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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #5,181
  • Apr 10, 2012 4:33am Apr 10, 2012 4:33am
Quoting trader_dscha
Hi. Nice thread. Interesting area on USDCAD.
  • #5,182
  • Apr 10, 2012 11:05am Apr 10, 2012 11:05am
Quoting shahab8b
GJ: it looks like a triple top . It may also be a triangle, we'll see.

GJ trade update:
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  • #5,183
  • Apr 10, 2012 11:13am Apr 10, 2012 11:13am
Quoting shahab8b
UCAD, I like the idea going long on U/CAD
UCad trade update:
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  • #5,184
  • Apr 10, 2012 11:16am Apr 10, 2012 11:16am
Quoting shahab8b
S&P500, it looks like a double top. If that proves right it will lead to USD strength across the board.

S&P500 update:
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  • #5,185
  • Apr 11, 2012 9:07pm Apr 11, 2012 9:07pm
Quoting shahab8b
S&P500 update:

sick short on snp, by the looks of it its beginning a h4 downtrend, which might pay alot

i joined with some cable shorts off of this iffy trendline
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Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #5,186
  • Apr 12, 2012 8:37am Apr 12, 2012 8:37am
Quoting djambazov84
sick short on snp, by the looks of it its beginning a h4 downtrend, which might pay alot

i joined with some cable shorts off of this iffy trendline

I like to go short on GU around 1.605 ish.
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  • #5,187
  • Apr 12, 2012 8:42am Apr 12, 2012 8:42am
AU: not sure yet .By the look of it, it might be a short term double bottom.
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  • #5,188
  • Apr 16, 2012 3:12pm Apr 16, 2012 3:12pm
EU: choppy price actions overall; good for range/swing trading. I've pointed out the levels you may want have a limit order.
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  • #5,189
  • Apr 16, 2012 3:37pm Apr 16, 2012 3:37pm
Gold: possible buy/sell levels on the chart:
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  • #5,190
  • Apr 16, 2012 6:36pm Apr 16, 2012 6:36pm
wave like structure breakdown, interesting thing is that fib levels are almost perfectly placed into this possible zig-zag move for a final 5th impulse lower (possibly, im very biased because i`m also short eur for almost same reason), as i think primary trend is for a higher dollar index

thoughts ?
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Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #5,191
  • Apr 19, 2012 8:36am Apr 19, 2012 8:36am
Quoting shahab8b
UJ:

UJ: Update on the COT-based suggested trade.
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  • #5,192
  • Apr 19, 2012 11:55am Apr 19, 2012 11:55am
Quoting djambazov84
wave like structure breakdown, interesting thing is that fib levels are almost perfectly placed into this possible zig-zag move for a final 5th impulse lower (possibly, im very biased because i`m also short eur for almost same reason), as i think primary trend is for a higher dollar index

thoughts ?
I guess it was a good scalping at the time. I pointed out the levels that I was watching on the Cable.
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  • #5,193
  • Apr 20, 2012 6:28pm Apr 20, 2012 6:28pm
Euro/Usd Latest Cot Report >>> Market short euro's increased
  • #5,194
  • Apr 23, 2012 10:14pm Apr 23, 2012 10:14pm
GU: short setup on the chart @ 1.6170-1.6185
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  • #5,195
  • Apr 23, 2012 10:17pm Apr 23, 2012 10:17pm
EU: short setup on the chart
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  • #5,196
  • Apr 24, 2012 4:06pm Apr 24, 2012 4:06pm
Quoting shahab8b
GU: short setup on the chart @ 1.6170-1.6185
wedge!

there is a possible bearish divergence on 1H timeframe
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  • #5,197
  • Apr 24, 2012 4:22pm Apr 24, 2012 4:22pm
targeting 1540. I am closely watching its behavior, with a stop loss on 1687.

similar precious metals like platinum & silver are already on a downtrend. Gold has been resisting as it has touched its 38% retracement and lower band of weekly trend-line.
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  • #5,198
  • Apr 24, 2012 4:34pm Apr 24, 2012 4:34pm
missed one time, but I will be soon short, maybe on 31.07, targeting 26.10.

great expectations! )
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  • #5,199
  • Apr 24, 2012 11:43pm Apr 24, 2012 11:43pm
Quoting siavash
missed one time, but I will be soon short, maybe on 31.07, targeting 26.10.

great expectations! )
Hi Siavash,
Thanks for your post.
I think Silver has just completed the H&S pattern. I am currently long with a long term view. Having said this, I can also see the Chrsitmas tree pattern which would complete at 26.10 as you mentioned. LTR is about $21.00. Will now keep an eye on it.
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  • #5,200
  • Apr 25, 2012 12:30am Apr 25, 2012 12:30am
Quoting tradoholic
Hi Siavash,
Thanks for your post.
I think Silver has just completed the H&S pattern. I am currently long with a long term view. Having said this, I can also see the Chrsitmas tree pattern which would complete at 26.10 as you mentioned. LTR is about $21.00. Will now keep an eye on it.
Hope you will be right on this. Be careful with this monster. precious metals have been on a downtrend for some time.

As I am short on gold, I prefer to stay aside on silver right now. But if I had to have a position, I would choose short. 31 area was a strong support that is broken.

Good luck buddy
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