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AUD/USD

  • #35,341
  • Nov 4, 2011 9:21am Nov 4, 2011 9:21am
Quoting taxe91

back on topic though, ive seen enough of this bullish resurgence so im on the lookout for shorts today. have taken my first shot at 0395 and my SL is at BE now, will be taking the cautious approach with all my trades after what we experienced yesterday.
got stopped out almost immediately after this post

taken two more shots at 0390 and 0389, just added one more at 0350. hopefully ride this down to 0280 before market close. all SL's have been moved to BE, im not taking any risks with obama's press conference coming up. the man speaks with so much positivity and confidence i wouldnt be surprised if the risk investors start driving us up again based on him alone
  • #35,342
  • Nov 4, 2011 11:59am Nov 4, 2011 11:59am
Went long again @ 0325. Still holding 0550. We'll she where she goes!

Regards,
  • #35,343
  • Nov 4, 2011 2:29pm Nov 4, 2011 2:29pm
Quoting FX-Petra
Went long again @ 0325. Still holding 0550. We'll she where she goes!

Regards,
closed @ 0400. Looking to buy again on a dip. Have a great weekend!

Regards
  • #35,344
  • Nov 5, 2011 12:56am Nov 5, 2011 12:56am
Greece Papandreou survived the Vote of Confidence. Financial Managers and Advisers consider this as positive for the market.

This implies AUDUSD and EURUSD will be supported.

However, Greece is still NOT OUT of the woods yet. They agreed to the Rescue Deal, but they now need to vote if they'd agree on the details.

Italy is the next focus with 125% Debt to GDP ratio.
  • #35,345
  • Nov 5, 2011 1:58am Nov 5, 2011 1:58am
Quoting BurgerKing
Greece Papandreou survived the Vote of Confidence. Financial Managers and Advisers consider this as positive for the market.

This implies AUDUSD and EURUSD will be supported.

However, Greece is still NOT OUT of the woods yet. They agreed to the Rescue Deal, but they now need to vote if they'd agree on the details.

Italy is the next focus with 125% Debt to GDP ratio.
Yes, we must remeber that the markets LOVE rumours and short term news items for any excuse to rally/retreat. Interestingly, the GU pair hit very stubborn resistance a couple of weeks back but has failed to retreat to even the 38.2 retrace. The stock market is looking for any excuse for a rally, and this short term good news out of Greece is likely to give this rally fuel. My trendlines suggest we will reach 1.0540 on a closed break of the upper bollinger. Would not be surprised to see optimism bring us back to all time highs by xmas. Greek elections in Feb. Markets love Govt stability. Wall street will be looking for bonus cheques before xmas also.
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #35,346
  • Nov 5, 2011 2:00am Nov 5, 2011 2:00am
Quoting Ill-b-back
Yes, we must remeber that the markets LOVE rumours and short term news items for any excuse to rally/retreat. Interestingly, the GU pair hit very stubborn resistance a couple of weeks back but has failed to retreat to even the 38.2 retrace. The stock market is looking for any excuse for a rally, and this short term good news out of Greece is likely to give this rally fuel. My trendlines suggest we will reach 1.0540 on a closed break of the upper bollinger. Would not be surprised to see optimism bring us back to all time highs by xmas. Greek elections...
Chart
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussie bullish.gif Size: 23 KB
Come with me if you want to live....
  • #35,347
  • Nov 5, 2011 11:59pm Nov 5, 2011 11:59pm
AUD/USD – Bias (W1): Bullish; Bias (W1): Bullish + Consolidation; Bias (Overall): Bullish

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=837&h=382

http://lcchong.files.wordpress.com/2...ng?w=837&h=381
  • #35,348
  • Nov 6, 2011 1:59am Nov 6, 2011 1:59am
hi guys, hope everyones been having a good weekend. it looks like we're in for another fun week starting tomorrow, greece will be the pivot again with papandreou's confidence vote completed and the previously proposed bailout package destined to be re approved. it remains to be seen whether this 'positive' will be enough to align with some of the bullish sentiment in the technicals and send this pair back north again.

i feel much more comfortable shorting this pair rather than longing it right now but i wont be surprised to see a break up to 1.054, at which point im shooting big shorts
  • #35,349
  • Nov 6, 2011 10:32am Nov 6, 2011 10:32am
My 4H chart.

I'm keepin it simple, watching these lines, the boeddah is sitting, waiting to unleash its fury.
On the other hand, my gutfeeling is telling me the buyers are gettin weaker and weaker.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussey.png Size: 52 KB
Old Habits Die Hard.
  • #35,350
  • Nov 6, 2011 11:03am Nov 6, 2011 11:03am
Quoting Shaggy_rock
My 4H chart.

I'm keepin it simple, watching these lines, the boeddah is sitting, waiting to unleash its fury.
On the other hand, my giutfeeling is telling me the buyers are gettin weaker and weaker.
Using your chart, that's what I see (if neckline breaks):

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: aussey2.PNG Size: 54 KB


Head projection to 1.0620-1.0660 zone.
  • #35,351
  • Nov 6, 2011 12:58pm Nov 6, 2011 12:58pm
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: auddaily.gif Size: 18 KB




rangebound last week, made for many intraday entries north and south
  • #35,352
  • Nov 6, 2011 5:29pm Nov 6, 2011 5:29pm
AUD/USD @1.0415

Market still looking for direction as the wooden horse is about to rock.

However we have a new entry Berlusconi's "Bunga Bunga" Far more interesting than a rocking horse ..


Negative news just keeps coming but the AUD remains supported from sovereigns and short coverers.

Its a week of looking at the extremes with 1.0650-1.0700 maybe a chance to sell and 1.00-1.02 to buy..

Happy hunting
  • #35,353
  • Nov 6, 2011 6:07pm Nov 6, 2011 6:07pm
swan speaking... , watch out
Mohan
  • #35,354
  • Edited 12:57am Nov 7, 2011 12:34am | Edited 12:57am
quiet day so far today, feels ominous almost. im setting up for a sell here if i can get a better price, looking for a slide to 0320ish and then maybe further on the back of a bad australian trade balance tomorrow

edit: sell order at 0380

edit2: took a shot on a short at 0360 too, 0380 order still pending. SL's at 0390 and 0430 respectively
  • #35,355
  • Nov 7, 2011 1:00am Nov 7, 2011 1:00am
Might not moving much waiting for clue from Trade balance/tue & Employment/thurs..? seems still in sideways and no significant move up ( 1.1 ) or down ( 0.93 )..
  • #35,356
  • Nov 7, 2011 1:21am Nov 7, 2011 1:21am
Quoting andri66
Might not moving much waiting for clue from Trade balance/tue & Employment/thurs..? seems still in sideways and no significant move up ( 1.1 ) or down ( 0.93 )..
yep very sideways at the moment, might take more than the employment + trade balance data to push it to either 1.10 or 0.93 though. maybe something big on the horizon from europe? 1.012 and 1.0066 would be a real possibility if so
  • #35,357
  • Nov 7, 2011 1:40am Nov 7, 2011 1:40am
Quoting taxe91

edit2: took a shot on a short at 0360 too, 0380 order still pending. SL's at 0390 and 0430 respectively
moved my SL to BE on this 0360 short, still looking at 0325 as a TP. that area between 0280 and 0320 is a real grey area for me, not really sure how to approach it.

may jump back in short again if we get to and then break 0280 for a ride to 0220 later in the night/week
  • #35,358
  • Nov 7, 2011 2:01am Nov 7, 2011 2:01am
gone in for a buy scalp at 0310 here with a razor thin SL. will put a trailing stop on it if i can get 10 or 15 pips into the green.

hope i havent gotten in too early here trying to pick a bottom. will find out very soon im sure with london opening

edit: slapped a trailing stop on, this pairs sure been happy to stick within its tight range lately
  • #35,359
  • Nov 7, 2011 2:27am Nov 7, 2011 2:27am
fuck austrilia and the austrialian dollar down just keeps dropping hope it goes to hell...fucken bullshit
  • #35,360
  • Nov 7, 2011 2:45am Nov 7, 2011 2:45am
Quoting mjomha
fuck austrilia and the austrialian dollar down just keeps dropping hope it goes to hell...fucken bullshit
Do you have a chart to post with that....?

You will eventually find that attempting to trade while emotionally charged is the fastest way to blow your account! Here's hoping that you will find the strength to stay composed and focused.
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