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AUD/USD

  • #41,881
  • Mar 14, 2012 3:31pm Mar 14, 2012 3:31pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Added another long @ 440 as well.

Regards,
  • #41,882
  • Edited 4:12pm Mar 14, 2012 3:41pm | Edited 4:12pm
Quoting e585009
To any of you guys/gals who are good with charting, do you see any potential for the price to start going back up towords 1.0900? If so, how long are you predicting? ..
My weekly chart says it could be quite a while...

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  • #41,883
  • Mar 14, 2012 3:58pm Mar 14, 2012 3:58pm
Quoting uptickk
Late call but long @ 1.0440
Out at 1.0456 wanted to hold longer but have to run.
  • #41,884
  • Edited 5:44pm Mar 14, 2012 4:19pm | Edited 5:44pm
Not so crystal clear...

Ending diagonal?:
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Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #41,885
  • Mar 14, 2012 5:48pm Mar 14, 2012 5:48pm
naked charts-the gift that keeps on giving
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Thank you Malcolm, Belekas, Jim, raczekfx and Ryanmcd !
  • #41,886
  • Mar 14, 2012 5:51pm Mar 14, 2012 5:51pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0450

The ideal traders market.. tests both sides numerous sides before a crack appeared.
The downside wasnt as far as I hoped but its heading that way.

Sovereign buyers have been heard which may have stalled the follow through.

I suspect 1.0400 should be another one for them to stick in their bids.
A bit like 1.0650

1.0500 should cap now.

Range most likely 1.0415 1.0475

Good luck
  • #41,887
  • Mar 14, 2012 5:54pm Mar 14, 2012 5:54pm
Quoting e585009
To any of you guys/gals who are good with charting, do you see any potential for the price to start going back up towords 1.0900? If so, how long are you predicting? ..
No idea right now were in a down move hasn't seen any signs to suggest a bottom yet. Had a long yesterday @ 0500 sat there watched as price started to stall @ 550 covered then reloaded @ 0500 hoping to play the ranges bad idea lol.
Looking at it now @ 0450 on H8 it looks like it had a fair run south, without any real correction if it starts going sideways or make a STRONG correction signal id long more feck it, don't expect a huge rally though... or at least use it to get out of your positions if your stuck.
  • #41,888
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:04pm Mar 14, 2012 6:04pm
Quoting FXMindset
sorry my little friends,if you thinking profit only without focused and understand well first how the market works then you simply wont survive in this business,I'm guess you are still new in this business,below 2 years probably

fak with these wisefx,or whatever forex media etc

2 thing you need to know in order to success
1.Understand the correct mindset
2.Understand how the market works


GL ya
Yea i agree Forex media all garbage its like they work for the Retail forex companies trying to confuse and screw you over lol. I find the more i predict the more i'm wrong, I simply react and i make money, It's kind of like camping the enemy in first person shooters.
  • #41,889
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:20pm Mar 14, 2012 6:20pm
Quoting Zeroh
No idea right now were in a down move hasn't seen any signs to suggest a bottom yet. Had a long yesterday @ 0500 sat there watched as price started to stall @ 550 covered then reloaded @ 0500 hoping to play the ranges bad idea lol.
Looking at it now @ 0450 on H8 it looks like it had a fair run south, without any real correction if it starts going sideways or make a STRONG correction signal id long more feck it, don't expect a huge rally though... or at least use it to get out of your positions if your stuck.
You think "Smart Money" is heavy still on the short side of AUD? OR do you think they will get on the long side in an attempt to catch all of the BEARS of guard, looking for "parity".
100 Pips per day can keep the bosses away.
  • #41,890
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:28pm Mar 14, 2012 6:28pm
I've been bullish on AUD for a while, but my sentiment has changed dramatically over the last few days. USD gaining plenty of strength, nothing going for AU or EU. I'm neutral to bearish at current levels and expect to see more downside. I do believe AU and EU will play catch up in the coming weeks however, but at the moment I can't see any joy for the bulls.
  • #41,891
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:34pm Mar 14, 2012 6:34pm
Quoting diggo
I've been bullish on AUD for a while, but my sentiment has changed dramatically over the last few days. USD gaining plenty of strength, nothing going for AU or EU. I'm neutral to bearish at current levels and expect to see more downside. I do believe AU and EU will play catch up in the coming weeks however, but at the moment I can't see any joy for the bulls.

http://www.forexticket.us/en/forex-charts/c-index

USD is King Ding-a-Ling right now ...
100 Pips per day can keep the bosses away.
  • #41,892
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:35pm Mar 14, 2012 6:35pm
Quoting e585009
You think "Smart Money" is heavy still on the short side of AUD? OR do you think they will get on the long side in an attempt to catch all of the BEARS of guard, looking for "parity".
No idea, but i would think smart money already came aboard much earlier when probably around 0800 somewhere high up there. Now its everyone else going oh crap its shorting mode.
  • #41,893
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:45pm Mar 14, 2012 6:45pm
15 mins to go...

The Consumer Inflation Expectation released by the Melbourne Institute presents the consumer expectations of future inflation during the next 12 months. The higher expectations, the stronger the effect they will have on a probability of a rate hike by the RBA. Therefore, a high reading should be taken as positive, or bullish, for the AUD, while a low expectations are seen as negative or bearish.
  • #41,894
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:49pm Mar 14, 2012 6:49pm
Quoting Daytrader74
15 mins to go...

The Consumer Inflation Expectation released by the Melbourne Institute presents the consumer expectations of future inflation during the next 12 months. The higher expectations, the stronger the effect they will have on a probability of a rate hike by the RBA. Therefore, a high reading should be taken as positive, or bullish, for the AUD, while a low expectations are seen as negative or bearish.

The way things have been going, I would be shocked by any news that makes the pair rise. Great post, thanks for the education.
100 Pips per day can keep the bosses away.
  • #41,895
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:51pm Mar 14, 2012 6:51pm
Quoting e585009
The way things have been going, I would be shocked by any news that makes the pair rise. Great post, thanks for the education.
Your welcome
  • #41,896
  • Mar 14, 2012 6:54pm Mar 14, 2012 6:54pm
I see bears jumping on the long side of the dollar...
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100 Pips per day can keep the bosses away.
  • #41,897
  • Mar 14, 2012 7:40pm Mar 14, 2012 7:40pm
On my daily chart I see horizonal support at 1.0400 (also round number). The 100 and 200 averages are converging on 1.0400. The 38.2 fib from
Dec. 15th is lined up at 1.0400. If price breaks thru 1.0400, then look out below! In the meantime, I think I will take another long at 1.0435.
  • #41,898
  • Mar 14, 2012 7:45pm Mar 14, 2012 7:45pm
If the forex gods forsake me; and let price break down thru 1.0400, I may have to phone my buddy Bernanke and ask for QE3! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/dollar.gif
  • #41,899
  • Mar 14, 2012 7:58pm Mar 14, 2012 7:58pm
dear god, can u please make aud go up please thanks ill be a good boy
  • #41,900
  • Mar 14, 2012 7:59pm Mar 14, 2012 7:59pm
Long @ 1.0430

STOP@ 1.0390

EXIT - Either 1.63 or 1.69

It looks like bullish setup to me...

I will know in few hours if my entry is correct, as i am expecting the price to rally really really fast....

For AUD bulls i am watching these levels...

1- A Minor stop at 1.0630, pullback 80 to 100 pips
2 - A Major stop at 1.0680, Pullback 140 Pips
3 - Push up towards 1.0850 and bulls end here....

This is my vision......

My last long got stopped out....Stop at the wrong place.

Couple of Senior traders stepped in and reminded me of trading is just a mind game....Special thanks to those people.....
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
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