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AUD/USD

  • #41,801
  • Edited 2:50pm Mar 13, 2012 2:32pm | Edited 2:50pm
DISCLAIMER: read my sig!

Crystal Clear: N-O-R-T-H (C could be longer, but at least we should see 620 = 38.2%, IMO)

Also consider 61.8% retracement to 710...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD8.jpg Size: 292 KB
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #41,802
  • Mar 13, 2012 2:50pm Mar 13, 2012 2:50pm
Be careful with a ton of USD news tomorrow morning we could see the bottom of your trend line before we bounce.
  • #41,803
  • Mar 13, 2012 3:09pm Mar 13, 2012 3:09pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0540

Some nice rangey stuff over night as we bounce between 1.0475 -1.0560

General rule of thumb is as these ranges become obvious expect the unexpected.

Technically it can go either way.. (I knew a girl who... errr doesnt matter)

Pick a range and trade it.. Mines 1.0510-1.0570.. Lets see how we go

Have a great day ..
  • #41,804
  • Edited 5:12pm Mar 13, 2012 5:10pm | Edited 5:12pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD @ 1.0540

Some nice rangey stuff over night as we bounce between 1.0475 -1.0560

General rule of thumb is as these ranges become obvious expect the unexpected.

Technically it can go either way.. (I knew a girl who... errr doesnt matter)

Pick a range and trade it.. Mines 1.0510-1.0570.. Lets see how we go

Have a great day ..
Good US news = AUD/USD down
Bad US news = AUD/USD down

100 Pips per day can keep the bosses away.
  • #41,805
  • Mar 13, 2012 5:37pm Mar 13, 2012 5:37pm
Quoting e585009
Good US news = AUD/USD down
Bad US news = AUD/USD down

gold down = au down remember
  • #41,806
  • Mar 13, 2012 5:45pm Mar 13, 2012 5:45pm
My broker has a robot called Pacman. Pacman runs on a high-speed server. Pacman's job is to make sure no one blows up his account. Pacman constantly watches for Stop-Losses to make sure they are executed in a timely manner. On the opening, Pacman checks his book. From the short positions he sees Stop-Losses piling up about 50 pips above the price; and from the longs there are Stop-Losses about 50 pips below the price. Also, on both sides of the price the Take-Profits are piling up about 150 pips away (3:1). There are more shorts than longs today; so Pacman runs the price up 50 pips gobbling up the shorts' Stop-Losses; and protecting them from a rally. Then Pacman sees there are now more Stop-Losses down below from the longs; so Pacman runs the price down about 100 pips and gobbles up most of the longs' Stop-Losses, protecting them from a break down. Closing all of these Stop-Losses has also closed out most of the Take-Profits in both directions; so Pacman is free to move the price in either direction without hitting many Take-Profits. Pacman now has a quick look around the world to see which way the price in trending; and heads in the same direction. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon8.gif
  • #41,807
  • Mar 13, 2012 5:46pm Mar 13, 2012 5:46pm
Quoting e585009;
Good US news = AUD/USD down
Bad US news = AUD/USD down
reaction is more important..
  • #41,808
  • Mar 13, 2012 5:47pm Mar 13, 2012 5:47pm
I took another long at 1.0529. Please forex gods, toss me a bone, too! http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon7.gif
  • #41,809
  • Mar 13, 2012 5:52pm Mar 13, 2012 5:52pm
Quoting jerrycollie;
My broker has a robot called Pacman. Pacman runs on a high-speed server. Pacman's job is to make sure no one blows up his account. Pacman constantly watches for Stop-Losses to make sure they are executed in a timely manner. On the opening, Pacman checks his book. From the short positions he sees Stop-Losses piling up about 50 pips above the price; and from the longs there are Stop-Losses about 50 pips below the price. Also, on both sides of the price the Take-Profits are piling up about 150 pips away (3:1). There are more shorts than longs today; so Pacman runs the price up 50 pips gobbling up the shorts' Stop-Losses; and protecting them from a rally. Then Pacman sees there are now more Stop-Losses down below from the longs; so Pacman runs the price down about 100 pips and gobbles up most of the longs' Stop-Losses, protecting them from a break down. Closing all of these Stop-Losses has also closed out most of the Take-Profits in both directions; so Pacman is free to move the price in either direction without hitting many Take-Profits. Pacman now has a quick look around the world to see which way the price in trending; and heads in the same direction. http://www.forexfactory.com/images/icons/icon8.gif
in my view..the more valid your analysis you should able to use SL
  • #41,810
  • Mar 13, 2012 5:56pm Mar 13, 2012 5:56pm
Quoting mrbandwidth
DISCLAIMER: read my sig!

Crystal Clear: N-O-R-T-H (C could be longer, but at least we should see 620 = 38.2%, IMO)

Also consider 61.8% retracement to 710...
Buddy, Your ABC expectation is spot on, but i think, because it is a retracement of the down move 12345, it has to be slower than the down move, my fib says,
A- 1.0645 , B - ? C - 1.0695.

Right now we are in the process of making a hourly low(Support), so that when A is reached at 1.0645 at the previous high, sellers will come in and push it down there by creating B wave , buyers should come in at support to push it beyond A to reach C.

Just my thought...
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #41,811
  • Mar 13, 2012 6:41pm Mar 13, 2012 6:41pm
Quoting e585009
Good US news = AUD/USD down
Bad US news = AUD/USD down


Yup it has that frustration doesnt it ...


Just remember you arent alone..

There are some guys who love these types of markets.
The more confused the markets are the better they do..
  • #41,812
  • Mar 13, 2012 6:53pm Mar 13, 2012 6:53pm
Quoting lasty;
Yup it has that frustration doesnt it ...


Just remember you arent alone..

There are some guys who love these types of markets.
The more confused the markets are the better they do..
  • #41,813
  • Mar 13, 2012 7:48pm Mar 13, 2012 7:48pm
kill the long
If there was easy money lying around,no one would be forcing it into your
  • #41,814
  • Mar 13, 2012 8:15pm Mar 13, 2012 8:15pm
eur usd making new lows...just woke up from my nap shoulda worked out today blahh
  • #41,815
  • Edited 9:39pm Mar 13, 2012 9:02pm | Edited 9:39pm
i am confused

What else Bull expecting from us ? i have even remove red resistant (was @ 56) line

edit : once again 4h manage to close above November open
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Mohan
  • #41,816
  • Mar 13, 2012 9:32pm Mar 13, 2012 9:32pm
Silently making it's way to the bear line.. not how I had expected it to, but EURAUD already gave me a signal to long in the face
  • #41,817
  • Mar 13, 2012 9:48pm Mar 13, 2012 9:48pm
JayJB,

He's something to keep you on the right track with your plan of 1.0570.

Good luck

Quoting jayjb
I don't see any double top, just a double bottom on the hourly chart at best plus there's bullish divergence on the h4, wouldn't go short until at least 1.0470 is broken and retested. This level also happens to be the fib 38 retracement of the uptrend on h4/daily
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4 hour.gif Size: 45 KB
Veni, Vidi, Vici (We came, we saw, we conquered)
  • #41,818
  • Mar 13, 2012 10:17pm Mar 13, 2012 10:17pm
It's going sideways. Nothing is happening. Time to wait until a direction is shown.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #41,819
  • Mar 13, 2012 10:46pm Mar 13, 2012 10:46pm
I'm pretty long on the AUDJPY. Think it will spill over to the AUDUSD trade.

http://trader-tan.blogspot.com/2012/...tion-here.html
  • #41,820
  • Mar 13, 2012 10:52pm Mar 13, 2012 10:52pm
Quoting Bull_Bear
JayJB,

He's something to keep you on the right track with your plan of 1.0570.

Good luck
Thanks, we have the same bear line.

The double bottom I had was invalidated following PA from the FOMC, now we just need 1.0560/70 to be a douche when we approach the trendline and we can say hello to possibly 1.03 and 1.025
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