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Walk the Talk from a fun loving discretionary trader 46 replies

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Cesarnc's market talk, gossips, rumours & fun

  • #25,601
  • Apr 8, 2012 12:34pm Apr 8, 2012 12:34pm
Quoting roro53
no more and i think the Euro and US equity indexes are probably great sells or at the least pretty hard tops (but what do i know - caveate)

Bernanke, Yellen and Dudley are all up to speak this week so that may create an opportunity to get short at higher prices.

thanks for posting the G/Y charts, condor......i will be watching

Yes, watching the S&P in relation to GY...
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Author of: For Pip's Sake! (Available at Amazon... :-) )
  • #25,602
  • Apr 8, 2012 1:52pm Apr 8, 2012 1:52pm
4hr looks to be in the range with almost text book fib expantion..

Weekly play with a nice reaction still in the down channel..

GL to all this week!
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  • #25,603
  • Apr 8, 2012 2:01pm Apr 8, 2012 2:01pm
Quoting 45Condor
For a trader with a moniker that suggests a person of mellowed disposition, you sure give out vibes that would imply a darker, more risk-taking nature.

I think the descriptive noun that I am searching for is, nutcase.



I'm in...
You just reminded me that it's time to dust off my tin foil hats. Some music to listen to while doing so.

http://www.eclectech.co.uk/mindcontrol.php
Stay calm, be brave, wait for the signs - Jasper Friendly Bear
  • #25,604
  • Apr 8, 2012 2:09pm Apr 8, 2012 2:09pm
Quoting fxhermit
You just reminded me that it's time to dust off my tin foil hats. Some music to listen to while doing so.

http://www.eclectech.co.uk/mindcontrol.php

WTF Dude.....LOL!
http://www.eclectech.co.uk/b3ta/b3ta/handtoes.jpg
  • #25,605
  • Apr 8, 2012 2:10pm Apr 8, 2012 2:10pm
Stay calm, be brave, wait for the signs - Jasper Friendly Bear
  • #25,606
  • Apr 8, 2012 2:14pm Apr 8, 2012 2:14pm
got pix of Silvia Spankhurts, hermit?
  • #25,607
  • Apr 8, 2012 2:21pm Apr 8, 2012 2:21pm
Ahh, you guys kill me, what a great sense of humour.

As far as risk taking is concerned, well, I'm pretty much a technical trader so risk is not necesarily the enemy, its just another tool to work with. The risk on all of my trades is always well defined according to a consistent rinse and repeat approach that I find works for me. I find the modified fib tool to be a great guide as it responds dynamically to the market (if I stretch it correctly that is.) It's kind of a consistent approach which suits a lazy guy like me - set it, forget it, because your either right or wrong - that's trading.

As for the darkside ...... hmmm may have to leave that for another day .... off with friends for beer and munchies.
Stay calm, be brave, wait for the signs - Jasper Friendly Bear
  • #25,608
  • Apr 8, 2012 10:59pm Apr 8, 2012 10:59pm
Quoting fxhermit
Ahh, you guys kill me, what a great sense of humour.

As far as risk taking is concerned, well, I'm pretty much a technical trader so risk is not necesarily the enemy, its just another tool to work with. The risk on all of my trades is always well defined according to a consistent rinse and repeat approach that I find works for me. I find the modified fib tool to be a great guide as it responds dynamically to the market (if I stretch it correctly that is.) It's kind of a consistent approach which suits a lazy guy like me - set it, forget it, because...
.........ah beer and munchies......just come from there, now listening to this to come down a bit, as for trading, great posts from the usual suspects, too great I may say, too many to quote but all awesome......

eggs was the theme of the day, and of course the electrobike exibitions........

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http://sphotos.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-...54800496_n.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #25,609
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:03pm Apr 8, 2012 11:03pm
......some get too exited with easter, I must admit......

http://sphotos.xx.fbcdn.net/hphotos-...10904990_n.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #25,610
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:05pm Apr 8, 2012 11:05pm
Quoting fxhermit
Ahh, you guys kill me, what a great sense of humour.

As far as risk taking is concerned, well, I'm pretty much a technical trader so risk is not necesarily the enemy, its just another tool to work with. The risk on all of my trades is always well defined according to a consistent rinse and repeat approach that I find works for me. I find the modified fib tool to be a great guide as it responds dynamically to the market (if I stretch it correctly that is.) It's kind of a consistent approach which suits a lazy guy like me - set it, forget it, because...
........The dark side......

http://chzallnighter.files.wordpress...r-guinness.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #25,611
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:11pm Apr 8, 2012 11:11pm
http://blogs.psychcentral.com/humor/...r_wars_500.jpg
The Chonchy
  • #25,612
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:33pm Apr 8, 2012 11:33pm
........I need a couple of guys like this for the las vegas show........

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The Chonchy
  • #25,613
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:36pm Apr 8, 2012 11:36pm
......Changing to a smother tune......fxhermit style......

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The Chonchy
  • #25,614
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:44pm Apr 8, 2012 11:44pm
.........45condor love the saxo also if I remember correctly........

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The Chonchy
  • #25,615
  • Apr 8, 2012 11:50pm Apr 8, 2012 11:50pm
.......And this is for smikester........

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The Chonchy
  • #25,616
  • Apr 9, 2012 12:04am Apr 9, 2012 12:04am
......can forget roro, roro this one is for you......

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The Chonchy
  • #25,617
  • Apr 9, 2012 8:35am Apr 9, 2012 8:35am
hi Chonchy........thanks. you are a star. and, also thanks for giving me a place to come with my (psycho) analysis. i imagine the others feel the same too.

you know the saying about when in doubt close out......i escaped my friday trades except for EUR/CHF

this week has a line up of central bankers with bernanke tonight and then Yellen and Dudley, all doves.

at this point i think all it will take is a dropped hint that more money is coming and the rally is back on.........i just do not trust this market so maybe we will get some range trading for a while. that would be nice.

there was a nice trade on the USD/CAD soon after the market opened last night. i was sitting looking at the prices and caught the CAD at 0.9945/50.........my reticular information wasn't working and i hesitated and missed the trade but it was good for a very quick 25 and then 50 pips. c'est la vie.

your grand daughter is a doll!
  • #25,618
  • Apr 9, 2012 9:25am Apr 9, 2012 9:25am
hi all,

had a rough night last night with a chill and fever but am back at it this morning feeling the worst has passed.

i am not really a position trader but have been reading about the speculation over a possible massive devaluation of the Yen by the govt and BOJ so have started to accumulate modest positions at 81.25 with entry orders lower

Bruce krasting had an interesting article on the subject from yesterday;

http://www.zerohedge.com/contributed...ng-race-bottom

and, then Soc Gen on the BOJ for today/tomorrow;

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/3-reas...-within-2-days

Faber has also been touting Japan and thinks it will outperform so i have been watching the Nikki which is off over 5% and back to the 9500/50 area, and which according to SG is likely to benefit from BOJ stimulus and an effort to raise the inflation target to 2%

Adam Button (one of those Canadian types) put out an interesting piece this morning and correlates a UST 10 Yr at 1.90% to 80.00 for USD/JPY, and that the 10 Yr has broken support of 2.10 post NFP

Button speculates that more negative economic data and/or a hint from Bernanke is needed to get to 1.90 yield.

consensus looks like 80.00 is a nice round number to looking to buy the pair, but if the BOJ announces tomorrow i want to at least have something and take it from there
  • #25,619
  • Apr 9, 2012 9:38am Apr 9, 2012 9:38am
Quoting roro53
hi Chonchy........thanks. you are a star. and, also thanks for giving me a place to come with my (psycho) analysis. i imagine the others feel the same too.

you know the saying about when in doubt close out......i escaped my friday trades except for EUR/CHF

this week has a line up of central bankers with bernanke tonight and then Yellen and Dudley, all doves.

at this point i think all it will take is a dropped hint that more money is coming and the rally is back on.........i just do not trust this market so maybe we will get some range trading...
......All you post is cream roro, they only sicho here is me....
The Chonchy
  • #25,620
  • Apr 9, 2012 12:36pm Apr 9, 2012 12:36pm
Psycho's?? You guys are scaring me now ....

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Stay calm, be brave, wait for the signs - Jasper Friendly Bear
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