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AUD/USD

  • #40,121
  • Feb 8, 2012 7:07am Feb 8, 2012 7:07am
AUD is too strong.. should be at 0.90 - 0.95!

German:
http://www.godmode-trader.de//nachri...,a2753593.html

English:
http://translate.google.com/translat...3.html&act=url
  • #40,122
  • Feb 8, 2012 7:39am Feb 8, 2012 7:39am
Quoting rnegoro
1.08 level breached, next good resistance to short is 1.10 ish , made some pips on short scalping aud yesterday nite. Trend looks UPWARDS, but wouldnt go for a retracement till it hit 1.095 .
u sure theres no other levels betwen that ?
  • #40,123
  • Edited 9:06am Feb 8, 2012 7:58am | Edited 9:06am
Did hit R 2 times
  • #40,124
  • Feb 8, 2012 8:27am Feb 8, 2012 8:27am
Quoting tomplank
AUD is too strong.. should be at 0.90 - 0.95!

German:
http://www.godmode-trader.de//nachri...,a2753593.html

English:
http://translate.google.com/translat...3.html&act=url
if i had a million in the bank id short it with 5% leverage till its worth 0.60 cents buts its only if
  • #40,125
  • Feb 8, 2012 8:39am Feb 8, 2012 8:39am
Quoting pinkiaiii
if i had a million in the bank id short it with 5% leverage till its worth 0.60 cents buts its only if

hope you are short without a million in the bank
  • #40,126
  • Feb 8, 2012 9:01am Feb 8, 2012 9:01am
Quoting tomplank
Downtrend confirmed! IMO

Did hit R 2 times
Hello and welcome, so in your third post ever, this is what you call a downtrend?

Thanks for coming by.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,127
  • Feb 8, 2012 9:09am Feb 8, 2012 9:09am
Quoting stulic
Hello and welcome, so in your third post ever, this is what you call a downtrend?

Thanks for coming by.
Sorry, but do you realy think AUD is going above 1.10 ??
1.10 sound like a joke.

This level is the top IMO!
  • #40,128
  • Feb 8, 2012 9:14am Feb 8, 2012 9:14am
Quoting tomplank
Sorry, but do you realy think AUD is going above 1.10 ??
1.10 sound like a joke.

This level is the high IMO!
Doesn't matter what I think, I wouldn't be surprised at all seeing 1.12 cracked, it's both technically and fundamentally a more probable outcome then seeing it drop down to 1.04 levels.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,129
  • Feb 8, 2012 9:24am Feb 8, 2012 9:24am
Quoting stulic
Doesn't matter what I think, I wouldn't be surprised at all seeing 1.12 cracked, it's both technically and fundamentally a more probable outcome then seeing it drop down to 1.04 levels.
yes could be. but RBA is going to cut the key rate in march, and their economy isn't as good as they thought.
and the USA is going to raise the key rate in the coming 6 months.
  • #40,130
  • Feb 8, 2012 9:36am Feb 8, 2012 9:36am
Quoting tomplank
Sorry, but do you realy think AUD is going above 1.10 ??
1.10 sound like a joke.

This level is the top IMO!
In 2007, people said the GBP would never rise above 1.96. It topped at 2.10.
In 2007, people said the CAD would never break parity.
That year, the EURO broke 1.453 for the first time. It topped at 1.60.
And the Yen could never drop below 90

Just sayin......
  • #40,131
  • Edited 9:54am Feb 8, 2012 9:39am | Edited 9:54am
Quoting stulic
Doesn't matter what I think, I wouldn't be surprised at all seeing 1.12 cracked, it's both technically and fundamentally a more probable outcome then seeing it drop down to 1.04 levels.
While I certainly agree fundamentally a push up to 1.10, I don't see it technically. It definitely is overbought in the 6H and D timeframe. From my charts, the 6H seems to have the most harmonic movements. I think a short here and there won't hurt, but yes, beware...the market sure isn't going to wait for us peons to move up.

Town: 1.10

Population: Hopefully me

Edit: With that said, who knows how much of a boost it'll get if these Greek talks ever comes to be resolved? I know it's priced in, but I'm sure most of us are willing to bet there'll be some form a surge. Is it wrong for me to hope that the plan is god-awful so that there'll be a huge short?
  • #40,132
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:02am Feb 8, 2012 10:02am
First time I ever see anybody using a 6H TF to make a point. Are we gonna start looking at 3h26m48s time frames to finally find a harmonic pattern that suits our bias?
Then again you might be onto something...
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,133
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:05am Feb 8, 2012 10:05am
Quoting stulic
Doesn't matter what I think, I wouldn't be surprised at all seeing 1.12 cracked, it's both technically and fundamentally a more probable outcome then seeing it drop down to 1.04 levels.
Although there might be a go above 1.10 but you seem very confident that it will happen in your posts.Smart thing to say it might retrace at some point then if all the factors still there it will try to top it,but nothing rises or falls in one go,especially the currency which was worth almost half of its value at some time,so besides country rich in minerals,its gonna be dessert once china s bubble bursts.
  • #40,134
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:09am Feb 8, 2012 10:09am
Quoting pinkiaiii
Although there might be a go above 1.10 but you seem very confident that it will happen in your posts.Smart thing to say it might retrace at some point then if all the factors still there it will try to top it,but nothing rises or falls in one go,especially the currency which was worth almost half of its value at some time,so besides country rich in minerals,its gonna be dessert once china s bubble bursts.
Yep, but that's like long term on steroids, if you're waiting for China bubble to burst I'm pretty sure it wont happen in your lifetime.

I'm not confident about anything in Forex, just trying to make a point that talking about overbought, overvalued, to high, levels that are a joke etc, is not going to make anybody make any money in this market.
Don't get mad, get even!
  • #40,135
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:24am Feb 8, 2012 10:24am
Quoting stulic
Yep, but that's like long term on steroids, if you're waiting for China bubble to burst I'm pretty sure it wont happen in your lifetime.

I'm not confident about anything in Forex, just trying to make a point that talking about overbought, overvalued, to high, levels that are a joke etc, is not going to make anybody make any money in this market.
well as most people there used to live and work for like 0.20$ an hour then they wouldnt know whats a recession anyway,oh and communism is a bit different form of ruling aswell but anyway no point in fight,everyones here for the money
  • #40,136
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:24am Feb 8, 2012 10:24am
i hope this pair going crash and fall like stone
  • #40,137
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:24am Feb 8, 2012 10:24am
well i wasn't daring enough to catch this bear train, hopefully it is just a small retrace as i want to place longs before 22:00 london time
  • #40,138
  • Feb 8, 2012 10:29am Feb 8, 2012 10:29am
Quoting stulic
First time I ever see anybody using a 6H TF to make a point. Are we gonna start looking at 3h26m48s time frames to finally find a harmonic pattern that suits our bias?
Then again you might be onto something...

as long as it keeps working, sure....and when it stops, i'll move on to something else
  • #40,139
  • Feb 8, 2012 11:00am Feb 8, 2012 11:00am
Quoting seanpark
is there any new with aud?
dow jones are falling, bringing aud with it.
why is the dj falling? greece ?
  • #40,140
  • Feb 8, 2012 11:03am Feb 8, 2012 11:03am
Quoting Fogtrader
dow jones are falling, bringing aud with it.
why is the dj falling? greece ?
No clear solution expected today: "The European Central Bank will make its final decision to take part in a deal reducing Greece's debt burden after other key elements of the deal fall into place, perhaps not before the weekend", said Dow Jones newswires, citing people familiar with the situation.
Don't get mad, get even!
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