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AUD/USD

  • #38,381
  • Jan 3, 2012 6:09pm Jan 3, 2012 6:09pm
Quoting rustyram
Patience always pays...

As you wished it had retested the high, and made a double top and looks like heading down.

Let me know, if u are in short , and where you intend to get out.
Not high enough risk/reward to take short. I see the double on the 15 but i dont like it. If you step back, look at hr, it is just rolling around. I would much rather it have gone to 1.0320 then retest the .0380......... I have top at 1.0422 (=s/l) and bottom at .0295 (=tgt 1).... sitting at 1.03667 presently. Right dead center, too much risk, and counter short trend. But please consider the source.
Passing on short.
  • #38,382
  • Jan 3, 2012 6:50pm Jan 3, 2012 6:50pm
Quoting rafiqhidayat
For those that are currently long (AUDUSD), just FYI, the USD/JPY pair is starting to go to the earlier levels before the BoJ intervention late last year...

Not sure when that will happen, but I think I should just highlight it anyways.
i was thinking about this too. i wonder if they will try to intervene again. it makes me wary of trading this pair
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,383
  • Jan 3, 2012 8:03pm Jan 3, 2012 8:03pm
  •  fivex
  • | Joined Sep 2011 | Status: This is the title that appears | 247 Posts
Quoting DNTme
Maybe you right, but worth 35 pips to risk for 50-100 pips, k?
short at .03615 looked good to me
  • #38,384
  • Jan 3, 2012 8:08pm Jan 3, 2012 8:08pm
Quoting fivex
short at .03615 looked good to me

aah, I see its probably going to come test the highs right now then ... anytime you gloat in this market it will always come back to bite you remember that.
  • #38,385
  • Jan 3, 2012 8:10pm Jan 3, 2012 8:10pm
the only one to move today. moved by around 36 pips this session. only gold is other one to move. rest unmoved.
  • #38,386
  • Edited 8:54pm Jan 3, 2012 8:34pm | Edited 8:54pm
  •  fivex
  • | Joined Sep 2011 | Status: This is the title that appears | 247 Posts
Quoting sidhujag
aah, I see its probably going to come test the highs right now then ... anytime you gloat in this market it will always come back to bite you remember that.
you are absolutely correct. Sorry if it sounded like gloating...
  • #38,387
  • Jan 3, 2012 8:56pm Jan 3, 2012 8:56pm
stopped out with -15 pips. erm...

long @ 1.0342

will probably look to long again at 1.0320 or 1.03
  • #38,388
  • Jan 3, 2012 9:21pm Jan 3, 2012 9:21pm
  •  fivex
  • | Joined Sep 2011 | Status: This is the title that appears | 247 Posts
Quoting sidhujag
keep shorting noobs lol new high expected soon!

retailers again are shorting this thing like crazy but if you had listened I told you to buy the dips, oil is almost at my target 106 now from low 90's. Maybe hit 150 in a few months
A wise man once told me not to gloat, it may come back to bite you
  • #38,389
  • Jan 3, 2012 9:38pm Jan 3, 2012 9:38pm
"stopped out with -15 pips. erm...

long @ 1.0342

will probably look to long again at 1.0320 or 1.03"

why are you so adamant to long? i thought aud was gonna fall quite a bit after that rally.
  • #38,390
  • Jan 3, 2012 9:43pm Jan 3, 2012 9:43pm
Still holding my short here 1.0368 BE at the moment n dreaming ....will it pass by the gap DOWNUNDER hahaha
  • #38,391
  • Jan 3, 2012 9:51pm Jan 3, 2012 9:51pm
possible long for me from 10299
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  • #38,392
  • Jan 3, 2012 10:37pm Jan 3, 2012 10:37pm
Profit taking may be over 1.05 here we come.
  • #38,393
  • Jan 3, 2012 11:03pm Jan 3, 2012 11:03pm
Need to get past 1.380 and ensure it act as support to go on a good bullish run. Guess my prediction that this pair gonna go down after new year is yet to materialise, so might as well join in the trend and once 1.380 is safely taken. There's a nice pin bar rejecting my dynamic 8 EMA on a 4HR TF and act as a support to hopefully launch another attack to the 380 and camp there

Actually it was taken by a mere 2 pips closing in at 1.382 today morning before going down as per normal during Asia for some correction.

Green pips to all.
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  • #38,394
  • Jan 4, 2012 1:03am Jan 4, 2012 1:03am
Quoting happytrader
stopped out with -15 pips. erm...

long @ 1.0342

will probably look to long again at 1.0320 or 1.03
ive been seing you getting stopped out in every trades lately... 15 pips Stops is very narrow unless you are scalping... scaliping requires very high probability trades so much so many brokers hate it. im done scalping due to this.. so im trading longer term with stops at least 50 pips.. unless i could load up near support resistances for lower risk

you can make money going long or short today depending owhere you do so..

i am long 1.0340 for a 1.0500-1.0550.
why?
MARKET ANTICIPATION OF A VERY GOOD EMPLOYMENT
  • #38,395
  • Jan 4, 2012 1:06am Jan 4, 2012 1:06am
Quoting rafiqhidayat
For those that are currently long (AUDUSD), just FYI, the USD/JPY pair is starting to go to the earlier levels before the BoJ intervention late last year...

Not sure when that will happen, but I think I should just highlight it anyways.
I am ready to go long usdjpy @76.25 and for evry 25 pips down,

BOJ intervention could actually boost AUDUSD too... they could start dumping EURJPY in favor of AUDJPY instead of sell AUDJPY, buy USDJPY like they did last time
  • #38,396
  • Jan 4, 2012 1:21am Jan 4, 2012 1:21am
AUD tring to retake 1.0360. a retake brings 1.0380 then 1.0400

we have some eur bond auction today. i bet it will be positive for risk given the large LTRO cheap money they borrowed.
  • #38,397
  • Jan 4, 2012 3:18am Jan 4, 2012 3:18am

The pair broke-up last week, and the break-up was very powerful. The Aussie reached the resistance of the 200 SMA, which it failed to break four times during the 4th quarter of 2011. A successful break-up might lift the pair up to 1.075, but stochastic levels show that the pair might correct down from this point.


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  • #38,398
  • Jan 4, 2012 6:20am Jan 4, 2012 6:20am
this thread has been very quiet.

anyone has any analysis of aud?

i think the fall today could be a retracement or profit taking as the fall isn't massive. if the equity markets are bullish later or tomorrow, 1.03 might be a good price to long.

thanks in advance for anyone who's sharing and please correct me if i got my analysis wrong. i'm still learning. thanks
  • #38,399
  • Jan 4, 2012 6:33am Jan 4, 2012 6:33am
Quoting happytrader
this thread has been very quiet.

anyone has any analysis of aud?

i think the fall today could be a retracement or profit taking as the fall isn't massive. if the equity markets are bullish later or tomorrow, 1.03 might be a good price to long.

thanks in advance for anyone who's sharing and please correct me if i got my analysis wrong. i'm still learning. thanks

Hi Guys,

i follow ff post regulary...my 2 cents on this topic...i've been watching AudUsd for some time...made pretty nice pips trading it at the end of 2011. I made my analysis afther year end, basicly with monthly and quarterly candles..i see big resistance at 1.0380 and 1.0440 as monthly pivot. Monthly candle is ''hanging man''. I took short position and i plan to build it all the way of quarterly fib retrace at 61,8%....

p.s. sorry for my english
  • #38,400
  • Jan 4, 2012 7:15am Jan 4, 2012 7:15am
Quoting rustyram
As it took out the previous daily high, it should retrace, will hold till there is a 15 min retracement of ABC is complete.

Anyone else thinks short too....
I am closing my shorts here and going long at 1.03100
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
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