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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #5,221
  • May 11, 2012 8:19am May 11, 2012 8:19am
Quoting shahab8b
GU: short setup on the chart
GU short trade update
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  • #5,222
  • May 11, 2012 8:20am May 11, 2012 8:20am
Quoting M.A.C.Doug
yes it is
Nice Chart Doug!
  • #5,223
  • May 11, 2012 8:37am May 11, 2012 8:37am
Quoting mike1349
Thank you for your posts Shahab.I was wondering how you use FE?
Would you explain it or give us a link please?

Thanks
Mike
You simply use the Fibonacci Expansion tool in your platform. You need to identify your ABC move and project the D point. Here are some examples:
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  • #5,224
  • May 11, 2012 8:45am May 11, 2012 8:45am
It is all random right ? ^^ Awesome, as always, Mr Alchemist.

Quoting shahab8b
You simply use the Fibonacci Expansion tool in your platform. You need to identify your ABC move and project the D point. Here are some examples:
Hello.
  • #5,225
  • May 11, 2012 8:49am May 11, 2012 8:49am
AU: it's getting some support around 1.0025, let's see if we can switch to long from here.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,226
  • May 11, 2012 8:50am May 11, 2012 8:50am
Quoting emene
It is all random right ? ^^ Awesome, as always, Mr Alchemist.
Hey emene, thanks mate! how have you been?
  • #5,227
  • May 11, 2012 8:57am May 11, 2012 8:57am
Quoting shahab8b
UCAD trades as pointed out earlier.
UCAD trade update:
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  • #5,228
  • May 11, 2012 9:03am May 11, 2012 9:03am
Quoting shahab8b
AU: it's getting some support around 1.0025, let's see if we can switch to long from here.
AU: Just switched to Long
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,229
  • May 11, 2012 9:32am May 11, 2012 9:32am
Quoting shahab8b
AU: Just switched to Long

The same pattern is developing in Kiwi, considering high correlation between AU and NU, that confirms our bias.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,230
  • May 11, 2012 5:37pm May 11, 2012 5:37pm
Quoting shahab8b
You simply use the Fibonacci Expansion tool in your platform. You need to identify your ABC move and project the D point. Here are some examples:
Thank you Shahab.Very nice and precise.
Mike
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,231
  • May 15, 2012 2:59pm May 15, 2012 2:59pm
Quoting shahab8b
S&P500: I'm very bearish from here. Some people may not know it yet, but this is a beginning of a very bearish market for the next few weeks/moths. As for Currencies, I prefer selling AUD, NZD, and CAD agianst USD or JPY.

S&P500: double top confirmation
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  • #5,232
  • May 15, 2012 3:01pm May 15, 2012 3:01pm
UCAD: it's a directional trade
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  • #5,233
  • May 15, 2012 3:12pm May 15, 2012 3:12pm
GU: short term down trend channel broke the LTL; I prefer playing the short side.
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  • #5,234
  • May 15, 2012 3:21pm May 15, 2012 3:21pm
EU: just playing the short side.
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  • #5,235
  • May 16, 2012 5:59am May 16, 2012 5:59am
Quoting shahab8b
UCAD: it's a directional trade

Ucad: update on the long trade
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,236
  • May 16, 2012 6:01am May 16, 2012 6:01am
Quoting shahab8b
GU: short term down trend channel broke the LTL; I prefer playing the short side.
GU: update on short trade
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #5,237
  • May 16, 2012 7:13am May 16, 2012 7:13am
Quoting shahab8b
Ucad: update on the long trade
Hi Shahab,
I was curious are you still hold your position with that shape of candle (Bearish) or at least partially take some profit?

Thanks
Failure, is a wonderful teacher!
  • #5,238
  • May 16, 2012 8:22am May 16, 2012 8:22am
Quoting mike1349
Hi Shahab,
I was curious are you still hold your position with that shape of candle (Bearish) or at least partially take some profit?

Thanks
You should close and wait for the next setup. I usually do the same.
  • #5,239
  • May 16, 2012 8:37am May 16, 2012 8:37am
Kiwi: It seems finally a correction in underway. It's a clear downtrend and my preference is selling the rallies.I pointed out the fib and ,R levels on the chart.
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  • #5,240
  • May 16, 2012 8:46am May 16, 2012 8:46am
AU: the same goes for Aussi
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