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AUD/USD

  • #34,881
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:24pm Oct 25, 2011 8:24pm
Quoting pinkiaiii
about two weeks ago when aud/usd was below parity i found a link to some website where the guy had analysis made when aud was 0.098 that it would ho up to 1.04-2.5 and then next big leg down again,now if i only could find that link again :] as it looks like a guy did hell of a lot of analysis,and knows whats hes doing

Simple..He got a leak from Sarkosi and the G. Chancellor.

Lol..
  • #34,882
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:28pm Oct 25, 2011 8:28pm
Quoting western
As much as i hate to say it...i think the euro goes higher tomorrow. AUD/Usd bounces around low 4's and high 3's. JMO
its more of a question how the market is gonna respond to the same old rubbish news that we will inevitably get from the eu summit. how many summits and meetings have they had in the past 18 months or so?

bulls have been driven on confidence in the euro lately but that confidence has been based on unsubstantial and inconclusive 'statements' from eu figureheads.

its time the eur/usd traders said enough is enough in my opinion, reality has to sink in sooner or later and the eurozone is in serious trouble. having said that, from what ive seen in the eur/usd thread a lot of people think 1.40 will be touched before the serious downtrend resumes, so you may well be spot on with your prediction






on an unrelated topic, the 38.2% retracement of the rise from 0.9386 is 1.0074
  • #34,883
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:32pm Oct 25, 2011 8:32pm
This is the first time in 2 weeks that AUD have move independently off what has been happening in Euro Zone.

As said earlier, depending on the news that comes out from Euro (doesn't matter anyways, good or bad, with the exception of cancelled meetings), the risk appetite of the investors will go up temporary... but I still think the ceiling is 1.0500....
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #34,884
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:34pm Oct 25, 2011 8:34pm
Quoting rafiqhidayat
This is the first time in 2 weeks that AUD have move independently off what has been happening in Euro Zone.

As said earlier, depending on the news that comes out from Euro (doesn't matter anyways, good or bad, with the exception of cancelled meetings), the risk appetite of the investors will go up temporary... but I still think the ceiling is 1.0500....
doesnt matter good or bad? what if the news is "GREECE AND ITALY WILL DEFAULT"....risk appetite still up?
  • #34,885
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:38pm Oct 25, 2011 8:38pm
Quoting taxe91
doesnt matter good or bad? what if the news is "GREECE AND ITALY WILL DEFAULT"....risk appetite still up?
While there is a possibility that might happen (especially with Greece), I don't think that will happen today.

Maybe next month, once this whole sham of summits / meetings / hope is over, and during the time we are back in a bearish trend... I believe either Greece or Italy will default, and France will have its ratings downgraded...
Buy! Buy! Sell! Sell! Just make sure you have proper MM!
  • #34,886
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:41pm Oct 25, 2011 8:41pm
haha yes by no means did i mean to suggest there will be a default today. just using 1 of many hypothetical situations where risk assets will be clobbered
  • #34,887
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:44pm Oct 25, 2011 8:44pm
depending on todays close it seems that aud/cad pair topped out.

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  • #34,888
  • Oct 25, 2011 8:44pm Oct 25, 2011 8:44pm
Market Rally is driven by Money Fuel.

In the absent of Money, Market will shrink.

If PIIGS will not pay up, then there will be no money to fuel the market rally.

Greece default would be best for greece in the long run, but for the short term, it is very bad for the market and risk in general.
  • #34,889
  • Oct 25, 2011 9:00pm Oct 25, 2011 9:00pm
SWAN SAYS RESERVE BANK SHOULD TAKE 'GREAT HEART' FROM CPI DATA

asking for 0.5 rate cut ? (RBA max 0.25 as x-max around the Conner )
Mohan
  • #34,890
  • Oct 25, 2011 9:04pm Oct 25, 2011 9:04pm
Quoting mohan76
SWAN SAYS RESERVE BANK SHOULD TAKE 'GREAT HEART' FROM CPI DATA

asking for 0.5 rate cut ? (RBA max 0.25 as x-max around the Conner )
if theres a melbourne cup rate cut it will more than likely be only 25 basis points. the last time they cut more than that was in the face of the GFC when their base rate was already as high as 7.25%
  • #34,891
  • Oct 25, 2011 9:17pm Oct 25, 2011 9:17pm
I bought @ 1.3860 and it fell all the way to 1.3574. I didn't put a SL just kinda hung on to it for 1 hour and have just got out unscathed. Now I'm tempted to go short again.
  • #34,892
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:30pm Oct 25, 2011 10:30pm
03:28AM GMT, 2nd time to test 1.0360..

will it break down this time or no?

it tested 1.0385 twice..

range?
  • #34,893
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:39pm Oct 25, 2011 10:39pm
Quoting BurgerKing
03:28AM GMT, 2nd time to test 1.0360..

will it break down this time or no?

it tested 1.0385 twice..

range?
bounced again. damn.
  • #34,894
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:46pm Oct 25, 2011 10:46pm
Quoting taxe91
bounced again. damn.
it will break soon
Mohan
  • #34,895
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:50pm Oct 25, 2011 10:50pm
Quoting mohan76
it will break soon
  • #34,896
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:52pm Oct 25, 2011 10:52pm
Hello...
what do u guys think ?
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  • #34,897
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:56pm Oct 25, 2011 10:56pm
analysts saying that the US gdp figures on thursday could be twice as strong as last quarter
  • #34,898
  • Oct 25, 2011 10:58pm Oct 25, 2011 10:58pm
Quoting taxe91
it's holding due to some money moving into stock market (old theory when interest go down , stocks go up). but it can't hold for long .
Mohan
  • #34,899
  • Oct 25, 2011 11:05pm Oct 25, 2011 11:05pm
Long need to be careful...
if EU summit is unimpressive, it could drop to 0.9880 as a waterfall in couple days.
  • #34,900
  • Oct 25, 2011 11:50pm Oct 25, 2011 11:50pm
long @ 1.362, closed @ 1.673.

+11 pips.... it seems that the S at 1.36 is very weaker than the R at 1.38
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