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AUD/USD

  • #40,481
  • Feb 15, 2012 8:33am Feb 15, 2012 8:33am
Quoting hutrader
See that volume with the 15 minute closing on the highs?
All other bars are tests ending again on the high. They buy here.
Thanks market makers pump it higher please.
That could be right....but I see the PA now is testing the previous high of H1, the supply....
  • #40,482
  • Feb 15, 2012 8:35am Feb 15, 2012 8:35am
Quoting kuchai
That could be right....but I see the PA now is testing the previous high of H1, the supply....
There was no demand this morning but demand appeared just an hour ago.
I bet many stops now above today's high will be taken out if not today then tomorrow maybe during asian frenzy buying again...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #40,483
  • Feb 15, 2012 8:43am Feb 15, 2012 8:43am
Quoting hutrader
There was no demand this morning but demand appeared just an hour ago.
I bet many stops now above today's high will be taken out if not today then tomorrow maybe during asian frenzy buying again...
What makes u say there will be buying again in the Asian session tomorrow..
PRICE ACTION is the only real time indicator.
  • #40,484
  • Feb 15, 2012 9:47am Feb 15, 2012 9:47am
Quoting gautam0597
What makes u say there will be buying again in the Asian session tomorrow..
Cause watch the last 15 minutes of this hour. Check the past, the last 15 to 10 minutes always buying frenzy starts from US, then they go with lunch leave the market sideway and Asia picks it up.
  • #40,485
  • Feb 15, 2012 9:48am Feb 15, 2012 9:48am
EUR waves explained.

Currently the price is at 1.3080 @ 10:45 EST

From here the price should go lower to 1.3050 - 1.3030 area, there lies a big support, price should bounce from there.

It should head up to former, wave 4, and also test the downtrend line at 1.3170 - 1.3200 area.

Then form a big wave 4, and fall to wave 5, which is at 1.2990
Complete the down move.

Looks like EUR is waving perfectly, if we catch the extremes end with proper stop loss it is profitable.

My plan is to go long from 1.3050 - 1.3030 area target 1.3150 - 100 Pips
Short at 1.3170 - 1.200 area , target 1.3000 - 170 Pips

Those "C" in the graph, was from old wave count , it is not valid now.

Good luck everybody...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR-60-M-2-15-12.JPG Size: 44 KB
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #40,486
  • Feb 15, 2012 9:51am Feb 15, 2012 9:51am
Ok at netdania open the 8 hour chart.

The volume picked up after the low. in one hour more volume off the lows than throughout whole EU session.
This means hidden buying and shakeouts. And as long as we don't go below 1.0600 I see more upside than downside. We have tried 2 times to break it, market doesn't want to.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD8.jpg Size: 106 KB
  • #40,487
  • Feb 15, 2012 9:51am Feb 15, 2012 9:51am
ive also noticed this.. I'd be very cautious of entering on a bar that looks too good to be true until it has fully closed. I've seen many times where a 4hr bar could look extremely bearish for 3 hours and 45 minutes only to see that entire move whiped out in 15 minutes to close on the highs.

i usually wait for candle close before entry
  • #40,488
  • Feb 15, 2012 9:53am Feb 15, 2012 9:53am
Quoting rustyram
EUR waves explained.

Currently the price is at 1.3080 @ 10:45 EST

From here the price should go lower to 1.3050 - 1.3030 area, there lies a big support, price should bounce from there.

It should head up to former, wave 4, and also test the downtrend line at 1.3170 - 1.3200 area.

Then form a big wave 4, and fall to wave 5, which is at 1.2990
Complete the down move.

Looks like EUR is waving perfectly, if we catch the extremes end with proper stop loss it is profitable.

My plan is to go long from 1.3050 - 1.3030 area target 1.3150...

Sorry guys, i wanted to put this in EUR thread.
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #40,489
  • Feb 15, 2012 10:40am Feb 15, 2012 10:40am
triple rsi divergence on the monthly, looking for 1.10 area to short for 2500 pips or so
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: audmonthlytriprsi.PNG Size: 57 KB
Don't have an ego. Always question yourself and your ability.
  • #40,490
  • Feb 15, 2012 10:44am Feb 15, 2012 10:44am
audusd bull is still damn strong today
  • #40,491
  • Feb 15, 2012 11:22am Feb 15, 2012 11:22am
Quoting RamsesII
triple rsi divergence on the monthly, looking for 1.10 area to short for 2500 pips or so

Why not just short right now?
You know it's going to go down, might not go back up to 110.
  • #40,492
  • Feb 15, 2012 11:23am Feb 15, 2012 11:23am
Quoting qwert8988
audusd bull is still damn strong today
What about tomorrow though.

we can't keep riding this eventually it's going to fall off a cliff.
  • #40,493
  • Feb 15, 2012 11:24am Feb 15, 2012 11:24am
I am watching 1.0710 area , look to enter long at the re-test of the low.

Because the support is at 1.0665, most like long at 1.0690 is a good area.
Target 1.0800

I am also watching EUR it has to go to 1.0350 - 1.0330 area.
If EUR get there, and looks to bounce, i would enter long in AUD at that level.

So far i have not yet decided, what are you guys thinking.
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #40,494
  • Feb 15, 2012 11:27am Feb 15, 2012 11:27am
Quoting JTattheRanch
Why not just short right now?
You know it's going to go down, might not go back up to 110.
maybe hes a guru who knows all and longed when it was 0.93 and now waiting for his TP to hit.
  • #40,495
  • Feb 15, 2012 12:17pm Feb 15, 2012 12:17pm
i think the employment numbers tonight will be crucial to future interest rate changes. considering how most were betting on the rba to lower it last time, i think if the numbers are NOT impressive, economists will start increasing bets on a cut in interest rates which should start driving down the aussie.

by NOT impressive, i mean the numbers won't even have to be significantly negative. ANY negative sign, and the economists will start arguing for a lower rate.

in addition to this possibility, there is the neverending greek drama. and while that show's still airing, things won't be so calm.

of course, if i'm wrong, please feel free to locate this post and start calling me names such as just another bear raining on your parade.
  • #40,496
  • Feb 15, 2012 1:07pm Feb 15, 2012 1:07pm
Quoting rustyram
I am watching 1.0710 area , look to enter long at the re-test of the low.

Because the support is at 1.0665, most like long at 1.0690 is a good area.
Target 1.0800

I am also watching EUR it has to go to 1.0350 - 1.0330 area.
If EUR get there, and looks to bounce, i would enter long in AUD at that level.

So far i have not yet decided, what are you guys thinking.
Going long at 1.0700,
SL 1.0660
TP @ 1.0800

Good luck everybody
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #40,497
  • Feb 15, 2012 1:23pm Feb 15, 2012 1:23pm
Quoting rustyram
Going long at 1.0700,
SL 1.0660
TP @ 1.0800

Good luck everybody
R u sure the bearish move for the day is over?
PRICE ACTION is the only real time indicator.
  • #40,498
  • Feb 15, 2012 1:52pm Feb 15, 2012 1:52pm
Quoting gautam0597
R u sure the bearish move for the day is over?
I think so, looks like EUR is headed up.

So should AUD, my target is 1.0800, it could get to 1.0815 area...
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #40,499
  • Feb 15, 2012 2:08pm Feb 15, 2012 2:08pm
Quoting rustyram
I think so, looks like EUR is headed up.

So should AUD, my target is 1.0800, it could get to 1.0815 area...
wait for news then decide..
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #40,500
  • Feb 15, 2012 2:29pm Feb 15, 2012 2:29pm
Quoting rustyram
I think so, looks like EUR is headed up.

So should AUD, my target is 1.0800, it could get to 1.0815 area...
Jezus F**k euro plumeted more then 200 pips already from last week,Greek deal or no deal wont change anything major as they gonna take more debt for another three months and story gonna repeat.If you want good start start learning supply and demand zones,resistance and support if your into technicals because nothing all those crappy indicators and bull$hit news are to confuse people not to lead.
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