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AUD/USD

  • #43,101
  • Apr 16, 2012 10:08am Apr 16, 2012 10:08am
Nice bear candle on 4H chart. A break below 1.0336 should get us moving south again toward 1.03 or lower.
  • #43,102
  • Apr 16, 2012 10:19am Apr 16, 2012 10:19am
headed north..

rejection from daily s2/s1. Printing higher lows.. price moving in accordance to stochastics

this pair is the only trade in the red right now out of my EU GU UC trades.. but with the dollar index falling I see this pair following closely behind
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  • #43,103
  • Apr 16, 2012 10:20am Apr 16, 2012 10:20am
Still pretty bearish on this pair until it closes the week up around 1.0450. The lower high/lower low pattern is still in play.
Expect it to at least test last week's low around 1.0250.
My TP mark is around 1.0130 (50 Fib).
  • #43,104
  • Apr 16, 2012 11:06am Apr 16, 2012 11:06am
Quoting FX-Petra
Just closed 0275, 0320, and 0380 @ 0440. Still holding 2 near 0550. Will buy another dip if possible (as always).

Good trades to all!

Regards,
Took 2 lots on the dip @0330. Perhaps she will rise. Good trades to all.

Regards,
  • #43,105
  • Apr 16, 2012 1:06pm Apr 16, 2012 1:06pm
so whos in for the statement? bears? bulls? any entries before the news?
  • #43,106
  • Apr 16, 2012 1:14pm Apr 16, 2012 1:14pm
Quoting Raziha
so whos in for the statement? bears? bulls? any entries before the news?
I am, but I've been short for weeks.
The Aussies have been hawkish to an extreme. Any dovish statements could send this one lower. Technically, the bear is still in play (lower highs/lower lows), but there isn't any technical or fundamental reason to place a trade right now.
  • #43,107
  • Apr 16, 2012 2:08pm Apr 16, 2012 2:08pm
Quoting Raziha
so whos in for the statement? bears? bulls? any entries before the news?
I'm short until we take out 1.0380
  • #43,108
  • Apr 16, 2012 2:13pm Apr 16, 2012 2:13pm
How the f did eur an aud rise on good usd data wtf...Im short too, that long wasnt very convincing but maybe she got some more left....
  • #43,109
  • Apr 16, 2012 3:19pm Apr 16, 2012 3:19pm
?
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  • #43,110
  • Apr 16, 2012 4:03pm Apr 16, 2012 4:03pm
Quoting Intrepid32
I'm short until we take out 1.0380

380 will likely be taken out in the next 2 sessions so within 16 hours.
  • #43,111
  • Apr 16, 2012 4:07pm Apr 16, 2012 4:07pm
Quoting Zeroh
380 will likely be taken out in the next 2 sessions so within 16 hours.
Maybe maybe not... if you think that you can trade it... and if you trade it you are on the wrong side http://fxtrade.oanda.com/analysis/historical-positions
  • #43,112
  • Apr 16, 2012 4:19pm Apr 16, 2012 4:19pm
gold already under pressure, maybe a hint?
  • #43,113
  • Apr 16, 2012 6:51pm Apr 16, 2012 6:51pm
Aussie rebounded almost immediately after the RBA statement. I'm kinda baffled now... any insights from seniors here?
  • #43,114
  • Apr 16, 2012 7:14pm Apr 16, 2012 7:14pm
what u reckon mates? she back in her trend?
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  • #43,115
  • Apr 16, 2012 7:14pm Apr 16, 2012 7:14pm
lookin for 1.0250ish... target... but u noobs dont read that as a point to long.
  • #43,116
  • Apr 16, 2012 7:18pm Apr 16, 2012 7:18pm
Quoting sidhujag
lookin for 1.0250ish... target... but u noobs dont read that as a point to long.
I would still put in a small long as I'm trying to build my long positions targeting a higher TP.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #43,117
  • Apr 16, 2012 7:32pm Apr 16, 2012 7:32pm
Quoting Noobicle
what u reckon mates? she back in her trend?
Like I said yesterday Noob, She's heading for 1.0250, then we will re-evaluate
Expect the unexpected.
  • #43,118
  • Apr 16, 2012 7:42pm Apr 16, 2012 7:42pm
Quoting Noobicle
How the f did eur an aud rise on good usd data wtf...Im short too, that long wasnt very convincing but maybe she got some more left....
The up in risk-ante was a more significant factor than the strengthening of the dollar in the minds of traders I think.

Looks to me like this pair is somewhat in the woods now unable to decide which way to go. May be wise to sit out the CPI data and (possible) rate cut before looking for a position to long.
  • #43,119
  • Apr 16, 2012 7:53pm Apr 16, 2012 7:53pm
Quoting fx-rocket
Like I said yesterday Noob, She's heading for 1.0250, then we will re-evaluate
yes rocket lets hope we are very lucky
  • #43,120
  • Apr 16, 2012 9:12pm Apr 16, 2012 9:12pm
Quoting fx-rocket
Like I said yesterday Noob, She's heading for 1.0250, then we will re-evaluate
mmm i like steak.
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