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  • #38,501
  • Jan 8, 2012 12:51am Jan 8, 2012 12:51am
Quoting rozario173
I mean 1.0100, not 1.0200.
watching pa tells me that korea nuclear event was a hoax for big boys to offload before nfp and nfp didnt sell but i think there was dollar buying aud so all in all euraud may rise meaning if you think ur safe with aud think again my conservative annual target is 0.8700 plus retailers finally got it thru there thick head to get long aud but like always too late. Aud bull probably dead. Stupid me i had a short at 1.0384 but at frankfurt spike right on. the pip that retraced i covered thinking nfp would jump up but it didnt. So if ur thinking long u may leverage this information and think again
  • #38,502
  • Jan 8, 2012 5:27am Jan 8, 2012 5:27am
As a follow up to “AUD/USD–Not Confidence to Trade the Signal”, AUD/USD is unable to break the resistance zone shown in the following figure. I am glad that I didn’t take a low probability long signal, and it turned up to be what I expected.

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=837&h=380
  • #38,503
  • Jan 8, 2012 7:13am Jan 8, 2012 7:13am
Quoting rozario173
Yes, bayfisherman, AUD is forecasted to drop to 1.0200, plus or minus a few pips and then go back up, so that pretty much agrees with your channel
pic. Here is screenshot of forecast:
What's the story on the forecast...can I get that chart...it's looks like our bars are already printed for us. Is that your design or have you pulled that from the market makers themselves? Just kidding, I guess the idea is that daily support trendline is going to hold on the pullback...? If it
doesn't a lot of people are going to get caught offsides on the break and
it should accelerate down...who knows right? Definitley going to be an interesting week.
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  • #38,504
  • Jan 8, 2012 8:50am Jan 8, 2012 8:50am
Quoting bayfisherman
What's the story on the forecast...can I get that chart...it's looks like our bars are already printed for us. Is that your design or have you pulled that from the market makers themselves? Just kidding, I guess the idea is that daily support trendline is going to hold on the pullback...? If it
doesn't a lot of people are going to get caught offsides on the break and
it should accelerate down...who knows right? Definitley going to be an interesting week.
bayfisherman,

I'm using a software called Delta Graphics Director and also supply and demand.
  • #38,505
  • Jan 8, 2012 9:18am Jan 8, 2012 9:18am
This lady still remain risky so far but still expecting 1.0185 breaks & hold to test 1.0040 before 1.0491 remain as good option before the same . will take utmost care for it as only short is my views for other ladies & here too . if start the fall , should be the highest here .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #38,506
  • Jan 8, 2012 2:52pm Jan 8, 2012 2:52pm
Nice charts sir and agree 1.02 is major line to break. I be play in the 4hr LTL and expect consumption of supply in the 1.03/1.02 range as history dictates, with not seeing any real market moves in new until mid week.
Usdx must brake mid term top to brake the 1.02...

Good luck to all, trade safe!

Quoting fontu
This lady still remain risky so far but still expecting 1.0185 breaks & hold to test 1.0040 before 1.0491 remain as good option before the same . will take utmost care for it as only short is my views for other ladies & here too . if start the fall , should be the highest here .
fontu
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #38,507
  • Jan 8, 2012 4:41pm Jan 8, 2012 4:41pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0208

Sydney so far has been relatively quiet with very little in the way of order chasing.
All eyes will be on Europe to see what new tricks the clowns have over there.

Today 1.0165 - 1.0275 is my pick albeit wide (but real)

EUR/AUD @ 1.2443

Keep earning those points..
This trend hasnt finished yet.. Europe hasnt capitulated !!

Have fun day
  • #38,508
  • Jan 8, 2012 4:59pm Jan 8, 2012 4:59pm
I;ll be watching AUD Retail Sales. If its a dissapoint, AUD will drop for the whole week. If its good, I'd still sell it above 1.0260 preferably @ 1.0300 with stop @ 1.0380s

Now, AUD is following some form of fundamentals following china jitters. Money managers are playing the bearish China dance. Hell its about time.
  • #38,509
  • Jan 8, 2012 5:51pm Jan 8, 2012 5:51pm
short 1.0195, s/l 1.0245, tgt. 1.0050
  • #38,510
  • Jan 8, 2012 6:21pm Jan 8, 2012 6:21pm
Quoting ragnakore
I;ll be watching AUD Retail Sales. If its a dissapoint, AUD will drop for the whole week. If its good, I'd still sell it above 1.0260 preferably @ 1.0300 with stop @ 1.0380s

Now, AUD is following some form of fundamentals following china jitters. Money managers are playing the bearish China dance. Hell its about time.
again i dont think past retail sales has a bearing on this. mostly affected by china, eurozone and US dow jones s&p 500 index levels as well as rates.
  • #38,511
  • Jan 8, 2012 6:31pm Jan 8, 2012 6:31pm
seems like it dropped 20 pip on the news.. hmm..
  • #38,512
  • Jan 8, 2012 6:36pm Jan 8, 2012 6:36pm
Quoting Riskit
short 1.0195, s/l 1.0245, tgt. 1.0050
Moving s/l to entry
  • #38,513
  • Jan 8, 2012 6:37pm Jan 8, 2012 6:37pm
Just love to see aussie back to 0.92 for a nice long position..
  • #38,514
  • Jan 8, 2012 6:41pm Jan 8, 2012 6:41pm
Quoting andri66
Just love to see aussie back to 0.92 for a nice long position..
What a useless post - AUD-USD is 900+ pips from there, what do you do in the meantime?

What analysis is this based on? None that you can show on a chart I'm sure!

It takes a lot for me to IGNORE you, but you can try.
  • #38,515
  • Jan 8, 2012 6:50pm Jan 8, 2012 6:50pm
time to long
  • #38,516
  • Jan 8, 2012 7:03pm Jan 8, 2012 7:03pm
Good old retail sales spooked the market again showing 0.4 pc fall on prediction.

Then I read that Australian credit card loans are up above $40 billion in November 2011.

Now who to believe?

Its the credit card stats of course.

Prices in Sydney are out of control and you dont get that in a slump.
  • #38,517
  • Jan 8, 2012 7:03pm Jan 8, 2012 7:03pm
Quoting sidhujag
time to long
Have longed....
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #38,518
  • Jan 8, 2012 7:12pm Jan 8, 2012 7:12pm
Quoting rafiqhidayat
Have longed....
hold until ny u will make money this is a high probablilty trade
  • #38,519
  • Edited 7:32pm Jan 8, 2012 7:12pm | Edited 7:32pm
Posted I was watching 1.01511 first test was bounce so let's party

Long AU 1.01620 20 pip stop
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  • #38,520
  • Jan 8, 2012 7:38pm Jan 8, 2012 7:38pm
Shorted @ 1.0158, sl 1.0188, tp 1.0050
Expect the unexpected.
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