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AUD/USD

  • #43,361
  • Apr 25, 2012 4:05am Apr 25, 2012 4:05am
Quoting Iceage
Have increased positions at every dip to 250,but it really looks dangerous. also long on USD/JPY last night.
you on the bull right? yes she looking quite dangerous, both countries doing pretty crap, i got a feeling bernake guna send this down but everytime i look at the daily its going up, to top it off she back in the tug of war zone, where u reckon she going?

zzz land for me

^_^
  • #43,362
  • Apr 25, 2012 4:30am Apr 25, 2012 4:30am
Quoting Noobicle
you on the bull right? yes she looking quite dangerous, both countries doing pretty crap, i got a feeling bernake guna send this down but everytime i look at the daily its going up, to top it off she back in the tug of war zone, where u reckon she going?

zzz land for me

^_^
Yes,I am on the bull since last month and I expect it will go north by 1,000 or 2,000 pips.Sometimes I doubt whether I am on the right side.
You are quite right,it is in the tug of war zone but too long.For me,it is more like a gamble that the world economy will have a decent soft landing,but someone might want a hard landing,you know.
  • #43,363
  • Edited 5:28am Apr 25, 2012 5:12am | Edited 5:28am
My guess:

1. now down to 285 (SL: 358)
2. then, up to 380 or 400+
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #43,364
  • Apr 25, 2012 6:13am Apr 25, 2012 6:13am
from forexlive
Option expiries
Written by Joe Brown
April 25, 2012 at 09:04 GMT
For the 1000 NY/1400GMT cut today….
AUD/USD: 1.0300

AUD/USD spent the day grinding through offers to 1.0346 from 1.0306 but has so far failed to break through 1.0350 where some buy stops lie (more through 1.0370 as well i’m now told). Bids at 1.0300/10 are now pretty solid im advised.
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  • #43,365
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:04am Apr 25, 2012 9:04am
Quoting mrbandwidth
My guess:

1. now down to 285 (SL: 358)
2. then, up to 380 or 400+

Hmmmm, nope, seems is going directly to 380 (to fulfill the projection of the inverted H&S I said yesterday).

Oh, well...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #43,366
  • Apr 25, 2012 1:14pm Apr 25, 2012 1:14pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Still holding my 2 lots from 0330. Maybe next week!

Regards,
No progess since last week. Right back where I started. Intrest is nice, though! Still holding (added one more lot @ 0270).

Regards,
  • #43,367
  • Apr 25, 2012 4:15pm Apr 25, 2012 4:15pm
Kiwi rates: no changes
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #43,368
  • Apr 25, 2012 4:20pm Apr 25, 2012 4:20pm
Posted on: Apr 24, 2012 11:27 (35 hr ago) :

Quoting mrbandwidth
IMO, nope, I'm waiting to ~320 (I think this is an inverted H&S at 30min, we have to go to the neck line at 320, then drop again to ~270 to build the second shoulder, then NORTH).

But read my sig...

ET IN ARCADIA EGO
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #43,369
  • Apr 25, 2012 5:00pm Apr 25, 2012 5:00pm
mr bandwith...north...but how far is the question? aussie is hovering around its 200 day moving average...Rsi hasnt crossed 50 on daily...so what do u think...a slow grind to 1.0500 or back to restest 1.0800? all we can do is wait and see i suppose...
  • #43,370
  • Apr 25, 2012 5:03pm Apr 25, 2012 5:03pm
Quoting monkey@forex
mr bandwith...north...but how far is the question? aussie is hovering around its 200 day moving average...Rsi hasnt crossed 50 on daily...so what do u think...a slow grind to 1.0500 or back to restest 1.0800? all we can do is wait and see i suppose...
I don't suppose we will see figures like that for a long time, parity is coming with RBA rate forecast decreasing. Unless we see some significant risk on (QE) then we will precipitously fall.
  • #43,371
  • Apr 25, 2012 5:53pm Apr 25, 2012 5:53pm
With all the bearish news from China & aus, why hasn't it already fallen to parity & lower? A rate cut is already priced in...a 50 base cut would only fuel the housing bubble over there...but 3.75% still beats the 0.25% USA dollar rate...Europe is slowly deleveraging, USA hasn't started & who knows what the real china figures are...I think without qe3 this years top has been set, but a retrace to 1.0600 may not be out of the question
  • #43,372
  • Apr 25, 2012 6:20pm Apr 25, 2012 6:20pm
4hr setting up for sell??
  • #43,373
  • Apr 25, 2012 6:21pm Apr 25, 2012 6:21pm
That was a nice run!

Shorted 1.0360, sl 1.0410, Tp open
Expect the unexpected.
  • #43,374
  • Apr 25, 2012 6:47pm Apr 25, 2012 6:47pm
I see $ weakness
  • #43,375
  • Apr 25, 2012 7:07pm Apr 25, 2012 7:07pm
Quoting sidhujag
I see $ weakness
Mabey.. But, in some point in time the spike created a gap and will be filled.. Now or later.In 4hr demand so, i see good short scalp opp too..GL!
  • #43,376
  • Apr 25, 2012 7:40pm Apr 25, 2012 7:40pm
Quoting monkey@forex
mr bandwith...north...but how far is the question? aussie is hovering around its 200 day moving average...Rsi hasnt crossed 50 on daily...so what do u think...a slow grind to 1.0500 or back to restest 1.0800? all we can do is wait and see i suppose...

IMO, to 440.

There, we'll see...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #43,377
  • Apr 25, 2012 8:53pm Apr 25, 2012 8:53pm
AUD/usd is ranging in sideway actions, dont trade now.
  • #43,378
  • Apr 25, 2012 8:57pm Apr 25, 2012 8:57pm
from forexlive
AUD/USD orders
Written by Sean Lee
April 25, 2012 at 22:04 GMT
Sell orders reported starting at 1.0380
Heavier sell orders near 1.0430

AUD/USD orders: Plenty of interest to buy on dips
Written by Sean Lee
April 26, 2012 at 01:38 GMT
I’m hearing reports from the interbank market of plentiful bids between 1.0325/35, with the short-term market caught a bit short and hoping for a dip.
  • #43,379
  • Apr 25, 2012 8:59pm Apr 25, 2012 8:59pm
some charts
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  • #43,380
  • Apr 25, 2012 9:13pm Apr 25, 2012 9:13pm
now is slow moving after yesterday fed news, is ranging sideway.

If u long, they will go down.

If u short, they will go up.

Quite a number of pips lost this way.
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