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AUD/USD

  • #38,201
  • Dec 29, 2011 1:28am Dec 29, 2011 1:28am
who thinks AUD is poised to take out previous high at 1.0200 from these lows 1.0044
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #38,202
  • Dec 29, 2011 1:33am Dec 29, 2011 1:33am
if 1.0112 is taken out before NY then yes you may buy the dip
  • #38,203
  • Dec 29, 2011 3:00am Dec 29, 2011 3:00am
I'm paying interest and holding short. Everything else is falling relative to the USD... the dji is falling... AUD is bound to topple hard sooner or later. I'm short from just below a buck so still in the red but I'm going to hold rather than solidify my losses. We have a long way yet to fall.
Channeling profits from the fractal universe.
  • #38,204
  • Dec 29, 2011 3:36am Dec 29, 2011 3:36am
a fake out?
  • #38,205
  • Dec 29, 2011 3:51am Dec 29, 2011 3:51am
Do you guys think it will hit parity by today? I'm holding on to a short position from 1.0100.
  • #38,206
  • Dec 29, 2011 3:56am Dec 29, 2011 3:56am
Quoting pipraiser
Do you guys think it will hit parity by today? I'm holding on to a short position from 1.0100.
took short too from 1.0100. TP 1.0005

looking at daily chart there is a high chance of reaching parity.

it all depends on the italy bond sales later and how EUR and GBP reacts, which will probably drag AUD down also
  • #38,207
  • Dec 29, 2011 4:03am Dec 29, 2011 4:03am
Quoting pipraiser
Do you guys think it will hit parity by today? I'm holding on to a short position from 1.0100.
i can't really tell. the price is still in the demand area i think. and there's no clear breakout yet.
  • #38,208
  • Dec 29, 2011 4:06am Dec 29, 2011 4:06am
waiting for Italian Bond Auction results.....

crossing fingers for failure to sustain selloff
  • #38,209
  • Dec 29, 2011 4:26am Dec 29, 2011 4:26am
Quoting pipraiser
Do you guys think it will hit parity by today? I'm holding on to a short position from 1.0100.
Crazy volatility but I think it is possible as long as that last little congestion area holds as resisitance on short term charts.
Before Forex I was tall, and clean shaven. Now I am an Ewok.
  • #38,210
  • Edited 4:57am Dec 29, 2011 4:27am | Edited 4:57am
italian 10 year at 6.98% better than 7.02 previous

6.98% hmmm... not so bad not so good

from the looks of it, bond holders DONT LIKE longer term papers and prefer short term 3 months or 6 months. remember those short term bonds? rates fell half. but today's 10 year came out a very few bp lower not significantly lower..
  • #38,211
  • Dec 29, 2011 5:29am Dec 29, 2011 5:29am
EURUSD dropped to daily low but AUD still hovering above 1.0060s instead of breaking through 1.0040

strong option defense of parity?
  • #38,212
  • Dec 29, 2011 5:44am Dec 29, 2011 5:44am
Quoting ragnakore
EURUSD dropped to daily low but AUD still hovering above 1.0060s instead of breaking through 1.0040

strong option defense of parity?
did you see any bid/ask ratios? clearly people arent happy with the results but i cant find real details other than total sold per bp tier
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,213
  • Dec 29, 2011 5:57am Dec 29, 2011 5:57am
ALL are waiting for ERU/USD 1,28735 low from Jan.10 2011
I an waiting for short AUD/USD... because USD will be King of currency.(for today, i think)
  • #38,214
  • Dec 29, 2011 6:10am Dec 29, 2011 6:10am
Quoting rustyram
EUR/USD should fall to 1.2875 area, and then pull back or retrace.

During this AUD/USD should test the 1.0041 low it just made.

May this should present us a opportunity to get long on AUD, with really tight stop. we have to wait and see what candlestick says at this area.

If both of them make a new lower low, then this is void.
While Eur/Usd made a new low, AUD held on to its previous low.
Entered at 1.0055 , target hopefully 1.05, depends on how fast it moves from here and takes out 1.02 high.

Will wait for some time and move the SL to entry point, so that i dont get burned when it moves south.
PPP - Patience Pays PIPS
  • #38,215
  • Dec 29, 2011 6:36am Dec 29, 2011 6:36am
Quoting redteamgo
did you see any bid/ask ratios? clearly people arent happy with the results but i cant find real details other than total sold per bp tier
on the auction? no. just got the bond rate data from CNBC and tweets.
  • #38,216
  • Dec 29, 2011 6:40am Dec 29, 2011 6:40am
Quoting jari
ALL are waiting for ERU/USD 1,28735 low from Jan.10 2011
I an waiting for short AUD/USD... because USD will be King of currency.(for today, i think)
EURUSD dropped to 1.28577 at FXCM.
Still no dropping for AUD.
I am beginning to think this is trying to move in accordance to equity S&P to which AUD has a very strong correlation.

Parity is getting to tough to crack right now but once it breaks, im sure it will be 0.9960


honestly, i should have traded EURUSD instead...
  • #38,217
  • Dec 29, 2011 6:46am Dec 29, 2011 6:46am
Quoting ragnakore
EURUSD dropped to 1.28577 at FXCM.
Still no dropping for AUD.
I am beginning to think this is trying to move in accordance to equity S&P to which AUD has a very strong correlation.

Parity is getting to tough to crack right now but once it breaks, im sure it will be 0.9960


honestly, i should have traded EURUSD instead...
eur/jpy is rocking too.
Any prices quoted are futures
  • #38,218
  • Dec 29, 2011 7:22am Dec 29, 2011 7:22am
but it also forms an a-b-c corrective wave that could signal more downside. all of my stops are in the positive but if it doesn't start the down wave soon, i will close my shorts. same with EU but without the h & s.
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #38,219
  • Dec 29, 2011 7:23am Dec 29, 2011 7:23am
sorry
" If I can't be my own, I'd feel better dead" - Alice In Chains
  • #38,220
  • Dec 29, 2011 7:41am Dec 29, 2011 7:41am
Captured this earlier this morning as I saw possible reverse H&S or double bottom. Set pending to support a double bottom, but my entry was 1.00450 and it missed price by spread.
I was careless not to compensate for bid/ask.

No prob, will be another set-up...............there always is!
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