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AUD/USD

  • #39,501
  • Jan 25, 2012 10:26pm Jan 25, 2012 10:26pm
In terms of entry there's one current problem,
if there is no real retracement,
and that IF and a big one before London

Then,
now would be testing the potential flag top.

I'd say wait for a break up draw a tl for a flag for signal
or wait for it to hit the aforementioned areas

such as

0550 thru + 40 to 0590
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #39,502
  • Edited 10:44pm Jan 25, 2012 10:43pm | Edited 10:44pm
Sorry, last post, but I have been trading this pair all week and I cannot stop thinking about this setup for some reason.

In all honesty, I don't even think the entry is that important.

I expect a Typical after NY move London headfake down, to shake some out
then a move continued up.

If you are shooting for 100+ pip trades, it's not that big of a deal.

BUT we'll see how she pans out.

Volume is light and the price is staying put. AND while writing

It looks like they're going for a break (AUD and KIWi) so .... could be now...

also the bar on 10.27.11 was a 370 pip appx daily bar. Just something to think about.
XAU-XAG/USD_Gold n Silver Trader's Thread = Technicals, Fundamentals & News
  • #39,503
  • Jan 26, 2012 12:08am Jan 26, 2012 12:08am
Quoting stulic
I hope WW means World War because that's the only thing that can bring this pair down to 0.9500.

We might instead be testing new highs very soon, 1.1200 and higher...
Maybe, but i have even 1.1800, if i calculate from 1.10792 to 0.93864. This is the maximum Aussie could go. My weakness is timing. I tried many and many times to learn how to master it, but with no success. Otherwise, i could have better results than that.
Little luck is forex water. Learn all Trading strategies, then forget them.
  • #39,504
  • Jan 26, 2012 12:31am Jan 26, 2012 12:31am
Quoting sidhujag
You don't want to hold when AUD cuts rates... maybe a few weeks after
i'm affraid even with rate being cut, the exchange rates is not lowering to my comfort level (below parity)
  • #39,505
  • Jan 26, 2012 12:31am Jan 26, 2012 12:31am
Quoting XTrade
Are you anticipating a 300 pip drop to take this trade?
unlikely right now in my eyes.
Quote:
Originally Posted by fr_fxtrader http://www.forexfactory.com/images/buttons/viewpost.gif
Buy at 1.3082
Take profit* at 1.3128
Stop loss at 1.3048


That looks like EUR/USD market to me .
  • #39,506
  • Jan 26, 2012 12:48am Jan 26, 2012 12:48am
sell aud.usd
  • #39,507
  • Jan 26, 2012 1:03am Jan 26, 2012 1:03am
sell sell sell
  • #39,508
  • Jan 26, 2012 1:04am Jan 26, 2012 1:04am
div H4?
Quoting AlbertR
sell sell sell
" you can't consume more than you produce "
  • #39,509
  • Jan 26, 2012 1:06am Jan 26, 2012 1:06am
Quoting happytrader
hi, where do you think the price will retrace to?

i can't tell where the strong support line is...
1.0570 looks to be a area of interest, however if you trade in low frames i would look to 1.0600 it really depends on your plan. I notice you constantly asking about s/r so i'll try to give you an tip. Add 62ema to the 5M aus/usd chart and see how price behaves around it.

I would highly recommend you read the following thread regards the same topic (s/r)

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...86429&page=953

Good luck

S.
  • #39,510
  • Jan 26, 2012 1:17am Jan 26, 2012 1:17am
Quoting AlbertR
sell sell sell
Nice analysis.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #39,511
  • Jan 26, 2012 1:24am Jan 26, 2012 1:24am
divergence is why
  • #39,512
  • Jan 26, 2012 1:49am Jan 26, 2012 1:49am
Co-related. A bit off topic. Seems the Aussie is the flavour at the moment. Dragging the Kiwi with it. I've been in and out of e/a the last few days. Latest is at BE. I could get tapped out at L.O but I'll let it play out. It's hitting a trendline on 4 hour.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: ea 26012012 8.45pm.gif Size: 38 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: ea 26012012 4 hr.gif Size: 16 KB
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #39,513
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:02am Jan 26, 2012 2:02am
I shorted 1.03ish , Now I am down 300+ pips , SL is at 1.09
I am actually still thinking of averaging downwards. I can lose 1300++(net of swaps) more pips before my account is called.

Any ideas or inspirations ?
  • #39,514
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:10am Jan 26, 2012 2:10am
Quoting MackS10
1.0570 looks to be a area of interest, however if you trade in low frames i would look to 1.0600 it really depends on your plan. I notice you constantly asking about s/r so i'll try to give you an tip. Add 62ema to the 5M aus/usd chart and see how price behaves around it.


S.
62 EMA ??? another RB Fan ?
  • #39,515
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:13am Jan 26, 2012 2:13am
Quoting rnegoro
I shorted 1.03ish , Now I am down 300+ pips , SL is at 1.09
I am actually still thinking of averaging downwards. I can lose 1300++(net of swaps) more pips before my account is called.

Any ideas or inspirations ?
you're paying loads of interests on your aud right? well i guess if you're trading mirco lots, it's fine. but right now, the daily chart shows an uptrend. it'll be a while before aud falls.
  • #39,516
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:17am Jan 26, 2012 2:17am
Quoting rnegoro
I shorted 1.03ish , Now I am down 300+ pips , SL is at 1.09
I am actually still thinking of averaging downwards. I can lose 1300++(net of swaps) more pips before my account is called.

Any ideas or inspirations ?
these days shorting aud isn't a good idea anymore because of EURAUD

higher tfs are all pointing to uptrend though we might meet some bearish movements around 1.07, still it has to break the bull line
  • #39,517
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:20am Jan 26, 2012 2:20am
Quoting rnegoro
I shorted 1.03ish , Now I am down 300+ pips , SL is at 1.09
I am actually still thinking of averaging downwards. I can lose 1300++(net of swaps) more pips before my account is called.

Any ideas or inspirations ?
Cut it dead. Walk away. Think about it and come back.
You can't play the game without a stake. look after it.
FF journal: Peaks and Troffs
  • #39,518
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:23am Jan 26, 2012 2:23am
  •  Cosi
  • | Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Little girl on the way! Due April!! | 36 Posts
While I do believe this pair is favored to continue up I’m not sure how much more it can go up without a decent pullback. Technically it’s flirting with some sort of retraction at this level (as per my graphs). I went short at 1.0640; it’s 3:23 AM here in NY and I need to take a nap. Hope the fundamentals give the technicals a chance to do their thing. Good luck to all…
  • #39,519
  • Jan 26, 2012 2:31am Jan 26, 2012 2:31am
pending a long at 1.0640

5min trendline
  • #39,520
  • Jan 26, 2012 3:23am Jan 26, 2012 3:23am
Your weakness is your ridiculous belief in some random strategy and your inexperience in the Forex market. There are no full-proof calculations, timings, trendlines, channels, EA's and other random shit.
You will lose a lot of money if you keep thinking you can calculate and predict the next move of an exchange rate, don't be a fool and slow down with your trades.
Don't get mad, get even!
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