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AUD/USD

  • #41,941
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:32pm Mar 15, 2012 1:32pm
i hate to be short but i still believe that audusd is already formed triple top formation which is come from 1.08 on daily chart.thou somehow my outlook got delayed on february with several re entry, i short tis pair start from there and will watch it closely until it gets to 0.97-0.98. hope it wouldn't take too long to reach lows, 2 months?
  • #41,942
  • Mar 15, 2012 1:58pm Mar 15, 2012 1:58pm
Quoting dokterriza
i hate to be short but i still believe that audusd is already formed triple top formation which is come from 1.08 on daily chart.thou somehow my outlook got delayed on february with several re entry, i short tis pair start from there and will watch it closely until it gets to 0.97-0.98. hope it wouldn't take too long to reach lows, 2 months?
i have the same plan, shorted the third test of 850, sold the close below 660, and i covered at 440, i shorted the falling trend line test at 530... my target is 9730... maybe a couple of months?
  • #41,943
  • Mar 15, 2012 4:47pm Mar 15, 2012 4:47pm
AUD/USD @1.0530

Like I thought the buyers lining up at 1.0400 created a short cover and more stops triggered above 1.0500 where I thought it may contain.
Luckily I was focusing on the other liquidity last night and didnt have a possie.

Today 1.0560 needs to contain or we are heading back towards 1.0650

Todays range 1.0505 -1.0555

Nice weekend
  • #41,944
  • Mar 15, 2012 5:58pm Mar 15, 2012 5:58pm
looks like 1.0550 is resistance, back down we go, or just a fakeout? possible targets any one?
  • #41,945
  • Mar 15, 2012 6:07pm Mar 15, 2012 6:07pm
Quoting Noobicle
looks like 1.0550 is resistance, back down we go, or just a fakeout? possible targets any one?
looks like mr. bandwidth may get the inverted h&s he mentioned 6 hours ago. nice buy below 4800.
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #41,946
  • Mar 15, 2012 6:59pm Mar 15, 2012 6:59pm
Quoting jeeper
looks like mr. bandwidth may get the inverted h&s he mentioned 6 hours ago. nice buy below 4800.
Price will not go that low, infact from here (1.0515) it should go high and take out past high which comes around 1.0560, and stall for few hours, as once price takes out a past high, it should pullback but again it wont be a deep pullback, i am looking at 4 hours chart.

Then it should head up to 1.0630.
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #41,947
  • Mar 15, 2012 7:04pm Mar 15, 2012 7:04pm
Quoting rustyram
Price will not go that low, infact from here (1.0515) it should go high and take out past high which comes around 1.0560, and stall for few hours, as once price takes out a past high, it should pullback but again it wont be a deep pullback, i am looking at 4 hours chart.

Then it should head up to 1.0630.
holding longs from 4300. won't hurt my feelings either way. just looking to add on. always appreciate your input though.
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #41,948
  • Mar 15, 2012 7:13pm Mar 15, 2012 7:13pm
Quoting jeeper
holding longs from 4300. won't hurt my feelings either way. just looking to add on. always appreciate your input though.
I know we both picked this trade right at the bottom.
When and where are you exiting your long trade....
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #41,949
  • Mar 15, 2012 7:17pm Mar 15, 2012 7:17pm
Closed longs: 1.0477 @ 1.0508 & 1.0435 @ 1.0508
Still holding 4 more longs in drawdown.
I see a shooting star at my down trend line at 1.0553.
Looks like we are going back down, maybe break the 1.0400 this time? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon8.gif
  • #41,950
  • Mar 15, 2012 7:24pm Mar 15, 2012 7:24pm
Quoting rustyram
I know we both picked this trade right at the bottom.
When and where are you exiting your long trade....
above 8500. (1.1200 would be nice)ndepends on when and how wave 5 plays out. with the positive swap, i am not too worried about how long it takes. i don't mind holding a carry trade.
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #41,951
  • Mar 15, 2012 7:29pm Mar 15, 2012 7:29pm
Quoting jerrycollie
Closed longs: 1.0477 @ 1.0508 & 1.0435 @ 1.0508
Still holding 4 more longs in drawdown.
I see a shooting star at my down trend line at 1.0553.
Looks like we are going back down, maybe break the 1.0400 this time? http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon8.gif
well i see it too and the next candle is bearish the stochastic is also givin a positive signal down ,, i entered short 1.0526 sl 1.0563 tp 1.0450
Forex isn't an easy game ... it's only for professionals
  • #41,952
  • Mar 15, 2012 7:50pm Mar 15, 2012 7:50pm
Quoting GermnMachine
well i see it too and the next candle is bearish the stochastic is also givin a positive signal down ,, i entered short 1.0526 sl 1.0563 tp 1.0450
Im in the same boat as you GermnMachine
Short from 1.0539 and 1.0526,
SL 1.0566, and TP at 1.0250
Expect the unexpected.
  • #41,953
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:08pm Mar 15, 2012 8:08pm
Fun survey, price approaching 0500 what yall think 0450 next or 0550 ?
i say 0550
  • #41,954
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:21pm Mar 15, 2012 8:21pm
Quoting Zeroh
Fun survey, price approaching 0500 what yall think 0450 next or 0550 ?
i say 0550
0450
Expect the unexpected.
  • #41,955
  • Edited 8:43pm Mar 15, 2012 8:31pm | Edited 8:43pm
Quoting Zeroh
Fun survey, price approaching 0500 what yall think 0450 next or 0550 ?
i say 0550
550 first, and 470 after, then 630, 400-, 1100+, 80 oh yeaaaah

(It's hard to be a god )
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #41,956
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:38pm Mar 15, 2012 8:38pm
Quoting fx-rocket
Im in the same boat as you GermnMachine
Short from 1.0539 and 1.0526,
SL 1.0566, and TP at 1.0250
fx-rocket, jerrycollie & Germnmachine - AUD bears....what wave counts you guys see on which timeframe, that makes you think that AUD is bearish....
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #41,957
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:39pm Mar 15, 2012 8:39pm
Quoting rustyram
fx-rocket, jerrycollie & Germnmachine - AUD bears....what wave counts you guys see on which timeframe, that makes you think that AUD is bearish....
I am AUD bulls i see the 1.0560 top will be taken out very soon , and make a new high....
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #41,958
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:53pm Mar 15, 2012 8:53pm
Quoting rustyram
fx-rocket, jerrycollie & Germnmachine - AUD bears....what wave counts you guys see on which timeframe, that makes you think that AUD is bearish....
I dont' use the waves, I see a doubble top on Daily and my 3h system gave me a sell signal at 1.0539.
Also this channel on 3h
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 3h.jpg Size: 256 KB
Expect the unexpected.
  • #41,959
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:55pm Mar 15, 2012 8:55pm
Quoting fx-rocket
I dont' use the waves, I see a doubble top on Daily and my 3h system gave me a sell signal at 1.0539.
Also this channel on 3h
Yup maybe top here
  • #41,960
  • Mar 15, 2012 8:56pm Mar 15, 2012 8:56pm
As previously stated, it wouldn't hurt my feelings at all if she kept pushing higher. But if the current up move retraced 61.8 percent, it would perfectly match the opposite shoulder. IF this happens, I will be heavily long.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie1.gif Size: 17 KB
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
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