The Really Useless Thread

Quoting PayTheLimit

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indeed, the coin doesn't remember what it did on the last toss..dumb coin..

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Quoting Mr Hatch

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post a screenshot, please.

are candles replaced by red and green bottles?

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Quoting wannaberich

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i know that it tends to 50% but as u have consecutive heads conditional probabilites says the odds that the next toss will be tails are greater. that's in fact why in the long run it tends to 50% anyway.

each separate toss as the same probability, that's true. consecutive tosses have diferent probabilities taking into account past events... me finks. but i am dumb. geeez seems like i have to read the book

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Quoting PayTheLimit

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talk to darimik, the kid knows his statisitcs...

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Quoting wannaberich

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i know that it tends to 50% but as u have consecutive heads conditional probabilites says the odds that the next toss will be tails are greater. that's in fact why in the long run it tends to 50% anyway.

each separate toss as the same probability, that's true. consecutive tosses have diferent probabilities taking into account past events... me finks. but i am dumb. geeez seems like i have to read the book

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Quoting fxjawn

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news in 4....pretty sure this will get reversed

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Quoting darimik

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no they do not... past events do not matter. if they did, you could get an edge in roulette, etc. each outcome is very independent of the previous ones.

I just remembered an example:

Imagine there are three doors, with one of them having a million dollars. now the probability of opening the door and seeing a million dollars is 1/3.

lets say you pick a door. However, one of the other two doors is revealed as being empty.. now you have two doors remaining. What do you do ? do you switch your choice from the original one?

then answer is...

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Quoting PayTheLimit

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testing the bin now, 3106 is the mid from this morning up bar...is my data right, or am I missing some?

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Quoting fxjawn

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did u get short

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Quoting fxjawn

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did u get short?

i know everyone hates my trading but i do give some sound reco's

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Quoting darimik

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no they do not... past events do not matter. if they did, you could get an edge in roulette, etc. each outcome is very independent of the previous ones.

I just remembered an example:

Imagine there are three doors, with one of them having a million dollars. now the probability of opening the door and seeing a million dollars is 1/3.

lets say you pick a door. However, one of the other two doors is revealed as being empty.. now you have two doors remaining. What do you do ? do you switch your choice from the original one?

then answer...

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Quoting kill56

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same shitt but its still friday dow and PTL es

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Quoting wannaberich

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would like to look at this business as a probability thing and maybe u can give some useful info, if that's ok with u.

my greedometer is really at the top here. leaving my short sl at be and going out for lunch.

let's see what i will get for desert...

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Quoting fxjawn

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so who exactly to you want to fuck you?

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Quoting wannaberich

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LOL

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