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AUD/USD

  • #38,481
  • Jan 6, 2012 9:07am Jan 6, 2012 9:07am
Quoting ragnakore
Watch EURUSD 1.2700, SPX 1270, AUDUSD 1.0200
(Hmmm... only AUDUSD isnt same number as the other two...)
All will move in same direction comfirming the trend.

Sell Trigger finger getting itchy....
i'm holding off. the moment to sell was up around 0270. id rather maintain eur/aud shorts while waiting for a aud/usd bottom than get stuck in another aud/usd carry short paying $20/day in swap interest hah
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,482
  • Jan 6, 2012 9:08am Jan 6, 2012 9:08am
Quoting ragnakore
Watch EURUSD 1.2700, SPX 1270, AUDUSD 1.0200
(Hmmm... only AUDUSD isnt same number as the other two...)
All will move in same direction comfirming the trend.

Sell Trigger finger getting itchy....
AUD/USD looks pretty top heavy. Any upmove will be met with some downside seekers. The way I am seeing it, anyways.... next stop?

1.017...ish. But then again, it's Friday, the first trading Friday after the new year begins. The real deal will start to pick up next week on into 2012 and we'll see how she pans out.
It's the simple things in life that have the most powerful meaning.
  • #38,483
  • Jan 6, 2012 9:13am Jan 6, 2012 9:13am
heavy closed below 0230.
if 0200 goes cleared also, will be a good entry short to target 0100 or even parity.

early to say now.
must be patient imo.

actually before see 0300 need strong reversal up.
possible...

my plan is to wait unitl 0200 goes cleared or until it get up out of red.dotted descending channel.
picking a posiotion now is dangerous both in short and long
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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90% of traders use TA, indicators and prediction
  • #38,484
  • Jan 6, 2012 9:36am Jan 6, 2012 9:36am
I hate news days.I had shorts with stop loss at BE and the news caused at spike upwards hitting my BE S/L then goes back down
  • #38,485
  • Jan 6, 2012 9:40am Jan 6, 2012 9:40am
Quoting MaynoothBlue
Australia is a country that relies heavily on commodities, i.e. mining of iron ore, etc. Positive USD results potentially mean less unemployment, more likely people will increase purchases of goods, houses, construction etc. hence the need for more commodities (ie iron ore required for making steel as just one example) will be required and hence an improvement for commodity based currencies like CAD and AUD. Thats it broadly speaking, other may contribute in more detail or forward you a link.
thank you very much sir i'm going to note that in my mind, there are many good guys here
  • #38,486
  • Jan 6, 2012 10:14am Jan 6, 2012 10:14am
Quoting lebleup
AUD/USD looks pretty top heavy. Any upmove will be met with some downside seekers. The way I am seeing it, anyways.... next stop?

1.017...ish. But then again, it's Friday, the first trading Friday after the new year begins. The real deal will start to pick up next week on into 2012 and we'll see how she pans out.
Reset, Lock and Load.
It's the simple things in life that have the most powerful meaning.
  • #38,487
  • Jan 6, 2012 12:00pm Jan 6, 2012 12:00pm
x2 thankyou zarazh for the explanation
  • #38,488
  • Jan 6, 2012 12:56pm Jan 6, 2012 12:56pm
aud index has broken a weekly trendline upwards.. not sure how much this has a factor in aud/usd but I'm long audcad.
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  • #38,489
  • Jan 6, 2012 3:29pm Jan 6, 2012 3:29pm
...........
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  • #38,490
  • Jan 6, 2012 4:57pm Jan 6, 2012 4:57pm
I will start shorting AUDUSD:
#1. above 1.0260 towards 1.0300 with stops 1.0390
#2. on a break of 1.0200 with stops 1.0240

there are several congestion levels below 1.0200 with varying degree of volume.
a. 1.0170 area (short term) target
b. 1.0060 area (mid term) target
c. 0.9900 area (long term) target
d. 0.9700 area (long term) target
e. 0.9400 area ultimate target

China is the dark horse. Recent PMI suggests China is starting to fire up their factories again.
  • #38,491
  • Jan 6, 2012 5:46pm Jan 6, 2012 5:46pm
I'd be wary of trading this pair for now. I myself am not too sure where this is heading as the usd and aud indexes seem to be heading upwards. No factor of strength vs weakness.

With price not breaking the monthly resistance id look for shorts over longs.

Hopefully an opportunity will arise next week. This week was pretty flip flop throughout the market
  • #38,492
  • Jan 7, 2012 7:04am Jan 7, 2012 7:04am
My guess:

1st: 1.0300
2nd: 1.0170
then, 1.0500 area

But read my sig...
Use me as a contrarian indicator
  • #38,493
  • Jan 7, 2012 8:14am Jan 7, 2012 8:14am
i still see bulls in in the coming months
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  • #38,494
  • Edited 9:13am Jan 7, 2012 8:57am | Edited 9:13am
Hi,

My guess;
All of THEM [...] want AU to be stopped from becoming a competitor.
A new Japan can be forged there in 20-30 yr, with very little luck; they have the ground...
JPY, USD, CAD, EUR, CHF are watching the AU miracle and will ^act^ soon.

U want numbers? 2012 target in AUD/USD - 0.84

bjdk, yes in some pairs AUD it's bullish long term, especially in AUD/CAD, your guess it's correct.
I'll shop after the drop
  • #38,495
  • Jan 7, 2012 10:47am Jan 7, 2012 10:47am
Quoting bjdk
i still see bulls in in the coming months
thanks for that chart. i love that multiple time perspective all in one place on there. how did you do that?
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,496
  • Jan 7, 2012 10:22pm Jan 7, 2012 10:22pm
Yeah I think the boys are going to be buying cheap on this after Christmas sale when they show up this week. I like this corrective channel though, we'll see if it holds.

"Bulls coming in" I've got one of those god aweful MT4 platforms as well...is that a script you have for displaying the multiple time frames at the bottom there? I like that as well.
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  • #38,497
  • Jan 7, 2012 10:34pm Jan 7, 2012 10:34pm
you can go to stratman's thread here
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...10461&page=189
post nr 2827
and get the link to his website where you sign up and then you can download
the soft ware suite
  • #38,498
  • Jan 7, 2012 10:44pm Jan 7, 2012 10:44pm
Quoting bjdk
you can go to stratman's thread here
http://www.forexfactory.com/showthre...10461&page=189
post nr 2827
and get the link to his website where you sign up and then you can download
the soft ware suite
ok cool thanks. got it.
  • #38,499
  • Jan 8, 2012 12:35am Jan 8, 2012 12:35am
Quoting bayfisherman
Yeah I think the boys are going to be buying cheap on this after Christmas sale when they show up this week. I like this corrective channel though, we'll see if it holds.

"Bulls coming in" I've got one of those god aweful MT4 platforms as well...is that a script you have for displaying the multiple time frames at the bottom there? I like that as well.
Yes, bayfisherman, AUD is forecasted to drop to 1.0200, plus or minus a few pips and then go back up, so that pretty much agrees with your channel
pic. Here is screenshot of forecast:
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #38,500
  • Jan 8, 2012 12:36am Jan 8, 2012 12:36am
Quoting rozario173
Yes, bayfisherman, AUD is forecasted to drop to 1.0200, plus or minus a few pips and then go back up, so that pretty much agrees with your channel
pic. Here is screenshot of forecast:
I mean 1.0100, not 1.0200.
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