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AUD/USD

  • #38,901
  • Jan 15, 2012 4:13pm Jan 15, 2012 4:13pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0290

Europe downgrades panicked the longs but the smart money was there soaking up cheapies.
Those playing the range are making money hands over and well done.
Still i think the topside is vulnerable despite whats happening in backpackersville.

Range is 1.0235-1.0375 on the wide

EUR/AUD @1.2290

This little baby is going down quicker than an Italian cruise ship captain.
Ideally what im looking for is a total capitulation before we take a bite on the long side. Dont worry it will come. Even the tech wizards are getting their arses handed to them on a plate pre-empting the base.

GBP/AUD 1.4850

Still holding paitently for the 1.4700 to break.
Dont chase it. Let it come to pappa.

US Holiday and Asia's mondayitis maybe another excuse for a zero day.
Lets see how they take a croissant being downgraded first eh ?

Have a fun day..
  • #38,902
  • Jan 15, 2012 5:06pm Jan 15, 2012 5:06pm
Shorted @ 1.0291, TP 1.0191, sl 1.0321
Expect the unexpected.
  • #38,903
  • Jan 15, 2012 5:24pm Jan 15, 2012 5:24pm
Quoting fx-rocket
Shorted @ 1.0291, TP 1.0191, sl 1.0321
i went long @ 1.0282 SL 1.0248 and TP 1.0720

might be dumb thing to do ,..weŽll see im ready to change my positsion to short if news come out bad
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #38,904
  • Jan 15, 2012 5:59pm Jan 15, 2012 5:59pm
I prefer short, but not just yet.

China's RRR cut will spell bearish outlook on China and spells bearish outlook on Australia commodities as well.
  • #38,905
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:16pm Jan 15, 2012 6:16pm
altough USD is good at the moment, i just feel AUD hasnt been bad for a long time now, so i guess the news will be good and it will bull, and if its not good, it will retrace maybe 10 to 20 pips, before it bears..that my opinion...
  • #38,906
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:18pm Jan 15, 2012 6:18pm
limit long @ 0245/50
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,907
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:21pm Jan 15, 2012 6:21pm
news in 10 mins, i am expecting bad Home Loans & ANZ Job Advertisements should be low as well (December was holiday month). sideline @ this stage

edit : i was wrong on Home Loans
Mohan
  • #38,908
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:30pm Jan 15, 2012 6:30pm
Quoting mohan76
news in 10 mins, i am expecting bad Home Loans & ANZ Job Advertisements should be low as well (December was holiday month). sideline @ this stage

does that means u expect a downright bear movement right??????????????
  • #38,909
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:31pm Jan 15, 2012 6:31pm
Quoting shegzycool4u
does that means u expect a downright bear movement right??????????????
we got positive news
Early to bed, early to rise, keeps you healthy, wealthy and wise.
  • #38,910
  • Edited 6:52pm Jan 15, 2012 6:32pm | Edited 6:52pm
Quoting shegzycool4u
does that means u expect a downright bear movement right??????????????
i have seen some selling pressure , usually i don't short this pair (i have 90+% failure on short ), i will wait for dip down to buy


edit : 10d ema arround 273 and 21d ema around 1.0230
Mohan
  • #38,911
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:47pm Jan 15, 2012 6:47pm
Quoting eqshack
we got positive news
i ve seen the positiv news but i entered quite early b4 the news... i still cant say how long it will rise, considering that the trends is on bears...how long do u for see. i wanna place my tp @ 1.03165 does it seem safe.... i need to sleep. its 1:47 am here
  • #38,912
  • Jan 15, 2012 6:52pm Jan 15, 2012 6:52pm
Quoting shegzycool4u
i ve seen the positiv news but i entered quite early b4 the news... i still cant say how long it will rise, considering that the trends is on bears...how long do u for see. i wanna place my tp @ 1.03165 does it seem safe.... i need to sleep. its 1:47 am here
AUD will drop today so why dont you short with a trailing stop of 20...
Expect the unexpected.
  • #38,913
  • Edited 7:08pm Jan 15, 2012 6:56pm | Edited 7:08pm
Quoting redteamgo
limit long @ 0245/50
limit long on a/y @ 78.45

limit short on e/a @ 2348
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,914
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:04pm Jan 15, 2012 7:04pm
This is giving me a good opportunity to short GBPAUD. Building up positions targeting 1.48 (First Target) and 1.47 (Second Target).

Have a buy limit at 1.0150 for AUDUSD. We'll see what happens.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #38,915
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:06pm Jan 15, 2012 7:06pm
Quoting fx-rocket
AUD will drop today so why dont you short with a trailing stop of 20...
im trading aud/usd...and usd has bank holidays so no new on it..why is aud gonna fall against...i need to know, so i can get out of my long position.. already lost 25 pips, but i think its just a retracement...please check the aud/usd chart and post reply....im realy feeling sleepy...thanks
  • #38,916
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:11pm Jan 15, 2012 7:11pm
Quoting shegzycool4u
im trading aud/usd...and usd has bank holidays so no new on it..why is aud gonna fall against...i need to know, so i can get out of my long position.. already lost 25 pips, but i think its just a retracement...please check the aud/usd chart and post reply....im realy feeling sleepy...thanks
price is in an ascending channel capped by the 0380 supply zone. for now it is supported by the trend line just under current price. i feel very confident it will hold but that is still 15-25 ticks away for you.

eventually its going to break hard one way or the other. i kind of have a feeling it is going to break in favor of the USD when the next really bad piece of news comes out of europe.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,917
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:14pm Jan 15, 2012 7:14pm
about triangle breakout, i will wait for france bond auction result ^^
  • #38,918
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:16pm Jan 15, 2012 7:16pm
If advertisements is a form of "indicator", then the decreasing Jobs Ads suggest decreasing jobs in Australia:

http://www.forexfactory.com/news.php?do=news&id=336826

This week, we will have Australia Jobs Data; It is a major fundamental so much so, it will move AUD direction for the rest of the week - unfortunately, this data is released Thursday (AU Time) so, "rest of the week" will be less than 48 hours... It could be a short "rest of the week".
  • #38,919
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:17pm Jan 15, 2012 7:17pm
Quoting redbox
about triangle breakout, i will wait for france bond auction result ^^
yeah.. that is the real event tomorrow. what will french sovereign debt do post downgrade...
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,920
  • Jan 15, 2012 7:17pm Jan 15, 2012 7:17pm
Quoting shegzycool4u
im trading aud/usd...and usd has bank holidays so no new on it..why is aud gonna fall against...i need to know, so i can get out of my long position.. already lost 25 pips, but i think its just a retracement...please check the aud/usd chart and post reply....im realy feeling sleepy...thanks

  1. Price is having problems breaking through major resistance 1.0380
  2. Lower highs are evident on the 1h chart
  3. Stochastics are over-bought on Daily timeframe

... But sleep is more important, dont' trade if you ar sleepy

Expect the unexpected.
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