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AUD/USD

  • #40,221
  • Feb 9, 2012 7:07pm Feb 9, 2012 7:07pm
huge surplus in china.... 27.5... and better than expected numbers..
  • #40,222
  • Feb 9, 2012 7:12pm Feb 9, 2012 7:12pm
morning guys back for some trading quite the busy night we had on aud, starting to form a good long position after cny numbers what do you guys think?

edit: eventhough the h&s on h1 could prove me wrong...
Trade what you see not what you hope
  • #40,223
  • Feb 9, 2012 7:36pm Feb 9, 2012 7:36pm
China surplus numbers are distorted by Chinese new year holidays... I wouldn't buy before 1.0700 1.0670 or ideally 1.0650 long term TL support, have been tested first.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,224
  • Feb 9, 2012 7:45pm Feb 9, 2012 7:45pm
i understand stulic thanks, btw anyone caught the aud monetary policy?
Trade what you see not what you hope
  • #40,225
  • Feb 9, 2012 7:50pm Feb 9, 2012 7:50pm
Quoting STIprdr
i understand stulic thanks, btw anyone caught the aud monetary policy?
http://www.rba.gov.au/publications/s...tml/index.html
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,226
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:00pm Feb 9, 2012 8:00pm
Quoting rustyram
Good chart, when EUR made a higher high, AUD did not follow it.
So we are still in retracement mode.

Price could very retrace back to 1.0720 area. That is where support is for the current price.

It is painfull for me, i got stopped out, just by few pips on my first short.

I am short again at 1.0807, but this time SL is at BE.

Anyway i will look to get long at 1.0710 area or long at EUR 1.3200 - 1.3170 area.

Good luck everybody
Closed my shorts...
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #40,227
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:00pm Feb 9, 2012 8:00pm
thanks stulic your the man!
Trade what you see not what you hope
  • #40,228
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:02pm Feb 9, 2012 8:02pm
Quoting fx-rocket
Betting on trendline channel support here will hold:
Long @ 1.0774, SL 1.0740, TP 1.0880

SL moved down to 1.0730...
...Well, that went well

Is this the trend reversal point?
Looks like a nice rounded top on Daily now...
Expect the unexpected.
  • #40,229
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:08pm Feb 9, 2012 8:08pm
Quoting fx-rocket;
...Well, that went well

Is this the trend reversal point?
Looks like a nice rounded top on Daily now...

Expect the unexpected
  • #40,230
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:08pm Feb 9, 2012 8:08pm
Quoting fx-rocket
...Well, that went well

Is this the trend reversal point?
Looks like a nice rounded top on Daily now...
not time to short yet... wait til next week remember you probably don't want to short au because of S&P, aswell as the bad swap.
  • #40,231
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:10pm Feb 9, 2012 8:10pm
interesting time here.. 1H looks like it just cracked its trendline while the 4H is testing the bigger trendline right now. for literally the first time in a month my 4H stochastic reading is actually oversold


Quoting fx-rocket
...Well, that went well

Is this the trend reversal point?
Looks like a nice rounded top on Daily now...
stick to your guns mate.

"be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful"
  • #40,232
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:13pm Feb 9, 2012 8:13pm
There will be plenty of bulls below 1.07, I think only a clear break below 1.06 would confirm a bear takeover.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au100212a.gif Size: 42 KB
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,233
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:22pm Feb 9, 2012 8:22pm
I think if in this wave it break 740 it might continue on the upward trend channel
Trade what you see not what you hope
  • #40,234
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:41pm Feb 9, 2012 8:41pm
day,4h,1h charts
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: day.jpg Size: 191 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 4h.jpg Size: 186 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: 1h.jpg Size: 197 KB
  • #40,235
  • Feb 9, 2012 8:50pm Feb 9, 2012 8:50pm
I am looking for a retest of the 1.0755 level to go short now. Hopefully, old support becomes new resistance. It also broke the internal trendline. So, looking for it to move to the major/outer trendline in the 1.06 area.
  • #40,236
  • Feb 9, 2012 9:02pm Feb 9, 2012 9:02pm
  •  Cosi
  • | Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Little girl on the way! Due April!! | 36 Posts
Quoting Cosi
Closed 820 short @ 750.... Now long at 7374

Bad spot to jump in on this 1... Jumped the gun!!! DAM IT!!! Hope I can work my way out of it.... Should have listened to my charts and kept my 820 short alive
  • #40,237
  • Feb 9, 2012 9:07pm Feb 9, 2012 9:07pm
Quoting Cosi
Bad spot to jump in on this 1... Jumped the gun!!! DAM IT!!! Hope I can work my way out of it.... Should have listened to my charts and kept my 820 short alive
0680 might help you. Wait for it buddy.

I am even considering a buy @ 0680. But something is bothering me, has the trend really reversed???
  • #40,238
  • Feb 9, 2012 9:10pm Feb 9, 2012 9:10pm
Quoting stulic
There will be plenty of bulls below 1.07, I think only a clear break below 1.06 would confirm a bear takeover.
Has the trend really reversed???

I am considering to get long @ 0680. But i ain't sure about it. It has come down really long way after trend line break.
  • #40,239
  • Feb 9, 2012 9:13pm Feb 9, 2012 9:13pm
  •  Cosi
  • | Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Little girl on the way! Due April!! | 36 Posts
Quoting FX Tsunami
0680 might help you. Wait for it buddy.

I am even considering a buy @ 0680. But something is bothering me, has the trend really reversed???
This Pair has ben overbought for over a month. I take a short at 820 and dump it at 750 looking for one more test of 830 or so. The thing that kills me is that I know better than this... My stupid move of the week
  • #40,240
  • Feb 9, 2012 9:18pm Feb 9, 2012 9:18pm
Quoting Cosi
This Pair has ben overbought for over a month. I take a short at 820 and dump it at 750 looking for one more test of 830 or so. The thing that kills me is that I know better than this... My stupid move of the week
I have assumed it is overbought @ every pull back and everytime, it has hit my stoploss.

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