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Turn Loss to Profits?

  • #1
  • First Post: Dec 13, 2011 10:51am Dec 13, 2011 10:51am
Hi guys, at times when I look at my trading "report card" and see the "red" and few "green" (red outweighs green), I wonder if it is possible to reverse the same strategy and turn red to green and green to red?

what do you guys think?
  • #2
  • Dec 13, 2011 3:22pm Dec 13, 2011 3:22pm
Quoting dvc11
Hi guys, at times when I look at my trading "report card" and see the "red" and few "green" (red outweighs green), I wonder if it is possible to reverse the same strategy and turn red to green and green to red?

what do you guys think?
yes, it is possible, in fact.....that is precisely what you are suppose to do.

but really the important part is the overall performance, there will always be loses but if net ROI is positive, then you are fine.

a suggestion might be to trade as close to your "i am wrong" point as possible as to reduce your loss if in fact you are wrong.

when coming up with a money management i personally believe that it is SAFER to assume the market is completely random.

however we know it is not, as we can profit from technical and fundamental analysis, but to treat it as if, helps me reduce losses
AVT INVENIAM VIAM AVT FACIAM
  • #3
  • Dec 13, 2011 11:25pm Dec 13, 2011 11:25pm
Quoting dvc11
Hi guys, at times when I look at my trading "report card" and see the "red" and few "green" (red outweighs green), I wonder if it is possible to reverse the same strategy and turn red to green and green to red?

what do you guys think?
Inverting the signals in a losing strategy won't necessarily make it a winning one. Any strategy that fails to exploit a real market inefficiency is effectively generating random signals. Inverting a random signal generator will only create yet another random signal generator, which will therefore be equally ineffective.
  • #4
  • Dec 14, 2011 3:44am Dec 14, 2011 3:44am
With a little math trick, It is possible to turn a losing system into profitable under certain circumstances. You can find more info in my old thread: Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?
  • #5
  • Dec 14, 2011 8:59am Dec 14, 2011 8:59am
yeah I guess there is a possibility to turn things around but as mentioned its gonna need a bit of ticking and adjusting to get a greater success rate. but you know better than any of us. its your shot to call. best of luck!
  • #6
  • Last Post: Dec 15, 2011 12:21am Dec 15, 2011 12:21am
Quoting dvc11
Hi guys, at times when I look at my trading "report card" and see the "red" and few "green" (red outweighs green), I wonder if it is possible to reverse the same strategy and turn red to green and green to red?

what do you guys think?

no, it's not, - see hanover's response.
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