For short term traders, all trading is a zero sum game!
True, Passerby, there are a lot of hedgers in FX and futures, but the ratio to speculators is small, I believe. In futures it's about 90% specs to hedgers, and I suspect it's similar in FX.
The performance of all profitable simple trading systems degrades over time.
The reason is also simple. Simple trading systems attract more retail traders.
Too many positions are on the same side of the trade, long or short, marketmakers and bank traders, who can easily push...
I honestly think that there is too many people in the forex market for this too matter. I mean I bet even with the great interest this thread has gained in it's short time that there are no more than say 10000 traders using this system right now. Now I doubt it's even that and just think how many other systems there are on ff that are popular. I mean just off the top of my head we have symphonie, thv, "The system 1, 2, and 3", jankone, 5min pb, and then there is the big j16 thread. This doesn't count the classic ta traders that are trading primarily with trendlines, s/r, and fibs without any sort of a system. You have simple trend traders that are using various ma's or s/r or who knows what on any number of tf's. This is just ff and of course you have professional traders who are trading for funds or whatever. I mean the list goes on. I think I saw somewhere that it takes 500 million dollars on one side to move the eurusd just one pip. We are so small. I am sorry but it just doesn't matter. This also doesn't take into account the holy grail searchers that will give up after their first losing trade. Also remember that many of us are actually trading with a market maker so we don't even move the market when we trade. That is unless you start making good money and then he will start placing your orders for real. Anyways the short story is that we have very little impact. Markets do change but not because of us. They just change because nothing in this world stays the same.
