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AUD/USD

  • #35,821
  • Nov 17, 2011 3:23am Nov 17, 2011 3:23am
Quoting Recluse
Anyone else think it isn't going down to parity (today or tomorrow)?

EURUSD just hit 61.8 fib and retreated (AUDUSD following).
about time someone agreed with me, felt like i was the only bull left in this thread. like ive said in a post somewhere earlier in the week, i dont see it going to parity unless theres a panic inducing news release or rumour that comes floating out. this pair gravitates north otherwise.

and just like ive done the last two nights, ive lined up some longs against the trend regardless of how 'reckless' a move it seems. seems to be working.
  • #35,822
  • Nov 17, 2011 3:47am Nov 17, 2011 3:47am
Quoting taxe91
about time someone agreed with me, felt like i was the only bull left in this thread. like ive said in a post somewhere earlier in the week, i dont see it going to parity unless theres a panic inducing news release or rumour that comes floating out. this pair gravitates north otherwise.

and just like ive done the last two nights, ive lined up some longs against the trend regardless of how 'reckless' a move it seems. seems to be working.
Time to line up some more longs then. It's about to kiss parity.
  • #35,823
  • Nov 17, 2011 4:00am Nov 17, 2011 4:00am
Quoting taxe91
about time someone agreed with me, felt like i was the only bull left in this thread. like ive said in a post somewhere earlier in the week, i dont see it going to parity unless theres a panic inducing news release or rumour that comes floating out. this pair gravitates north otherwise.

and just like ive done the last two nights, ive lined up some longs against the trend regardless of how 'reckless' a move it seems. seems to be working.
No worries, I am with you. Long live positive yield.
  • #35,824
  • Nov 17, 2011 4:19am Nov 17, 2011 4:19am
Ok, reversal patern forming on 15 min charts. Good place to go long, stop below 1.0020
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #35,825
  • Nov 17, 2011 4:24am Nov 17, 2011 4:24am
Right this time, divergence in opinion whether this will fall under 1.0000 props up... I'm still short @1.0050 for 100 pips down.

But, there must be some support to the long traders.

People starts getting bored and tired of the euro Rising bond yield crisis.
  • #35,826
  • Nov 17, 2011 4:37am Nov 17, 2011 4:37am
exited all shorts
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #35,827
  • Nov 17, 2011 5:06am Nov 17, 2011 5:06am
long 1.0050, tp 1.01100
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #35,828
  • Nov 17, 2011 5:55am Nov 17, 2011 5:55am
Quoting taxe91
about time someone agreed with me, felt like i was the only bull left in this thread. like ive said in a post somewhere earlier in the week, i dont see it going to parity unless theres a panic inducing news release or rumour that comes floating out. this pair gravitates north otherwise.

and just like ive done the last two nights, ive lined up some longs against the trend regardless of how 'reckless' a move it seems. seems to be working.
You know I'm with you. long from 1.0150.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #35,829
  • Nov 17, 2011 5:59am Nov 17, 2011 5:59am
Quoting rafiqhidayat
You know I'm with you. long from 1.0150.
thats the way. i had forgotten you were scalping longs with me last night
  • #35,830
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:05am Nov 17, 2011 6:05am
Quoting taxe91
thats the way. i had forgotten you were scalping longs with me last night
yepp, secured about 600 pips since last night...

going to add another @ 1.0135 for 0.02 units. (added)
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #35,831
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:15am Nov 17, 2011 6:15am
Quoting rafiqhidayat
yepp, secured about 600 pips since last night...

going to add another @ 1.0135 for 0.02 units. (added)
nice, im going to start shooting soon too. (had 2 longs before but i moved SL to BE too quickly )
  • #35,832
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:24am Nov 17, 2011 6:24am
I was juz wondering what news feed u have that u guys went long? All my TF right from the 30sec seems to suggest short and with the US news coming up in an hr which i think shld b positive based on a few wks data, i think we might hit parity before the news. Am i missing something? Thanks
  • #35,833
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:52am Nov 17, 2011 6:52am
The push down isn't happening, I closed my shorts at +10 and waiting for higher price to short... It's Thursday, and market hmmm is kinda lookin bullish at digesting all the crap bonds news
  • #35,834
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:53am Nov 17, 2011 6:53am
Quoting taxe91
nice, im going to start shooting soon too. (had 2 longs before but i moved SL to BE too quickly )
closed for 25 pips.
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #35,835
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:54am Nov 17, 2011 6:54am
Quoting Muhd Taufik
I was juz wondering what news feed u have that u guys went long? All my TF right from the 30sec seems to suggest short and with the US news coming up in an hr which i think shld b positive based on a few wks data, i think we might hit parity before the news. Am i missing something? Thanks
It seems that there are rumours that ECB is buying the bonds for both Italy and Spain to keep the rates down. And that is enough to keep it up. Plus this close to parity, as long as there is nothing strong enough to push it past parity i.e. a greek / italy / spain, etc default, the 1.000 pscyh barrier seems to be a really strong one. ...
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #35,836
  • Nov 17, 2011 6:56am Nov 17, 2011 6:56am
I think you guys are overestimating the psychological level of parity here, if EUR/USD goes down, this pair is going down too.
  • #35,837
  • Nov 17, 2011 7:15am Nov 17, 2011 7:15am
Quoting Toolman
I think you guys are overestimating the psychological level of parity here, if EUR/USD goes down, this pair is going down too.
maybe true, but you can earn interest on this pair, so as long as you have proper money mgmt, you're safe.

edit: shorted from 1.0070
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #35,838
  • Nov 17, 2011 8:08am Nov 17, 2011 8:08am
Quoting Toolman
I think you guys are overestimating the psychological level of parity here, if EUR/USD goes down, this pair is going down too.
eurusd is going up instead.. aud following though slowly

Here is some chatter i picked up:
Quote
According to EZ officials, discussions have taken place for ECB lending money to IMF to lend to Euro-zone states.

LOL! I lend you money to lend me money..

appears to me ECB prefers IMF to deal with erring countries to pay-up before default.
this is bullish news i think..


i am believing this bear aud is almost over without even touching parity....

i will place a sell stop @ 0.9990 in case parity broke.
  • #35,839
  • Nov 17, 2011 9:06am Nov 17, 2011 9:06am
Quoting ragnakore


i am believing this bear aud is almost over without even touching parity....

i will place a sell stop @ 0.9990 in case parity broke.
should still have one more push left in it, either tonight or during asia tomorrow. still have my doubts that it will do much damage though.
  • #35,840
  • Nov 17, 2011 9:32am Nov 17, 2011 9:32am
Quoting taxe91
should still have one more push left in it, either tonight or during asia tomorrow. still have my doubts that it will do much damage though.
closed all new AU positions... going for USDCHF pair now.... maybe will reenter AU tomorrow if I see something I like
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
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