If the price takes out the low at No. 2 one of these will happen:
1. Will trigger the stops below, will drop, and then enter consolidation.
2. Will just continue dropping straight down, more sellers will pile up.
3. Will find buyers and the price will reverse. This is the reason why the short has to be taken after the low and the bounce from no. 2 at the hit of the no 1 low the second time. It would give us some time to get out. If it never makes it back, then we missed a bad trade. No harm done.
All these only apply at a s/r break after consolidation, and not when the market is trending.
The reason I don't think we'll reverse here is that resistance above (thicker line) was confirmed. Support turned res. The worst it will go re test it and drop. I don't think it will take it right away (we never know, but this is all I have to go by). If it does that(re test res without breaking it), then I watch if it does a HL. If that's the case, then it's bad news for shorts.
If it does anything that was not mentioned, the plan is all fucked up, close all positions.
Anyway, I'll go hit the pillow. The market sucks. GL
1. Will trigger the stops below, will drop, and then enter consolidation.
2. Will just continue dropping straight down, more sellers will pile up.
3. Will find buyers and the price will reverse. This is the reason why the short has to be taken after the low and the bounce from no. 2 at the hit of the no 1 low the second time. It would give us some time to get out. If it never makes it back, then we missed a bad trade. No harm done.
All these only apply at a s/r break after consolidation, and not when the market is trending.
The reason I don't think we'll reverse here is that resistance above (thicker line) was confirmed. Support turned res. The worst it will go re test it and drop. I don't think it will take it right away (we never know, but this is all I have to go by). If it does that(re test res without breaking it), then I watch if it does a HL. If that's the case, then it's bad news for shorts.
If it does anything that was not mentioned, the plan is all fucked up, close all positions.
Anyway, I'll go hit the pillow. The market sucks. GL