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AUD/USD

  • #38,441
  • Jan 5, 2012 4:43am Jan 5, 2012 4:43am
Quoting pipraiser
Hi happytrader and fx-rocket, good to see you both being active on the forum once again!! Happy New Year as well.

A question for you fx-rocket, there is the 200EMA forming a resistance at 1.0218 on the D1 chart. How would you be sure that it will hit your TP level of 1.0163? I am trying to learn so hope you can explain. =)
Thought I shared my views, never really liked using MAs probably because I'm pretty bad at it

Look at this H4

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSD_050112_H4.JPG Size: 143 KB


Looking for a test of the bullish trendline and 38.2 fib, but with this bearish divergence in place, my bias is that the bull line wouldn't hold and next level would be a test of fib 61.8
  • #38,442
  • Jan 5, 2012 5:33am Jan 5, 2012 5:33am
Hi jayjb! Thanks for the response. The chart made your explanation very clear. Cheers!
  • #38,443
  • Jan 5, 2012 5:36am Jan 5, 2012 5:36am
Happy new year to all!!

Well, Here we are all back from our holidays so let make some bucks this year!

I'm back on Holidays in another 15days, so I'm starting to setup my trades on a daily/weekly charts only, and not really paying attention to the quick bucks in-between.

So I've jumped the gun at 1.03 short, even though our 10EMA is above the 30EMA, but still below the 200EMA.

I'm going bold, and going for the longer term, so Ive got my aim in at .95.

Im just under 50pips in the green, so i've gone for the break even option, its now a free run. So risking 0 capital for a 770+pip gain if all goes well... Here's hoping I come back form my 6week holiday, with my holiday paid off haha

Also gone short on weekly technicals with most EURO pairs too. Here's hoping for a 3500pip windfall in about 2-6months

I'll do a bit of scalping before I head off, but starting to setup my trades now, so hopefully I'll be in a position to move all positions to BE, and have a stress free holiday
  • #38,444
  • Jan 5, 2012 5:43am Jan 5, 2012 5:43am
have we topped and about to start the next bear leg that will take equities and aud to new lows??????????

Or is there another run left in this bull?????

My questions are very much long term
  • #38,445
  • Jan 5, 2012 5:45am Jan 5, 2012 5:45am
Quoting MidasFX
I am in a similar trade

SHORT AUD/USD
Entry 1.0320
Stop 1.0353
Target 1.0250
Finally! !!! Target hit.
  • #38,446
  • Jan 5, 2012 6:00am Jan 5, 2012 6:00am
I'm also short AUDUSD@ 1.5554 TP OPEN

Looks like a long term negative divergence on the aud index confirmed by a macd crossover.. cheers!

I'm guessing the aud will be breaking low for the next week or two
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Picture 11.jpg Size: 169 KB
  • #38,447
  • Jan 5, 2012 6:22am Jan 5, 2012 6:22am
Quoting redteamgo
opened a quick long at the base of the most recent 1h.. closed for small loss. i would like to think it will bounce off 103 during london and go from there. to the contrary, asian stocks are down which probably really will lead to a dip/more consolidation. we may see a retest of tuesday lows in which case i would go long at 1.0240/50. 200 dma is at 1.0410..
some retrace occurring currently. entering a long after confirmation of a bottom
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,448
  • Jan 5, 2012 6:52am Jan 5, 2012 6:52am
Quoting redteamgo
some retrace occurring currently. entering a long after confirmation of a bottom
what timeframe are you trading
  • #38,449
  • Jan 5, 2012 7:02am Jan 5, 2012 7:02am
Quoting taxe91
what timeframe are you trading
hourly/daily
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,450
  • Jan 5, 2012 7:08am Jan 5, 2012 7:08am
Quoting redteamgo
hourly/daily
nice.. aussie may be poised to break out given some good US data in a few mins..
  • #38,451
  • Jan 5, 2012 7:20am Jan 5, 2012 7:20am
Quoting taxe91
nice.. aussie may be poised to break out given some good US data in a few mins..
yup.. i set my limit too long overnight. did not trigger. this is very unfortunate... however, the euro pairs just tanked again.

being that the US equities futures are looking quite negative now, i think i will have another opportunity to go long at a favorable point
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,452
  • Jan 5, 2012 7:25am Jan 5, 2012 7:25am
Quoting redteamgo
yup.. i set my limit too long overnight. did not trigger. this is very unfortunate... however, the euro pairs just tanked again.

being that the US equities futures are looking quite negative now, i think i will have another opportunity to go long at a favorable point
yeah..that was a huge ADP number.. expected more of a reaction from the aussie. dow futures spiked a bit though, markets are fairly sketchy so far this new year.
  • #38,453
  • Jan 5, 2012 8:02am Jan 5, 2012 8:02am
Quoting taxe91
yeah..that was a huge ADP number.. expected more of a reaction from the aussie. dow futures spiked a bit though, markets are fairly sketchy so far this new year.
yeah. despite a strong jobs number, equities are very tepid right now
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,454
  • Jan 5, 2012 8:04am Jan 5, 2012 8:04am
depending on how next week goes we may see a small double top form on the daily
  • #38,455
  • Jan 5, 2012 8:11am Jan 5, 2012 8:11am
hello everyone,
long time no posting in this thread and long time no trading in AU.

well,
actually im out of it and thinking if and where re-short in this area.
daily speaking, we can see it near parity again.

0300 in last move shown strong rejection 40 pips.
i think near these levels we can consider it ready to pick shorts!

what do you think about?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au.gif Size: 14 KB
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  • #38,456
  • Jan 5, 2012 9:27am Jan 5, 2012 9:27am
ADP good number downplayed. they reasoned, oh yeah, its seasonal, its expected...

seems like atmosphere is very edgy

i missed a good short above 1.03 went short 1.0290 after adp failed to rally and downplayed even

but right now, i m still contemplating where to get out.. no idea where are the supports other than 1.0220?
  • #38,457
  • Jan 5, 2012 9:30am Jan 5, 2012 9:30am
Quoting ragnakore
ADP good number downplayed. they reasoned, oh yeah, its seasonal, its expected...

seems like atmosphere is very edgy

i missed a good short above 1.03 went short 1.0290 after adp failed to rally and downplayed even

but right now, i m still contemplating where to get out.. no idea where are the supports other than 1.0220?
looks like a potential bottom is forming at 0240

given how much of a rejection occurred at 103, fading another rally might be a good move. things are really squirrelly this morning, i'm sidelined today.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,458
  • Jan 5, 2012 9:46am Jan 5, 2012 9:46am
AUDUSD sell at 1.02960 TP at 1.0245 closed
  • #38,459
  • Jan 5, 2012 3:30pm Jan 5, 2012 3:30pm
AUD/USD @1.0255

Failure to break above 1.0385 sent this puppy lower inspired by once again bad news coming from Europe.
US ADP data was brighter and tonights NFP could be catalyst for a move back up in the AUD.
Today 1.0225 - 1.0295

EUR/AUD @1.2467

Still ratcheting lower with mild pullbacks but the cracks are widening in the Euro now as fundamentals take hold as we make new historical lows.

Nice weekend
  • #38,460
  • Jan 5, 2012 6:58pm Jan 5, 2012 6:58pm
Quoting ragnakore
ADP good number downplayed. they reasoned, oh yeah, its seasonal, its expected...

seems like atmosphere is very edgy

i missed a good short above 1.03 went short 1.0290 after adp failed to rally and downplayed even

but right now, i m still contemplating where to get out.. no idea where are the supports other than 1.0220?
maybe we visit 1.0370 before deciding which direction for short term
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