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AUD/USD

  • #36,201
  • Nov 23, 2011 3:41pm Nov 23, 2011 3:41pm
AUD/USD .9685

Thanksgiving has a new meaning as equities and currencies belted.

There are plenty of "turkeys" still around in sovereign land who blindly bought Aussie.

Today we might see some consolidation .9650 initial support then .9600
Resistance coming in around .9710 and then .9770

Im out on a harbour cruise this afternoon so my focus will be on the weather radar here in Sydney. Just like the markets it could be a choppy ride with hopefully a champagne finish..

Enjoy and Good Luck
  • #36,202
  • Nov 23, 2011 3:44pm Nov 23, 2011 3:44pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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supply
  • #36,203
  • Nov 23, 2011 3:54pm Nov 23, 2011 3:54pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD .9685

Thanksgiving has a new meaning as equities and currencies belted.

There are plenty of "turkeys" still around in sovereign land who blindly bought Aussie.

Today we might see some consolidation .9650 initial support then .9600
Resistance coming in around .9710 and then .9770

Im out on a harbour cruise this afternoon so my focus will be on the weather radar here in Sydney. Just like the markets it could be a choppy ride with hopefully a champagne finish..

Enjoy and Good Luck
Some good multiple shorting opportunities with the trend I strongly feel, looking for bounces off the 30 min 55ema
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,204
  • Nov 23, 2011 3:57pm Nov 23, 2011 3:57pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD .9685

Thanksgiving has a new meaning as equities and currencies belted.

There are plenty of "turkeys" still around in sovereign land who blindly bought Aussie.

Today we might see some consolidation .9650 initial support then .9600
Resistance coming in around .9710 and then .9770

Im out on a harbour cruise this afternoon so my focus will be on the weather radar here in Sydney. Just like the markets it could be a choppy ride with hopefully a champagne finish..

Enjoy and Good Luck
Some people have all the fun, I'm busy rubbing bodies, so doing ok (50 percent of the time anyway )
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,205
  • Nov 23, 2011 5:11pm Nov 23, 2011 5:11pm
Another day, another short
short @ 0.9692, tp 9462...
Expect the unexpected.
  • #36,206
  • Nov 23, 2011 6:32pm Nov 23, 2011 6:32pm
Woke up to see some missed opportunities for shorting (0.9725) my position from yeserday.

Hell of a rebound off 0.9660s and back to 0.9725!
Asia session usually is bullish AUD so will wait to short this anew.
This kept me thinking.. We could see a pullback rally of 100+ pips on AUD... Hmm

Wednesday swap is killing me. Why in hell they deducted the positive swap but not reducing the negative swap after RBA cut?
  • #36,207
  • Nov 23, 2011 6:50pm Nov 23, 2011 6:50pm
Quoting fx-rocket
Another day, another short
short @ 0.9692, tp 9462...
Well Done.
  • #36,208
  • Nov 23, 2011 7:00pm Nov 23, 2011 7:00pm
Quoting Emanuel
Well Done.
we shall see if it was a good idea or not... (-20 pips currently)
Expect the unexpected.
  • #36,209
  • Nov 23, 2011 7:01pm Nov 23, 2011 7:01pm
Quoting ragnakore
Woke up to see some missed opportunities for shorting (0.9725) my position from yeserday.

Hell of a rebound off 0.9660s and back to 0.9725!
Asia session usually is bullish AUD so will wait to short this anew.
This kept me thinking.. We could see a pullback rally of 100+ pips on AUD... Hmm

Wednesday swap is killing me. Why in hell they deducted the positive swap but not reducing the negative swap after RBA cut?
Looking at the last green daily candle the hi-lo spread was around +140 pips which falls pretty close to the 61.8 fib retracement on the most recent bear move. Pivot shows Daily R1 at 98. Looking to short again around 98 with S/L 98275 (tenative).
Live to Trade FX - Trade FX to Live
  • #36,210
  • Nov 23, 2011 7:16pm Nov 23, 2011 7:16pm
The change in the interest rate / swap rates based on the rate change was minimal at best.

I'm still in long (10 long positions (0.01 unit each) - one group targeting 0.9755, the other group targeting 0.9955.

Still have shorts (4 0.01 units), taken from the previous bull trend, hoping to close it if and when the market reaches 0.9500.

I have no issue in holding the long positions until they reach their TPs, but hope the shorts can be closed sooner than later due to the negatives swap rates.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #36,211
  • Nov 23, 2011 7:24pm Nov 23, 2011 7:24pm
Quoting rafiqhidayat
The change in the interest rate / swap rates based on the rate change was minimal at best.

I'm still in long (10 long positions (0.01 unit each) - one group targeting 0.9755, the other group targeting 0.9955.

Still have shorts (4 0.01 units), taken from the previous bull trend, hoping to close it if and when the market reaches 0.9500.

I have no issue in holding the long positions until they reach their TPs, but hope the shorts can be closed sooner than later due to the negatives swap rates.
Currently my long target entry is 95
Live to Trade FX - Trade FX to Live
  • #36,212
  • Nov 23, 2011 8:02pm Nov 23, 2011 8:02pm
The Aud looks like it could sneak a bit higher yet in thin conditions. First port of call 0.9760 and then 0.9825 - unlikely today - but you never know... suspect sub 0.9700 will now see reasonable support.
Dailies still suggest a retest 0.9385 in good time
  • #36,213
  • Edited 8:46pm Nov 23, 2011 8:31pm | Edited 8:46pm
9734.. a good time to short

http://img38.imageshack.us/img38/3285/downdowndown.png

Edit: Stopped at BE. Guess it's going higher.
Or.. my line isn't on the tips as it should be. 9740?

Ok, shorted again at 974. SL @ 9741
  • #36,214
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:23pm Nov 23, 2011 9:23pm
I would have thought that Gillard cementing her govt in power by swapping Speakers would cause the aussie to plummet - maybe the market is looking at it as a more stable govt, helping the Aussie to rise, which I think is ludicrous given her track record so far. Ugh!!!
  • #36,215
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:26pm Nov 23, 2011 9:26pm
I'm really bad at picking SL.
  • #36,216
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:41pm Nov 23, 2011 9:41pm
Quoting Recluse
I'm really bad at picking SL.
Try my trick at the moment, don't use one, seems to be working until we get to 93 or so.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,217
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:44pm Nov 23, 2011 9:44pm
Hi guys, thought I would post this GBPUSD analysis and thought of the Euro future here as it has implications for all currencies paired with the USD.
Any thoughts welcome.
The IMF makes it clear it has funds only for countries with healthy fiscal policies, does this spell the end of the Euro? Will greece default and leave the Eurozone? Will everyone rush to the dollar like a kid in a candy store? (I would if I had invested in Europe). My chart suggests this is a distinct possibility. We have twice tested and twice been rejected at the monthly 38.2 retrace from pre GFC highs (this is very important) and every 200ema from the 15 min upwards to the monthly is weighing like a boulder on this pair (this is a big sell signal in my book). My trendlines tell the same story. Where will it end??
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  • #36,218
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:48pm Nov 23, 2011 9:48pm
wrong thread dude... try the GBP/USD thread.
  • #36,219
  • Nov 23, 2011 9:53pm Nov 23, 2011 9:53pm
I believe this retrace was long over due... I had imagined a retest of par after it dropped through the .99 handle... I have it hovering at the 61.8% level of the last drop *(.9855-.9665) which is right around that .9738 level... someone else mentioned key resistance at .9770... we shall see!
  • #36,220
  • Nov 23, 2011 10:03pm Nov 23, 2011 10:03pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Hi guys, thought I would post this GBPUSD analysis and thought of the Euro future here as it has implications for all currencies paired with the USD.
Any thoughts welcome.
The IMF makes it clear it has funds only for countries with healthy fiscal policies, does this spell the end of the Euro? Will greece default and leave the Eurozone? Will everyone rush to the dollar like a kid in a candy store? (I would if I had invested in Europe). My chart suggests this is a distinct possibility. We have twice tested and twice been rejected at the monthly 38.2...
Monthly MACD is also rolling over.
Yes I am aware this is the wrong thread but my quote at the top was the reason for putting it here. Needless to say it is at the GU thread also.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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