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Elliot wave, Harmonic And Ichimoku in CHINESE STYLE

  • #7,001
  • Mar 4, 2012 6:36am Mar 4, 2012 6:36am
Quoting infinitus
Hi Freelancer,


hope all is well with you.


Thanks Markus, hope you are well-doing too.
BTW, why do you let a troll-like posts engage you into a senseless spat of words? I have witnessed several forums lose their integrity and went into oblivion due to such things ... Keep up the good work!
  • #7,002
  • Mar 4, 2012 8:59am Mar 4, 2012 8:59am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: us500_02.03.12.jpg Size: 128 KB
  • #7,003
  • Mar 4, 2012 10:52am Mar 4, 2012 10:52am
Quoting freelancer
Thanks Markus, hope you are well-doing too.
BTW, why do you let a troll-like posts engage you into a senseless spat of words? I have witnessed several forums lose their integrity and went into oblivion due to such things ... Keep up the good work!
Hi Freelancer,

reason was: was in bad mood LOL

Should make more use of the ignore function


Catch you later,

Markus
  • #7,004
  • Mar 4, 2012 2:35pm Mar 4, 2012 2:35pm
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1428.png

My projection for next week
Please do comment
Thank you
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-03-04_1428.png Size: 33 KB
  • #7,005
  • Mar 4, 2012 4:52pm Mar 4, 2012 4:52pm
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1649.png

Is it over for wave (2)?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-03-04_1649.png Size: 39 KB
  • #7,006
  • Mar 4, 2012 5:16pm Mar 4, 2012 5:16pm
Quoting knightpips
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1428.png

My projection for next week
Please do comment
Thank you
how does expanding triangle fit your H4 count?
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,007
  • Mar 4, 2012 5:24pm Mar 4, 2012 5:24pm
Quoting knightpips
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1649.png

Is it over for wave (2)?
I don't think so. unless you expect a terminal impulse, wave (2) must take more time than (1)
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,008
  • Mar 4, 2012 5:48pm Mar 4, 2012 5:48pm
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1745.png


Expanding triangle dose fit my count !
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 2012-03-04_1745.png Size: 50 KB
  • #7,009
  • Mar 4, 2012 5:58pm Mar 4, 2012 5:58pm
Quoting Blythe
I don't think so. unless you expect a terminal impulse, wave (2) must take more time than (1)
I agree with you too about the time! but the speed and the vailant drop is saying something else ....? not sure ?
  • #7,010
  • Mar 4, 2012 8:10pm Mar 4, 2012 8:10pm
Quoting knightpips
I agree with you too about the time! but the speed and the vailant drop is saying something else ....? not sure ?
x-waves are pretty fast in running double threes in 2-waves
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,011
  • Mar 4, 2012 8:13pm Mar 4, 2012 8:13pm
Quoting knightpips
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1745.png


Expanding triangle dose fit my count !
I see a major flaw in your count. wave B is about 2 times shorter in time than lower order b-wave in xA. It doesn't completely invalidate the count but looks very very suspicious. But, indeed, expanding triangle may be observed in D-wave of a contracting triangle with rev. alternation.
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,012
  • Mar 4, 2012 8:50pm Mar 4, 2012 8:50pm
Quoting knightpips
C:UserssamiDocumentsforcasting2012-03-04_1745.png


Expanding triangle dose fit my count !
I'd label the pattern as a running double three (but I follow weekly bullish count)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu-.png Size: 16 KB
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,013
  • Mar 4, 2012 9:28pm Mar 4, 2012 9:28pm
Quoting Blythe
I'd label the pattern as a running double three (but I follow weekly bullish count)
I see,,,, i did have a problem with that B wave ,you are absoluterly right ,that is one way to solve the time issue.

thank you
  • #7,014
  • Edited Mar 6, 2012 12:07am Mar 5, 2012 10:50pm | Edited Mar 6, 2012 12:07am
One final comment. Closed my longs from 1.317, as the scenario has changed a little. Now waiting for euro to bottom at 3145. Current estimate for the top is now 1.383, which is nicely in line with the estimate for the next downmove.

The advanced ratio analysis is a process, containing a lot more than the single fib I showed. Take a look at CMMI for instance, to get an idea what a process model looks like, I've been working with these things more than 30 yrs.

You ask why didn't I show the whole count. What for? Don't you already have a couple of possible counts? More options, more head scratching? That is the problem with ew: you have no means to quantify the alternatives.

R

Quoting infinitus
Blablabla........

Folks, why do you think it is important to appear more serious than you are?

Every noob can come with an Fib expansion tool and reach 3672 as shown in the following picture........ So much to that "the process is not known to you" and "advanced ratio analysis"

Why do you not show the whole count of the wave?
  • #7,015
  • Edited 1:14pm Mar 6, 2012 10:19am | Edited 1:14pm
Quoting Rocroy
One final comment. Closed my longs from 1.317, as the scenario has changed a little. Now waiting for euro to bottom at 3145. Current estimate for the top is now 1.383, which is nicely in line with the estimate for the next downmove.

The advanced ratio analysis is a process, containing a lot more than the single fib I showed. Take a look at CMMI for instance, to get an idea what a process model looks like, I've been working with these things more than 30 yrs.

You ask why didn't I show the whole count. What for? [b]Don't you already...
What has Capability Maturity Model Integration to do with trading?

I have my counts, my strategy and my tactic. So I can trade it.

Painting a few ABC's or whatsoever on a chart does not make a sound EW analysis, doesn't it?

So far you have made pretty much bold statements without showing some convincing stuff for your case. It is like saying: I was yesterday on the surface of the moon. Believe it or not.......
  • #7,016
  • Mar 7, 2012 12:20pm Mar 7, 2012 12:20pm
Quoting Rocroy
One final comment. Closed my longs from 1.317, as the scenario has changed a little. Now waiting for euro to bottom at 3145. Current estimate for the top is now 1.383, which is nicely in line with the estimate for the next downmove.

R
There's more room to the downside.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu-zz.png Size: 16 KB
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,017
  • Mar 7, 2012 1:12pm Mar 7, 2012 1:12pm
EU move highly correlated with Gold. Gold currently (correction) retrace 50% from last DEC low... We haven't see gold at $2000.... Gold will move to $2000 in coming months..... furthermore, we haven't see EU in wave 5.. target for wave 5 is around 13730.....
  • #7,018
  • Mar 7, 2012 2:00pm Mar 7, 2012 2:00pm
Quoting siaheng
EU move highly correlated with Gold. Gold currently (correction) retrace 50% from last DEC low... We haven't see gold at $2000.... Gold will move to $2000 in coming months..... furthermore, we haven't see EU in wave 5.. target for wave 5 is around 13730.....
The decoupling will occur if Greece fails to restructure its debt. Would you be so kind to post your counts for gold and eurusd? thank you!
Lehman Sisters Wouldn't Have Failed
  • #7,019
  • Mar 7, 2012 3:00pm Mar 7, 2012 3:00pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd1d.gif Size: 33 KB
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd30.gif Size: 30 KB
  • #7,020
  • Edited 4:42pm Mar 7, 2012 3:17pm | Edited 4:42pm
This is EU zig zag elliot diagonal waves, 4H chart show strong support at 1.3105 as median pitchfork, it also 78.6% strong Fibonacci support from the high to waves 2.... if the price didn;t break waves 2, we still can form diagonal wave to wave 5,,,, targeting 1.3728 (1.618 extension from wave 4),,,
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 4 h eu.gif Size: 47 KB
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