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AUD/USD

  • #35,141
  • Edited 4:18am Oct 31, 2011 4:02am | Edited 4:18am
righteo well im back earlier than expected. noticed i had two sell orders triggered while i was gone at 0530 and 0560. that 0530 isnt looking like the best short so far but hopefully it will sort itself out when ny opens. (but at least now you guys know i dont only post my winners)

edit: have some pretty loose stops on them because today has been a little jumpy. targeting the 0500 region for one of the shorts and a good old manual manage for the other
  • #35,142
  • Oct 31, 2011 4:22am Oct 31, 2011 4:22am
Quoting taxe91
righteo well im back earlier than expected. noticed i had two sell orders triggered while i was gone at 0530 and 0560. that 0530 isnt looking like the best short so far but hopefully it will sort itself out when ny opens. (but at least now you guys know i dont only post my winners)

edit: have some pretty loose stops on them because today has been a little jumpy. targeting the 0500 region for one of the shorts and a good old manual manage for the other
Very "typical" sell levels ... "Pretty numbers"

Expect stagnant price levels around said figures.
  • #35,143
  • Oct 31, 2011 4:36am Oct 31, 2011 4:36am
Quoting Warwick
Very "typical" sell levels ... "Pretty numbers"

Expect stagnant price levels around said figures.
price action has died down a little but we are in londons market zone after all and its an australian and american pair.. im sure i'll get some action when ny wakes up

till then im nursing some shorts on my jpy pairs
  • #35,144
  • Oct 31, 2011 6:03am Oct 31, 2011 6:03am
stopped out on my 0530 lot. may well re-enter depending on how the nasdaq/s&p looks tonight
  • #35,145
  • Oct 31, 2011 6:08am Oct 31, 2011 6:08am
Hmm... now an appreciable retrace to short...
waiting for 1.0650 to short BIG
  • #35,146
  • Oct 31, 2011 6:21am Oct 31, 2011 6:21am
Quoting BurgerKing
Hmm... now an appreciable retrace to short...
waiting for 1.0650 to short BIG
getting a good price before the rba news tomorrow or just a trade for when ny opens?
  • #35,147
  • Oct 31, 2011 7:51am Oct 31, 2011 7:51am
beginning to build a short position... short 2 small lots 10580... SL 10640... target 10480... will load up 2 more small lots at 10610 with same sl and target... a Bull on thursday for 102 pips, now switching camps - going w/bears today with smaller lots... see what happens... good luck with your trades everyone
  • #35,148
  • Oct 31, 2011 10:14am Oct 31, 2011 10:14am
Quoting deanoracer
beginning to build a short position... short 2 small lots 10580... SL 10640... target 10480... will load up 2 more small lots at 10610 with same sl and target... a Bull on thursday for 102 pips, now switching camps - going w/bears today with smaller lots... see what happens... good luck with your trades everyone
rumor says a 95% chance a cut is in the hands. That would leave a target somewhere in the 4's maybe high 3's....

what is everyone thinking?
  • #35,149
  • Oct 31, 2011 10:18am Oct 31, 2011 10:18am
Opened my computer this morning to find a long triggered @ 1.0550. Will target 0725 area. Will buy more on a bigger dip if given the opportunity. Good trades to all!

Regards,
  • #35,150
  • Oct 31, 2011 11:28am Oct 31, 2011 11:28am
Quoting deanoracer
beginning to build a short position... short 2 small lots 10580... SL 10640... target 10480... will load up 2 more small lots at 10610 with same sl and target... a Bull on thursday for 102 pips, now switching camps - going w/bears today with smaller lots... see what happens... good luck with your trades everyone
So... 10610 - 2 more small lots filled... so far, trade holding up...
  • #35,151
  • Oct 31, 2011 12:24pm Oct 31, 2011 12:24pm
Since this drop is triggered by BOJ.
Quoting western
rumor says a 95% chance a cut is in the hands. That would leave a target somewhere in the 4's maybe high 3's....

what is everyone thinking?
  • #35,152
  • Oct 31, 2011 1:32pm Oct 31, 2011 1:32pm
Quoting numb nuts
Check out the COTs and see what the Big Dogs are doing. This market is ready to take off. I'm looking for aud/usd to start a major up turn.
www.fxcotlounge.com Best of luck with all your trading.
The Big Dogs do move the markets all you gotta do is figure out how to tag along.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #35,153
  • Oct 31, 2011 3:14pm Oct 31, 2011 3:14pm
Quoting deanoracer
beginning to build a short position... short 2 small lots 10580... SL 10640... target 10480... will load up 2 more small lots at 10610 with same sl and target... a Bull on thursday for 102 pips, now switching camps - going w/bears today with smaller lots... see what happens... good luck with your trades everyone
All orders for shorts filled: 2 lots @ 10580, 2 more @ 10610... Stop loss moved to 10570 for all 4 lots... guaranteed winner - free ride into the rate announcement... what a fine Monday... hope you all are making pips too
  • #35,154
  • Oct 31, 2011 3:47pm Oct 31, 2011 3:47pm
Quoting deanoracer
All orders for shorts filled: 2 lots @ 10580, 2 more @ 10610... Stop loss moved to 10570 for all 4 lots... guaranteed winner - free ride into the rate announcement... what a fine Monday... hope you all are making pips too

Calm down.
  • #35,155
  • Oct 31, 2011 5:13pm Oct 31, 2011 5:13pm
AUD/USD @ 1.0540

Welcome to Melbourne Cup day.
It where the rest of Australia try and back a winner on an animal..

Just like last year there is two feature races.
RBA at 2.30pm whereby "quarter of a cut" is favourite
Melb Cup at 3.00pm Americain is favourite to go back to back.

Just to throw some more into the mix we have China mfg PMI and the BOJ


It seems 1.0500 is todays pivot..
Any strong rally should be pounced upon as europe still shakey.

supp 1.0500 1.0425 1.0380
res 1.0600 1.0650 1.0700

Go the Jukebox Jury. ;-)
  • #35,156
  • Oct 31, 2011 5:22pm Oct 31, 2011 5:22pm
Quoting Warwick
Calm down.
No need to be rude mate. Sorry this trade upset you.
  • #35,157
  • Oct 31, 2011 5:22pm Oct 31, 2011 5:22pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD @ 1.0540

Welcome to Melbourne Cup day.
It where the rest of Australia try and back a winner on an animal..

Just like last year there is two feature races.
RBA at 2.30pm whereby "quarter of a cut" is favourite
Melb Cup at 3.00pm Americain is favourite to go back to back.

Just to throw some more into the mix we have China mfg PMI and the BOJ


It seems 1.0500 is todays pivot..
Any strong rally should be pounced upon as europe still shakey.

supp 1.0500 1.0425 1.0380
res 1.0600 1.0650 1.0700

Go the Jukebox Jury. ;-)
Yep, my punt for today horse race is called "Glen Stevens with no quarter cut". I put 5$ on that horse.
Second punt is "Glen Stevens with a quarter cut but with no passing on by the Banks". 5$ on that horse too.

Possible winnings out of those two strategies: 0$

Good luck.
  • #35,158
  • Oct 31, 2011 5:23pm Oct 31, 2011 5:23pm
Quoting deanoracer
All orders for shorts filled: 2 lots @ 10580, 2 more @ 10610... Stop loss moved to 10570 for all 4 lots... guaranteed winner - free ride into the rate announcement... what a fine Monday... hope you all are making pips too
Don't you think you're SL is too tight? even if rate is cut (expected) there may be a pushup kind of like NFP. Don't you think?
  • #35,159
  • Oct 31, 2011 5:29pm Oct 31, 2011 5:29pm
Quoting lasty
AUD/USD @ 1.0540

Welcome to Melbourne Cup day.
It where the rest of Australia try and back a winner on an animal..

Just like last year there is two feature races.
RBA at 2.30pm whereby "quarter of a cut" is favourite
Melb Cup at 3.00pm Americain is favourite to go back to back.

Just to throw some more into the mix we have China mfg PMI and the BOJ
)(*YT^(@Y GF(*^T@_(%*&^

Thats what i'd say for fib levels waiting for retrace too high.
In short, I am left out of this drop!


Quote


It seems 1.0500 is todays pivot..
Any strong rally should be pounced upon as europe still shakey.

supp 1.0500 1.0425 1.0380
res 1.0600 1.0650 1.0700

Go the Jukebox Jury. ;-)



I do believe that the europe deal is totally NOT SOLVED.
#1. Where is the money? Brazil said NO. China said resolve it within yourselves.
#2. After reading Soros comment on the deal (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/f...scue-deal.html) this deal is half cooked.

I was on vacation so I missed alot.. Hope today, I could get some of the move.
  • #35,160
  • Oct 31, 2011 5:31pm Oct 31, 2011 5:31pm
Quoting sidhujag
Don't you think you're SL is too tight? even if rate is cut (expected) there may be a pushup kind of like NFP. Don't you think?
You may be very much correct. If it spikes and takes me out @ SL then I will have a 100pip day(2 lots @ plus 10, and 2 lots @ plus 40)... if it drops to the target then we'll make it a 460pip day (2 lots @ plus 100, 2 lots @ plus 130). I am still fine tuning the eduacational side of SL placement... so thanks for your imput, will review the charts again to see if there is anything clear that I have missed.
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