am
Quoting shahab8b
UCHF: It seems a correction is underway; I may try shorts from here with a tight SL above the high.
UCHF: Update on the short trade
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  • #5,257
  • May 20, 2012 4:09pm May 20, 2012 4:09pm
EJ:
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  • #5,258
  • May 20, 2012 8:16pm May 20, 2012 8:16pm
Quoting shahab8b
UCAD: there may be a good short setup in developing
UCAD: update on the short trade
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  • #5,259
  • May 22, 2012 11:43am May 22, 2012 11:43am
UJ: short setup on the chart
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  • #5,260
  • May 22, 2012 11:58am May 22, 2012 11:58am
Quoting shahab8b
UJ: short setup on the chart
I'm shorting this one also around that area.
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