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X-Man's Super Simple System

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  • Post #2,241
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  • Dec 15, 2011 7:16am Dec 15, 2011 7:16am
  •  X-Man
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2011 | 2,409 Posts
Guys I've read some posts and theres really good advice posted here from experienced traders.
I've read that some traders timing is just wrong. I understand the frustration.
A nice tip is that first right down a strict trade plan.
Follow that trade plan very attentively.
If you see things in the market that you cant identify and does not meet you trade plan then dont trade it. Be like smokey D look for the AAA + trades.

I as a trader also get faked out at times, well many times and thats part of the trading game. This is because at times the big boys first try to go and hit traders SLs before they go in the other direction.
The thing is that certain traders as soon as their SLs are hit they sit with too much emotion getting to them rather than looking at what the market is doing. Then they see that if they traded in the other direction they couldve covered their loss and made extra profit. Now this doesnt mean that as soon as your SL is hit you go in the other direction immediately that will be too high risk, you just wait until theres a signal according to your trade plan and this will happen sometimes straight after your SL is hit . So when theres a signal then you take it . Most traders wont take it because their confidence is low and they think that this signal wont also work like the previous trade.
The lower the TF the more emotion is involved. Thats when you start riding the roller coaster and if you cant think fast and handle the high pressure you will be slaughtered. Theres lots of signals on the lower time frame which leads to over trading and lots of fake outs.
The lowest ill go is the 1H TF , theres fakeys but theres enough pips to be made for the day.
With this TF i also feel that you have to be able to think fast and be a very flexible trader. you have to know when to close a trade and when to leave it, you have to have the confidence and the edge to keep you on top of your game . Thats why the 1H TF wont suit some traders who get emotional.
Theres other traders as well thats setting their TPs too large.
I suggest that you keep it 1:1 and at time you will see that it will hit and carry on for 100 pips but be content with what you got. There will also be times where to see your 1:1 TP wont be hit this is where you must think fast whether you want to close the trade or what.
For example , i go long and then after 2 candles im in around 25 pips then all of a sudden the market changes direction, do i close immediately no, i wait for the candle to form and at the end of the candle ill analyze the candle. Now if i see a pullback candle showing me to go short then ill close the candle for what ever pips i have or lost. in these situations i wont wait for it to hit SL coz i can see its a pullback candle going for short, so the chance of it hitting SL is very high.

Another tip is that i trade with the trend to increase my chances. In trading forex its all about increase your chances of winning.
First of all traders have a 50% chance of winning ant trade because you only choose whether you want to go long or short so thats 50:50
Trading with the trend increases you chances alil more.
Having a good profitable trading system that you are confident about also increases your chances.
Looking for specific signals increases your chances more
So if you keep all these things in mind and apply it you will already have a system or strategy or method or whatever you want to call it that will make you a profitable trader because your chances will definitely be well over 50%.
Of course you will experience a loosing streak of trades or a winning streak.
Thats why i recommend that each trader should have a strict trade plan that he/she will follow everyday to increase their success. If the market dont show you the signals or meet the requirements then it does not mean that you just have to take a trade, i say dont trade for that day. Wait until the market meets the requirements of your trade plan.
At times not trading is part of trading.
X-man the legendary conqueror of markets
 
 
  • Post #2,242
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  • Dec 15, 2011 7:33am Dec 15, 2011 7:33am
  •  X-Man
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2011 | 2,409 Posts
Quoting hale-mary
Disliked
X-man where in the box would you not consider taking a trade in general... I recall you mentioning that 2 or 3 hours in ....then you wait until NY session. So would that point be the read candle on your pic...if not setup had occured time limit wise according to you.
Ignored
Hale mary when i read your posts correct me if im wrong but i see that you jump in a trade too early or too late.
As a beginner i would recommend you back test E/U slowly, Analyze the candle formation and then write down the certain formations that happen over .This will become your signals.
Obviously the signal wont give you 100% win but it will give you a high percentage of wins. Then you stick to that.
Dont try to enter too early on the london session, i recommend you wait. This will cause you to miss some trades but as time go you will see that you will get them and if its a fakey you will learn how to minimize your loss and recover it.
If i see good A+ signals 2 hours before the NY session i will trade that signal but will keep a close eye on it. I will even consider closing the trade 1 hour before the NY session or if looks really good ill keep it open.
But i really try to have 2 trades a day 1 at the london session which doesnt have to be immediately at the open of the london session and the other at NY session.

I see myself as a sniper because in trading you have to have a lot of patience. I mean lots.
I know that anyone with this quality will make money in forex.
Only when i see an opportunity i will pull the trigger at the right time.
The more time you spend with E/U you will learn these things coz at first i use to make a lot of mistakes and was too eager for a signal. I use to also jump in any trade fooling my mind that i did see a signal.
But then after you see your trade gone bad you say that it looks so obvious, how could i b so dumb just to enter. At that very moment when you want to pull that trigger and you get this rush,this is when we tend not to see that obvious.
X-man the legendary conqueror of markets
 
 
  • Post #2,243
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  • Dec 15, 2011 7:42am Dec 15, 2011 7:42am
  •  FoxTraderGBP
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 61 Posts
Hi, X-Man.
Very, very interesting. And realy simply. But I can't to find rules for the x-man 4hr shi method.tpl. I don't found yet.

Thanks.
Greed and fear kills traders
 
 
  • Post #2,244
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  • Dec 15, 2011 7:44am Dec 15, 2011 7:44am
  •  X-Man
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2011 | 2,409 Posts
A good form to keep your calm and cool and not just jump in and out of a trade is to meditate.
Meditate helps a lot.
I understand that some of you guys have to wake up late at night to trade the sessions and when your body is tired and the market not showing you what you want thats when you can make lots of wrong decisions.

This can be related to this advice:
Never phone a girl when its past your bed time, you might say stuff that you would regret in the morning.
X-man the legendary conqueror of markets
 
 
  • Post #2,245
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  • Dec 15, 2011 7:51am Dec 15, 2011 7:51am
  •  AllyB
  • Joined Mar 2010 | Status: aka QueenB | 4,808 Posts
Quoting X-Man
Disliked
Guys I've read some posts and theres really good advice posted here from experienced traders.
I've read that some traders timing is just wrong. I understand the frustration.
A nice tip is that first right down a strict trade plan.
Follow...
Ignored
A good form to keep your calm and cool and not just jump in and out of a trade is to meditate.
Meditate helps a lot.
I understand that some of you guys have to wake up late at night to trade the sessions and when your body is tired and the market not showing you what you want thats when you can make lots of wrong decisions.

This can be related to this advice:

awesome advice X-Man .... keep up the great work you are doing on this thread
 
 
  • Post #2,246
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  • Dec 15, 2011 7:53am Dec 15, 2011 7:53am
  •  Steve 56
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 53 Posts
Hale-Mary did you receive my PM? If not I will re submit
Regards Steve
 
 
  • Post #2,247
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 7:54am Dec 15, 2011 7:54am
  •  SmokeyD
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 437 Posts
X...

Very well said in your last 2 posts.

I would just like to add...Trading is not for everyone!!!

Neither is being a nurse, an engineer, a bricklayer..etc. etc.

There is NO Holy Grail that has been developed for the markets.

There are...systems and methodologies that increase the probability only.

In my opinion, X has given you one. The rest is up to you!!!

Work on the methodology, back test it, forward test it, and fine tune it to your confidence level.

If what I am saying makes no sense, or is not detailed enough, then I would say trading is not for you. Trading is interpretive and subjective because...PA DRIVES THE BUS...not a system, a methodology, a wish, or anything else.

We have entered a world that is driven by the multinational banks, hedge fund management corporations, and institutional investors. They grasp the steering wheel.

OK...enough for now.

Wish you X...and everyone else the very best to you and all those you hold dear this festive season.
Enter Signature
 
 
  • Post #2,248
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:02am Dec 15, 2011 8:02am
  •  X-Man
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2011 | 2,409 Posts
The way i see it Hale Mary is that you dealing with a psychological aspect of trading.
The system is profitable but you and some traders are getting frustrated and i know that you also want to make that pips that you see the fellow traders making.

Do this for me.
Set a really low target for the week.
Lets all set our targets for just 100 pips a week.
Lets all forget the 1000 pip target, that target will come when you master the system and can take trades without thinking whether that trade will be a winner or a loser.
We have to become disciplined traders .

So now that our target is 100 we only make 20 pips per day.
Ideally we looking for 2 trades , 1 at the london session and 1 in the NY session.
We dont want to over trade.
At times we will make 3 trades a day because the 1 trade will maybe a fakey. But seriously nothing over 3 trades.

Our TP will be 1:1. The other option is that you lock half of the profits at 1:1 and then lock the other half at 2:1.
I dont care if the market goes 1000 pips in that 1 candle.
I will say if your SL is 30 then TP must be 30.
If theres clear signs of reversal then you close that trade. Dont hope and pray that the market turns around.

So if our average target is 20 pips a day we can just hit that in our 1 trade. So when we make our target for the day the we dont trade the next session. Some days we will have no trades and some days we will make extra pips.
If you still want to trade the next session the you only trade an AAA+ trade. This is for you not to lose the pips you made earlier.

X-man the legendary conqueror of markets
 
 
  • Post #2,249
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:06am Dec 15, 2011 8:06am
  •  X-Man
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Aug 2011 | 2,409 Posts
Quoting SmokeyD
Disliked
[size=3][font=Lucida Sans Unicode]X...

Very well said in your last 2 posts.

I would just like to add...Trading is not for everyone!!!

Neither is being a nurse, an engineer, a bricklayer..etc. etc.

There is NO Holy Grail that has been developed for the markets.

There are...systems and methodologies that increase the probability only.

In my opinion, X has given you one. The rest is up to you!!!

Work on the methodology, back test it, forward test it, and fine tune it to your confidence level.

If what I am saying makes no sense, or is not detailed...
Ignored
Thanks SmokeyD. You have a good 1
All the S3 traders to be back after the festive season in the first weeks of January.
X-man the legendary conqueror of markets
 
 
  • Post #2,250
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:09am Dec 15, 2011 8:09am
  •  SmokeyD
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 437 Posts
Quoting X-Man
Disliked
Thanks SmokeyD. You have a good 1
All the S3 traders to be back after the festive season in the first weeks of January.
Ignored
---
Enter Signature
 
 
  • Post #2,251
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:15am Dec 15, 2011 8:15am
  •  robthorp
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Oct 2011 | 131 Posts
Whats the deal then guys, does everyone pack up now for the rest of the year!
It's my first christmas as a trader
Im guessing there will be little liquidity?
 
 
  • Post #2,252
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:27am Dec 15, 2011 8:27am
  •  wrenski
  • | Joined Oct 2008 | Status: Member | 361 Posts
Quoting robthorp
Disliked
Whats the deal then guys, does everyone pack up now for the rest of the year!
It's my first christmas as a trader
Im guessing there will be little liquidity?
Ignored
Yes, there will be LITTLE liquidity, as you stated.
 
 
  • Post #2,253
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  • Dec 15, 2011 8:40am Dec 15, 2011 8:40am
  •  dappa
  • | Joined Oct 2009 | Status: Member | 374 Posts
Quoting hale-mary
Disliked
I have screen time believe me...been doing this since I was 15. There is something I am lacking I know...something I am not seeing over and over again. I dont overtrade at all. It is something I am failing to see live on the charts. Money management and all of that discipline stuff to me is nonsense because that can be easily fixed. (i have the discipline and MM) I stuck with so many methods for over a year even when I was losing.

Again I am not looking for generic advice rather specifics related to the chart as in how i need to approach or what...
Ignored
Man I know exactly where you are coming from my friend. I can relate to you to the T! Its like there is something that eludes you and everyone else see's the market and know exactly why they are taking a trADE AND YOU DON'T SEE IT. Trust me I understand for I was and am still in that same space when it comes to trading. I feel sorry for us! lol!!
 
 
  • Post #2,254
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:45am Dec 15, 2011 8:45am
  •  tillandran
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 32 Posts
Sorry for asking but does anyone here trade using Windows based Tablet PC for MT4?

Mind to recommend a good tablet?

Thank You.
 
 
  • Post #2,255
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:57am Dec 15, 2011 8:57am
  •  SuperNoobie
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 31 Posts
Experts , got stupid Q that bothers me.

Well, everytime I compare currencies E/U, G/U, it moves pretty much on the same pattern. As to USD/CHF, it should be the other way around.

My concern, I know it seems stupid to think about this, but sometimes I can't put myself to place a position when I know E/U is going up, but G/U is going down. There seems to be a contradiction when it is suppose to 'tag' together.

Do you think I should ignore this and just follow what the chart / indicator say?
 
 
  • Post #2,256
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:58am Dec 15, 2011 8:58am
  •  FoxTraderGBP
  • | Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 61 Posts
Quoting tillandran
Disliked
Sorry for asking but does anyone here trade using Windows based Tablet PC for MT4?

Mind to recommend a good tablet?

Thank You.
Ignored
I using PDA DELL with WM5 and MT4 mobile. Not so bad at all.
Greed and fear kills traders
 
 
  • Post #2,257
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 8:58am Dec 15, 2011 8:58am
  •  tayclabay
  • | Joined Jul 2011 | Status: Member | 19 Posts
Hi x-man, This morning on the london open you said that the candle just before the open was a pull back candle. Is it a pull back because it is a bullish candle that has a lower close than open price. And if so,does it mean the farther the close is from the open the stronger the pullback is? Thanks a million
 
 
  • Post #2,258
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 9:16am Dec 15, 2011 9:16am
  •  Phx62
  • Joined Jan 2009 | Status: Member | 924 Posts
Found an A++ setup about an hour into the London session on the M15 chart.....entered on the open of the 2nd red candle with:
1. The TDI crossed down,
2. The previous candle pulled back from the high and closed lower,
3. The first red candle formed following a nice 10 candle move up,
4. Stochastic agreement.
.....got my 40 pips and went back to bed. Done.......Easy day.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • Post #2,259
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  • Dec 15, 2011 9:29am Dec 15, 2011 9:29am
  •  hale-mary
  • | Joined Nov 2011 | Status: Member | 271 Posts
, Analyze the candle formation and then write down the certain formations that happen over .

X-man what do you mean by this. I may not be backtesting correctly. What i do is look at candles and see if the tdi cross agrees. So if there is a pin bar and a cross. I will say that i took the signal. But my mind may play tricks on me since some of the stups happen during the franky open and i may be tricking myself in backtesting for sure. I will post a chart later on about what i mean.
 
 
  • Post #2,260
  • Quote
  • Dec 15, 2011 9:32am Dec 15, 2011 9:32am
  •  Waqs
  • | Joined Aug 2011 | Status: Member | 14 Posts
Quoting Phx62
Disliked
Found an A++ setup about an hour into the London session on the M15 chart.....entered on the open of the 2nd red candle with:
1. The TDI crossed down,
2. The previous candle pulled back from the high and closed lower,
3. The first red candle formed following a nice 10 candle move up,
4. Stochastic agreement.
.....got my 40 pips and went back to bed. Done.......Easy day.
Ignored
Very nice Phx62. Thanks for posting the chart!

At the moment I'm just backtesting and watching the PA on the M15. Because M15 will have more noise does using stochs give more confirmation and security in a sense?
 
 
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