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AUD/USD

  • #36,021
  • Nov 21, 2011 4:35pm Nov 21, 2011 4:35pm
AUD/USD @.9840

Well my mate Jim was right on the money "AUD is sick"

Fully sick if you were short !

Tech wise .9800-10 temporary support zone

Fundamentally its risk off and that French socialist dream is perhaps coming to end like Spains.

Speaking of turn offs.. Australian Labor Govt just got another thumbs down in the polls this despite The Queen and Obama visits.

Good luck..
  • #36,022
  • Nov 21, 2011 4:36pm Nov 21, 2011 4:36pm
Quoting USD-Bear
I'm a long term bull in all commodity pairs.
I'm thinking we are near a top of risk averse sentiment.
For the techs I'm looking at USDOLLAR index where I see reversal pattern.
For the rest it's just in my name

USDOLLAR M15:
Attachment

ps I'm doing the exact opposite of redsword, long USOil and long AU, which really worries me a lot ........
USDX is computed based on a basket of currencies one of which is JPY. check JPY, it is the only currency that is stringerbthan USD. And that's bringing down the USDX, not because USD is getting weaker.

Using USDX to imply USD will be weak than EUR or AUD or GBP will be inaccurate in this picture.

I would rather trade the RISK indicator.


PS. ther are two USD index namely, USDX and USDOLLAR. Each having their own computation method against basket of currencies.
  • #36,023
  • Nov 21, 2011 4:48pm Nov 21, 2011 4:48pm
Quoting ragnakore
USDX is computed based on a basket of currencies one of which is JPY. check JPY, it is the only currency that is stringerbthan USD. And that's bringing down the USDX, not because USD is getting weaker.

Using USDX to imply USD will be weak than EUR or AUD or GBP will be inaccurate in this picture.

I would rather trade the RISK indicator.


PS. ther are two USD index namely, USDX and USDOLLAR. Each having their own computation method against basket of currencies.
I'm fully aware of the constituents and implications of USD-indexes but thanks anyway
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #36,024
  • Nov 21, 2011 4:57pm Nov 21, 2011 4:57pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dx.gif Size: 21 KB
  • #36,025
  • Nov 21, 2011 5:32pm Nov 21, 2011 5:32pm
0.9840s looking like pivot point for AUD.. above bullush, below bearish..

sigh, bad location to pick a sell and now in red - again..

time to pick some hours of Zs...
  • #36,026
  • Nov 21, 2011 7:19pm Nov 21, 2011 7:19pm
I'll go long 98xx, see what happens
  • #36,027
  • Nov 21, 2011 7:27pm Nov 21, 2011 7:27pm
S/D zones ..GL!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: au 30min 1121.gif Size: 31 KB
  • #36,028
  • Nov 21, 2011 7:37pm Nov 21, 2011 7:37pm
i am bearish unless we break 68 fibo retracement from early october rally at 0.99083 and thereabouts.

i would sell at those levels and aim for 0.97696 and thereabouts.

i am bearish for the most part, looking to short GBP/JPY yet again and target 119.500 or 118.999.
  • #36,029
  • Nov 21, 2011 8:07pm Nov 21, 2011 8:07pm
I can scarcely remember a time since 2008 when there have been more bearish forces working against any pair ending in USD. Nothing is working in Europe, the subcommittee has nothing, Gold and Silver are rolling down, dollar index forming a bullish head n shoulders, China slowing down, Global recession looming, Greece on the verge of default and possibly leaving the Eurozone, Bonds becoming very expensive etc, etc. We have cut throught the 4 hourly 61.8 retrace like a hot knife through butter, does anyone else see 92ish on the horizon where I bet a lot of bulls are waiting???
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: crashed through 618.gif Size: 13 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: bulls waiting at 92ish.gif Size: 13 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,030
  • Nov 21, 2011 8:46pm Nov 21, 2011 8:46pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
..., does anyone else see 92ish on the horizon where I bet a lot of bulls are waiting???
yup
  • #36,031
  • Nov 21, 2011 9:50pm Nov 21, 2011 9:50pm
Holy ....

I woke up to see I got stopped again @ 0.9880

I need better methods for finding stops!
  • #36,032
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:13pm Nov 21, 2011 10:13pm
time to short now?
  • #36,033
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:14pm Nov 21, 2011 10:14pm
Quoting chewwl88
time to short now?
What is the target?
  • #36,034
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:17pm Nov 21, 2011 10:17pm
Quoting chewwl88
time to short now?
Why? Still havent tested the real support of .9800-10 area.

But it looks like we have hit an iceberg captain and we are taking on water.
AUD shorts at the ready for another bout of
  • #36,035
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:17pm Nov 21, 2011 10:17pm
Quoting lolygagv2
What is the target?
Mmmm... no taget. until the signal show going up again. base on signal of Stochastic in 1HR chart
  • #36,036
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:19pm Nov 21, 2011 10:19pm
AUD has another run up before it sinks.
I'm getting (weak) signal up right now.
  • #36,037
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:25pm Nov 21, 2011 10:25pm
see this
Attached Image
  • #36,038
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:34pm Nov 21, 2011 10:34pm
Quoting chewwl88
see this
Check your chart now. Stochastic changed.
  • #36,039
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:43pm Nov 21, 2011 10:43pm
Shorted just now at 9833, target 93ish, no SL as I don't see the point. Will short again at NY open if we get a london rally.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: a short aussie.gif Size: 20 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #36,040
  • Nov 21, 2011 10:59pm Nov 21, 2011 10:59pm
Quoting Ill-b-back
Shorted just now at 9833, target 93ish, no SL as I don't see the point. Will short again at NY open if we get a london rally.
I'll join you in the quest down to 93.. after I close my long at 99.
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