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AUD/USD

  • #38,861
  • Jan 13, 2012 3:46am Jan 13, 2012 3:46am
^ That's me since last week
  • #38,862
  • Jan 13, 2012 3:47am Jan 13, 2012 3:47am
had enough shit of this aussie.
  • #38,863
  • Jan 13, 2012 3:51am Jan 13, 2012 3:51am
Quoting RBlackburn
^ That's me since last week
Ouch, must be hurting from the interest loss daily

But good news for you, my charts are telling me a drop is coming soon. Sell limit at 1.0330
  • #38,864
  • Jan 13, 2012 3:54am Jan 13, 2012 3:54am
Yeah it sucks but happens. Hope your right, Good luck.
  • #38,865
  • Jan 13, 2012 4:26am Jan 13, 2012 4:26am
Quoting jayjb
Ouch, must be hurting from the interest loss daily

But good news for you, my charts are telling me a drop is coming soon. Sell limit at 1.0330

U mean sell stop? Price is at 1.0345 now. I'm waiting for it to retest yesterday's high of 1.0376.
  • #38,866
  • Jan 13, 2012 4:27am Jan 13, 2012 4:27am
whoa what just caused that 32 pip spike south?
  • #38,867
  • Jan 13, 2012 4:50am Jan 13, 2012 4:50am
Quoting pipraiser
U mean sell stop? Price is at 1.0345 now. I'm waiting for it to retest yesterday's high of 1.0376.
It's sell limit on oanda

I'm waiting for it to hit 1.0330 right where the daily pivot and m30 double top neckline is. But obviously judging from the PA, someone wants AU to stay up
  • #38,868
  • Jan 13, 2012 5:12am Jan 13, 2012 5:12am
Quoting jayjb
Lots of retail shorts trapped below 1.03
you are right,
oanda order book tells a lot short position below 1.03 and a lot of pending buy
same goes to EURUSD, a lot short below 1.28...

this not means future direction, this only tell retail trader always hold wrong position and close right position (sadly) tee hee
  • #38,869
  • Jan 13, 2012 5:36am Jan 13, 2012 5:36am
im thinkn test of 1.03
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: auus.gif Size: 23 KB
  • #38,870
  • Jan 13, 2012 5:54am Jan 13, 2012 5:54am
Quoting ibotman
whoa what just caused that 32 pip spike south?
From my info gathered, the Italian Bond sales was not as successful as they wanted it.

Though the rate dropped significantly, it however was not as dramatic as what happened to Spain's bond sale yesterday (halved). We only got a few percentage off - not halved.
ie, It was good, but was not good enough.

Oh man; they are getting so picky.
  • #38,871
  • Jan 13, 2012 5:59am Jan 13, 2012 5:59am
Quoting jayjb
It's sell limit on oanda

I'm waiting for it to hit 1.0330 right where the daily pivot and m30 double top neckline is. But obviously judging from the PA, someone wants AU to stay up
AUDUSD will stay up, so those trapped will give up, and then this will drop.

It happened to me last November when I had a big short around 1.0325. I gave up a week later @ 1.0420 before it dropped 200 pips in an hour and drop another 700 pips in the next week.

At FXCM they got alot of traders short AUDUSD too:
Quote
AUDUSD - The ratio of long to short positions in the AUDUSD stands at -1.80 as nearly 64% of traders are short. Yesterday, the ratio was at -1.65 as 62% of open positions were short. In detail, long positions are 11.4% lower than yesterday and 25.5% weaker since last week. Short positions are 3.7% lower than yesterday and 15.7% weaker since last week. Open interest is 6.6% weaker than yesterday and 11.5% below its monthly average. The SSI is a contrarian indicator and signals more AUDUSD gains.
  • #38,872
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:04am Jan 13, 2012 8:04am
Rumor of France downgrade in the air again
  • #38,873
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:06am Jan 13, 2012 8:06am
Quoting jayjb
Ouch, must be hurting from the interest loss daily

But good news for you, my charts are telling me a drop is coming soon. Sell limit at 1.0330
TP at fib 62
  • #38,874
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:21am Jan 13, 2012 8:21am
Quoting jayjb
TP at fib 62
Which is what price?
  • #38,875
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:23am Jan 13, 2012 8:23am
Quoting ragnakore
Rumor of France downgrade in the air again
Ohhhh, who could be the source, I ask myself...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #38,876
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:33am Jan 13, 2012 8:33am
Rtrs - senior euro zone source says s&p set to downgrade several euro zone countries later on friday, germany is not one of them...
  • #38,877
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:43am Jan 13, 2012 8:43am
BTW, see you at 190...

There, another "magical rumor", this time positive, will appear from thin air to propel us into ~1.0500...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #38,878
  • Jan 13, 2012 8:47am Jan 13, 2012 8:47am
Quoting ibotman
Which is what price?
1.0235
  • #38,879
  • Jan 13, 2012 9:26am Jan 13, 2012 9:26am
Quoting jayjb
1.0235
Good call on the 1.0330 sell limit jayjb! Wish I had gone with your analysis! I'm still holding on to my long that has totally gone against me.
  • #38,880
  • Jan 13, 2012 9:28am Jan 13, 2012 9:28am
I was at EURUSD. Didnt trade AUDUSD...

Either way, we both made $$$ shorting either pair.
Cheers.

PS. I was long EURUSD and lost, then went heavy short EURUSD after getting wind of downgrade rumor to make up for lost $$$. CLosed the moment I heard that it was announced France is downgraded. EU went up. So did AU. Buy the Rumor Sell the News.
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