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AUD/USD

  • #36,341
  • Nov 25, 2011 4:30am Nov 25, 2011 4:30am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Yes, seems to have the knack that's for sure, Trendline is a temporary barrier (I hope). No real reversal signals on 4 hr timeframe to speak of, the 4 hr COG indicator still has a lot more downward potential and daily MACD is still widening, so I'll hold. Despite ECB purchases, I am still quite bearish and PA supports this at the moment. Lower time frame bullish divergences just due to thin holiday trading I strongly suspect.

Quote
*2-year Italy At Euro-Era High Of 7.56%; Up 43 BPs - Tradeweb
Even with ECB purchases, yield still went up. ECB dont have enough bullets to shoot down bond rates

If AUDUSD were to rise up, will you add up? if so where?
  • #36,342
  • Nov 25, 2011 4:36am Nov 25, 2011 4:36am
what is the target price for AUD/USD now? will it go 0.9673
  • #36,343
  • Nov 25, 2011 4:41am Nov 25, 2011 4:41am
Quoting ragnakore
Even with ECB purchases, yield still went up. ECB dont have enough bullets to shoot down bond rates

If AUDUSD were to rise up, will you add up? if so where?
PA telling me it will break down. I never change sentiment until the 4 hr trendline is broken, currently around 9940, so I will close Aussie out before market closes if in the red at all or if still fumbling around our current price. If NY takes us south, I will take this as confirmation of reaching 93 and depending on the extent of the southern move, I may leave open on the weekend. 46% account growth over the last 2 weeks, so either way, I'm a happy camper
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,344
  • Nov 25, 2011 4:43am Nov 25, 2011 4:43am
That 55ema is working for us.
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,345
  • Nov 25, 2011 5:57am Nov 25, 2011 5:57am
AUD did not drop as hard as EUR did today...
Hmmm...
  • #36,346
  • Nov 25, 2011 6:05am Nov 25, 2011 6:05am
Quoting ragnakore
AUD did not drop as hard as EUR did today...
Hmmm...
No, Aussie bonds are being purchased after Germany had a dud auction, but the lack of tails on these last 2 weekly candles, decent bearish weekly divergence, monthly MACD turned sharply down, is encouraging news that we will reach the weekly 38.2 retrace.
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Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,347
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:09am Nov 25, 2011 7:09am
Come on NY, bust a move honey.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,348
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:10am Nov 25, 2011 7:10am
Off to bed, the movie was much more fun than watching this paint dry
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,349
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:17am Nov 25, 2011 7:17am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Off to bed, the movie was much more fun than watching this paint dry
LOL... but this paint paints money...
  • #36,350
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:18am Nov 25, 2011 7:18am
a break below 96.60 could send this down quickly.
  • #36,351
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:18am Nov 25, 2011 7:18am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Yes so I hear, good to have as a first child
Ask your OB for stem blood harvest. You WILL want/need it someday and childbirth is THE ONLY WAY to get it...
  • #36,352
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:45am Nov 25, 2011 7:45am
Damn rejection at support 0.9665 dailylow
  • #36,353
  • Nov 25, 2011 7:55am Nov 25, 2011 7:55am
Quoting shripsfx
a break below 96.60 could send this down quickly.
agree
  • #36,354
  • Nov 25, 2011 8:38am Nov 25, 2011 8:38am
Based on Daily chart, I would think AU should be big ranging play from 0.95 to 1.03 by the end of this year..
  • #36,355
  • Nov 25, 2011 9:08am Nov 25, 2011 9:08am
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....... and related commodities
  • #36,356
  • Nov 25, 2011 9:18am Nov 25, 2011 9:18am
DAMN SNB rumor took my short out!

Rumor is SNB targetting EURCHF 1.2500 (about 150 pips from where we are now).

Playbook 16GMT:

if there is SNB intervention, BUY EURCHF (well,depends what the peg price is)

if no intervention, SELL EURCHF ALL-IN, SELL AUDUSD ALL-IN
  • #36,357
  • Nov 25, 2011 9:21am Nov 25, 2011 9:21am
Quoting redsword11
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....... and related commodities

hi ..Red, you're everywhere...
sharing your knowledge..which is useful..
Revenge of Scalper
  • #36,358
  • Nov 25, 2011 10:09am Nov 25, 2011 10:09am
no snb statement yet
  • #36,359
  • Nov 25, 2011 10:16am Nov 25, 2011 10:16am
Quoting ragnakore
no snb statement yet
I have been buying aud/usd and will continue to do so...right up until all next week. You want to buy a rumour? Rumour has it next weeks nfp report is going to be real BAD! so buy now, and sell before the fact. Thats almost a full week of collecting the interest off the aud, and riding the rumour all the way to the top before the fact comes out. Thats my strategy.....
  • #36,360
  • Nov 25, 2011 10:27am Nov 25, 2011 10:27am
Quoting western
I have been buying aud/usd and will continue to do so...right up until all next week. You want to buy a rumour? Rumour has it next weeks nfp report is going to be real BAD! so buy now, and sell before the fact. Thats almost a full week of collecting the interest off the aud, and riding the rumour all the way to the top before the fact comes out. Thats my strategy.....
SWAP Play (Carry Trade) is useless. Think GBPJPY 4 years ago. It pays 2 pips a day and those who played it lost their account when market drops. I believe someone in this forum (no offense to the person) have a long AUDUSD from 1.0500 and keeping it because of SWAP? -850 pips loss in exchange for +30 pips in swap? No thanks.

Bad NFP equates to SELL AUDUSD and not BUY AUDUSD.
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